Tag Archives: industry
Aberdeen property market showing signs of moving again
The property market in and around Aberdeen, which has been hit by the fall in oil price, is showing encouraging signs of activity according to latest figures from an independent property consultancy. The report from CKD Galbraith reveals that its regional office in Cults has been successful in bringing more properties to the market in Aberdeenshire as well as reducing the average time taken to sell a property by almost three weeks. CKD Galbraith’s Aberdeen statistics from the final quarter of 2015 show that the supply of properties coming onto the market increased by 50% quarter on quarter. They also shows that the average time taken to sell a property was down by 32.75%, almost three weeks, compared to the previous quarter of 2015. ‘The Aberdeenshire property market has continued to show positive results throughout the final quarter of 2015 despite the downturn in the oil and gas industry in Aberdeen. We have been greatly encouraged by the increase in the number of properties coming onto the market and there has been a healthy appetite from buyers viewing properties,’ said Hannah Christiansen, head of residential at CKD Galbraith’s Aberdeen office. ‘Good properties at the lower end of the market continue to sell well, with good viewing levels and strong offers whilst the higher end of the market does continue to move, albeit its taking slightly longer. People are still moving home in Aberdeen and excellent property, in both city and rural locations, continue to be in demand,’ she explained. ‘The industry wide figures for sales in Aberdeen over the previous quarter have been down across the industry, as reported by the latest Registers of Scotland figures. However, we have witnessed a strong start to the year and as we enter the prime Spring selling period we are confident the market will see healthy activity with a flurry of properties for sale prior to the introduction of the 3% levy on second homes coming into place in April,’ she added. The latest Registers of Scotland index report covering the final quarter of 2015 showed that the total volume of residential property sales in Scotland increased by 14.5% compared with the same period in the previous year. The average property price in the quarter was £167,734 an increase of 1.6% compared to the previous year. Continue reading
Buy to let demand keeping UK housing market buoyant say surveyors
The UK housing market saw an unseasonal rise in demand in December with anecdotal evidence suggesting this is due to an increase in buy to let investors. An extra 3% stamp duty levy due to come into force in April which will affect buy to let property and second homes could be behind the lift in demand, says the latest monthly residential report from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). It says that demand for properties reached a three month high in December and the month saw the first rise in new instructions since the beginning of 2015 with anecdotal evidence pointing to a jump in buy to let interest leading this demand. Since the Chancellor George Osborne announced the extra stamp duty levy in his Autumn Statement last November some 16% more chartered surveyors reported a rise in new buyer enquiries. ‘The housing market has experienced an unusually buoyant December. Those in the industry have been speculating that this is the result of the Chancellor’s announcement last November,’ said RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn. ‘Potential buy to let investors are looking to pick up properties before the increased stamp duty levy comes into force next April. If that is the case, then we can expect to see the housing market heating up further over the next few months,’ he explained. The belief that demand was fuelled by announcements included in the Autumn Statement was further supported by qualitative responses to the survey. ‘December was busier than normal as stamp duty changes have brought buyer back to the market, ahead of April,’ said chartered surveyor Robert Green of Chelsea based estate agent John D Wood & Co. While James McKillop of Knight Frank in London said: ‘The 3% Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) proposal in the Autumn Statement has led to more buyers firming up their intention to buy additional residences in my region before April 01’. The RICS report also says that house prices in London, the South East and East Anglia look set to rise by a further 5% per annum in each of the next five years, compared to a UK average of 4.5%, despite offering the poorest value for money in the UK. Some 62% of respondents said that homes in the South East were either expensive or very expensive given the relative benefits they offered, with 57% of contributors in the capital taking the same view. By way of contrast, 100% of Northern Irish respondents and 92% from the North of England believe that homes in their areas offer fair value for money. A net balance of 50% of respondents reported that UK house prices had risen since November, with East Anglia and the South East of England witnessing the strongest growth. Robert Grigg, managing director of Property Finance at Hampshire Trust Bank, said that the report highlights that 2015 was yet another year in which becoming a home owner was out of reach for many. ‘The government’s Help… Continue reading
Buy to let landlords in UK well placed to cope with an interest rate rise
Buy to let landlords in the UK are financially resilient and are well placed to cope with expected higher borrowing costs, according to a new survey. Asked how they would deal with a 1.5% rise in Bank rate, three quarters foresaw no problems in paying their mortgage, says the data from the YouGov survey. More than 60% said their rental income would remain higher than their mortgage payments, and 40% said they already had enough money to cover higher borrowing costs. Meanwhile, according to data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) lenders have increased the average rate at which they stress test buy to let mortgages and after a strong first quarter, the CML expects buy to let purchases to decline in 2016 but buy to let remortgaging to remain robust. According to the transactional data collected by the CML from lenders accounting for about 90% of new lending, the typical stressed mortgage rate being used by the industry has increased by 50 basis points to between 5.6% and 5.7% over the past year. According to Bob Pannell, CML chief economist, while this is still some way from the rates implied for lending to home owners, a more forced pace of adjustment would risk destabilising the buy to let sector. He also pointed out that landlords identify a range of strategies for coping with higher mortgage costs, including the positive cash flow that rental payments currently provide and ready access to contingency funds. But he also pointed out that a number of tax measures have been announced in recent months, and these are likely to have a dampening effect on future growth prospects for buy to let and the private rented sector. ‘The reduction of tax reliefs available to private landlords from 2017/2018 onwards, announced by the chancellor in the summer 2015 Budget, will adversely affect the future cash flows for affected landlords,’ said Pannell. ‘Landlords should be able to mitigate the direct financial impact in a number of ways. Indeed, the YouGov research corroborates our view that the overall impact will be to lift rents higher and to narrow the availability of homes in the private rented sector,’ he explained. ‘The direct effects appear modest, but are likely to be reinforced by the stamp duty changes, announced in the chancellor’s autumn statement. The rapid succession of recent tax changes also risks having a significant indirect effect on investor sentiment, altering the direction of travel for buy to let lending and the further expansion of the private rented sector,’ he added. The CML’s latest market forecasts envisage house purchase activity by buy to let landlords falling away over 2016 and 2017. Given the significant lags in government housing initiatives stimulating additional housing supply, this raises a question about the future availability of rental accommodation in the face of ongoing demographic pressures. ‘In this context, macro-prudential intervention, if or when it is applied to buy to let lending, carries a significant risk of unintended consequences… Continue reading
