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Commuters an hour from London pay 60% less for a home, new research shows

Average house prices drop from £722,000 in central London to £272,000 in commuter towns an hour outside of London, new research has found. It means that people living up to an hour’s rail journey and commuting to London for work save on average £450,000, or 60%, when it comes to buying a home, according to the analysis from Lloyds Bank. Wellingborough tops the list of the most affordable commuter towns but people that work in Birmingham and Manchester can be better off living in the city centre, rather than commuting, the research also found. Towns that are an hour’s commute from central London include Crawley, Newbury, Colchester and Chatham have an average property price of £272,000 and although commuters face paying an average of £4,944 in travelling costs, a commuter would need to travel for 91 years for the total rail costs to wipe out the difference in average house prices. Buying a home closer to central London saves travel time but not money. Indeed, 20 minutes closer and house prices begin to rise. Commuters from towns approximately 40 minutes away from central London, including Reading, Stevenage, Sidcup and Billericay will have to pay an average house price of £349,000, still some £373,000 or 52% lower than in central London and with a less significant average annual rail travel cost at £3,499. Even at up to 20 minutes distance away from the heart of the capital, commuters from towns such as Ilford, St. Albans and East Croydon benefit from an average house price that is nearly £321,000 lower than in central London. Though examples are rare, some commuters to central London do live in areas that command higher average house prices. For example, commuters to London from Beaconsfield pay a higher average house price at £921,516 than central London while also having to cover the cost of an annual rail cost of £3,788. Nearby, Gerrards Cross also has an average house price that is £32,525 higher. ‘It's no surprise, for London at least, that the further you commute the larger the difference in house prices although, of course, the journey also gets longer and more expensive,’ said Andrew Mason, mortgages director at Lloyds Bank, ‘The decision to commute is not simply a trade-off between financial costs and journey times. Quality of life is an important consideration and in nearly all towns in this survey housing affordability is significantly better with a London salary compared to what can be earned locally,’ he pointed out. ‘For commuters with up to an hour's journey to central London, the reward is an annual salary that is, on average, 22%, or £8,500, higher than what they could earn in their place of residence which is close to £38,500. In the 10 most affordable commuter towns the uplift in annual earnings by working in London is nearly £13,000,’ he explained. One of the key factors for most commuters is the significantly higher annual salaries that can be earned from working in… Continue reading

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UK house price sentiment dips slightly

The UK’s residential property market is likely to see continued house price momentum in the second half of 2015 but sentiment is down from last year’s highs, the latest index shows. Households still believe the value of their homes is rising and the July House Price Sentiment Index from Knight Frank and Markit Economics has now been in positive territory for 28 months in a row. However, July’s reading of 58.6 was a slight decrease on the 59.5 recorded in June, but it was still the second highest reading so far this year, an indication that households across the UK are still confidence that house prices are rising. Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit Economics, pointed out that UK house price sentiment in July was comfortably above the year and a half lows seen during February. ‘A gradual rebound in households’ property value perceptions has been underpinned by strong demand conditions so far this summer, alongside an underlying lack of supply and the continued low mortgage rate environment,’ he explained. He believes that these factors are likely to support house price momentum through the second half of 2015, but added that tighter mortgage lending rules and stretched affordability have brought down UK households’ expectations of future house price growth from last year’s record highs. Indeed, the future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, fell marginally in July to 70.2, from 70.5 in June. On a rolling three monthly basis to July the future HPSI is 70.2, the same as the previous three months, an indication that expectations for future house price growth have flat lined. ‘Overall expectations for future house price growth remain firm, underpinned by a strengthening labour market, improving economy and ultra-low mortgage rates,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘There is now more discussion about possible interest rate rises, but this, as well as the property tax announcements in the Summer Budget, has had little impact on average expectations for the direction of travel for house prices,’ she explained. ‘However, there are regional differences in the data, with the widest spread between the future HPSI reading in the North East and London than at any time since March last year, reflecting the differing dynamics of housing markets across the country, with local economic factors leading to a disparity in the levels of house price growth,’ she added. Continue reading

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Average house prices in UK’s biggest cities up 6.4% in first half of 2015

House prices across the UK’s 20 largest cities increased by 6.4% in the first half of 2015, led by Oxford, London and Glasgow, the latest index data shows. Oxford was the fastest growing city with a ride of 8%, followed by London with house price growth of 6.6% and Glasgow with growth of 6.4%, according to the Hometrack UK Cities House Price Index. Aberdeen was the weakest performer with house prices flat in the first half of the year, while northern cities like Leeds, Manchester, Liverpool and Sheffield, while seeing growth, still have average prices below the peak of the market in 2007. The data also shows that on a quarterly basis prices in these top cities increased by 4.3% while Oxford and Cambridge continue to perform overall like direct extensions of the London market. On a year on year basis growth across all 20 cities covered by the index is 8.4% with an average price of £226,200. At a city level this ranges from 11.6% in Cambridge to 2.9% in Liverpool. Looking to the second half of the year, the index report suggests that the headline rate of growth across the 20 cities index looks set to move higher as continued growth in house prices pushes the year on year rate towards 10% as the recovery spreads and households continue to price low mortgage rates into house prices. The greatest risk on the horizon is an increase in interest rates, recently highlighted by the Bank of England Governor. The report points out that 57% of outstanding mortgage debt is on variable rates, which is lower than the 73% high registered in the middle of 2012. While a year’s worth of new buyers have been subject to tougher affordability tests, the majority of mortgagees have not, Hometrack director of research Richard Donnell pointed out. Donnell explained that many home owners have continued to pay off debt while rates have been low, so any increase in mortgage rates is likely to impact market sentiment which, given the shortage of supply, would result in a marked slowdown in the rate of house price growth. ‘Rising demand for property against a backdrop of low supply continues push city level house prices higher. At 8.4%, city level house price inflation is running higher than the overall UK rate. While house price growth might moderate slightly in the second half of the year, it looks increasingly likely that city level house price growth will return to double digits by the year end,’ said Donnell. ‘The greatest risk facing the housing market is an upward movement in interest rates which would check market sentiment, cool demand and result in a marked slowdown in house price growth,’ he added. Continue reading

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