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Hong Kong saw residential property prices stabilise in June

Residential property prices in Hong Kong stabilised in June with more activity mainly in the primary sector, as developers launched new projects with deep discounts and other enticements. According to the Land Registry, residential sales in June edged up 0.7% month on month, reaching 4,620 units. The gain was attributed mainly to robust activity in the new homes market. Meanwhile there have been more home buyers returning to the market looking for bargains, according to the latest monthly market review report from international real estate consultants Knight Frank. It points out that several new residential developments were oversubscribed in June. One example was Park Yoho Venezia in Yuen Long, which managed to sell over 90% of its available units within hours on the first day of the launch. This trend is expected to continue, with developers offering deep discounts and aggressive mortgage schemes to boost sales. Interest in the ultra-luxury residential market showed no signs of abating. For example, the top floor unit in Severn Villa on the Peak sold for HK$232 million or HK$170,463 per square foot, making it the most expensive apartment in Hong Kong. Knight Frank believes that high net worth individuals are expected to continue acquiring premium residential properties in Hong Kong given their scarcity and high status. The report also points out that the government of Hong Kong has announced that seven residential sites, capable of providing 4,800 flats, will be available for sale by application in the third quarter. As of the end of May, the number of homes pending pre-sale consent had risen 11% month on month to 14,526 units, the highest level in eight months, according to the Land Department. ‘Given the increase in supply and uncertainty brought about by Brexit, we maintain our forecast of a 5% to 10% drop in luxury home prices and up to a 10% decline in mass residential prices over the year,’ the report concludes. Meanwhile, in the commercial sector Grade-A office leasing on Hong Kong Island remained subdued in June. On the supply side, tight availability limited choices in the market, while on the demand side mainland companies slowed their expansion pace in Hong Kong after the previous leasing boom. The report points out that the Kowloon East office market remained very active, with the key driver being relocation demand from tenants across the harbour. One reported example involved Kingfisher, which moved from Cornwall House in Quarry Bay to KOHO in Kwun Tong. Over the past few months, a number of co-working space operators have been aggressively expanding in Hong Kong, becoming one of the major sources of demand for office space. For example, WeWork reportedly took up large office space of about 60,000 square feet in Asia Orient Tower in Wan Chai last month. A US co-working space operator reportedly took up four floors, spanning 29,000 square feet in Soundwill Plaza in Causeway Bay. ‘Looking ahead, we expect rents in core business areas to rise… Continue reading

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Sales and prices falling in Hong Kong, latest analysis report shows

Residential sales increased by 2% month on month in Hong Kong in May, but transactions are down 11% year on year, the latest Land Registry figures show. But with developers offering deeper discounts and more incentives, a number of primary projects received a positive market response, according to the latest market analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank. It points out that prices have dropped for seven consecutive months by a cumulative 11%, according to provisional figures from the Rating and Valuation Department. Mass residential prices led the decline, losing 11% in the period, while luxury residential prices dipped 8%. The report suggests that clouded by a potential US interest rate rise in June and abundant upcoming supply, residential land prices continued to edge down. A domestic site in Pak Shek Kok, Tai Po was sold last month for an accommodation value of HK$3,620 per square foot, down about 20% from eight months ago when the adjacent site was sold. However, the super luxury sector remained strong, indicated by a Shenzhen buyer’s acquisition of a 9,212 square foot luxury house at Gough Hill Road on The Peak for a reported HK$2.1 billion approximately, a record price for the city. Knight Frank expects more mainland buyers to return to the market in the future and points out that a number of primary projects are scheduled for release in June, hoping to reach the market before a possible US interest rate rise. ‘While the government restated in May the continued implementation of cooling measures, we do not consider the sales rebound in the past two months an indication of a general market recovery,’ the report says. ‘We maintain our forecast of a 5% to 10% drop in the luxury segment and up to a 10% drop in mass residential prices,’ it adds. Continue reading

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Top end property prices in Hong Kong set to fall by 15% this year

Stock market volatility and the interest rate rise in the United States has dampened investment sentiment in the property markets in Hong Kong, according to a new report. Overall the luxury sector prices remained broadly steady, with apartment prices on Hong Kong Island and Kowloon recording some mild declines, says the latest briefing report from Savills World Research. In the fourth quarter of 2015 primary sales rebounded after the quiet summer months but secondary sales declined further, and total transaction volumes of 10,000 were the lowest since 2002. The report suggests that prime residential prices are on course to decline by 15% this year, with little positive news expected in the short term. The data shows that sales sale on Hong Kong Island declined by 36% quarter on quarter in the final three months of 2015 while prime apartment prices fell 0.9%. However, there was still a 9.3% price growth over the year as a whole. Mid-Levels, with the highest concentration of primary launches and future supply among all districts, saw prices remain relatively stable in the last quarter of 2015, with an 8% increase overall for the year. Supported by a few house sales on the Peak in the fourth quarter townhouse prices remained stable over the quarter and recorded an 8.3% increase overall in 2015. Luxury transaction volumes in Kowloon and the New Territories also fell heavily by 62% and the report says this was due to a lack of significant new launches over the quarter, with most first-hand transactions coming from the remaining units of projects launched earlier in the year. Luxury prices in Kowloon declined by 1.4% while prices in the New Territories remained largely stable. ‘With investment sentiment dwindling, and few market highlights, many purchasers held off making investment decisions. This, coupled with the increasing number of newly completed luxury units being made available for lease amid declining rents, caused some potential purchasers to switch to the leasing market to avoid uncertainties over the next one to two years,’ the report explains. Mass residential prices declined by 2.9% across the board in the fourth quarter of 2015 and the report says that unlike previous declines in 2012 and 2013 which were in response to various restrictive government measures and thus short lived, the residential market seems to have turned a corner, due to the uncertain economic environment, a further possible rate hike and a potential tightening of funding to reduce capital outflows. In fact, while developers in general achieved satisfactory sales of primary projects in the quarter with 4,606 primary units sold, a 32% increase from the third quarter, this was mainly through providing more incentives, steeper price discounts, or both. The result was that the secondary market was frozen out and the 5,563 secondary transactions recorded, as well as the 10,169 total transactions recorded, were both all-time quarterly lows since 2002. Global economic uncertainties, stock market volatility and fears of further capital outflows from the local banking… Continue reading

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