Tag Archives: house
Fewer foreigners buying in France as housing market shows signs of improvement
Foreign buyers are not yet returning to the French property market with the latest figures from Notaires showing that numbers have dropped almost threefold in the last decade. Overseas buyers made up just 1% of property sales in 2015 compared to the peak of 2.8% in 2006, just before the global economic crisis. This number dropped to 1.4% by 2014 and then to 1% in 2015 and numbers are not likely to rise much in 2016. But there are signs that the property market in France is picking up with figures, which exclude new builds, from the Notaires showing that overall house prices increased by 0.4% in the final quarter of 2015 while apartment prices rose 0.3% in metropolitan areas, but are down 1.6% and 1.9% year on year respectively. In Paris and the surrounding area house prices increased by 1% in the third quarter of 2015 and apartment prices were up by 0.7%, House prices are now down 1.1% and 1.3% year on year respectively. In rural areas house prices increased by 0.2% quarter on quarter but apartment prices fell by 0.1%. House prices are down 0.7% year on year and apartment prices down 2.3% year on year. They predict a stable market in the coming months with apartment prices up around 0.4% and house prices by 1.4% by the end of the first quarter. The report adds that a year on year rise in sales of 12.5% up to the end of November 2015 bodes well for the market in 2016. This level of sales has not been seen since Spring 2012. British buyers still make up the majority of overseas buyers, purchasing some 32.6% of foreign bought property in 2015. The next most common nationality was Italian, at 15.3% and Belgians at 11.1%. The most popular parts of France for British buyers remain old favourites like Normandy, Brittany, the Dordogne and the Loire. They buy just 7% of foreign owned property in Paris. In Normandy and Brittany some 72% of buyers are British, 10% Belgian and 3% German, while next door in an area covering the Loire and Dordogne some 78% of foreign buyers are British, 6% Belgian and 5% Dutch. The British are also the biggest group of foreign buyers in Aquitaine and along the Spanish border towards Provence at 42% with 15% Belgian and 12% Spanish or Portuguese. While in the Alps and down the Rhone some 32% are British, 22% Swiss and 12% Belgian. In PACA the largest group of foreign buyers are Italians at 28%, British at 15% and Scandinavians at 12%. In the North East 28% are Belgian, 17% British and 14% Dutch while in an around Paris 20% are Italians, 8% American and 7% British. Despite the fall, the report from the Notaries’ indicates that the financial climate for foreigners, particularly British people due to currency rates, for buying a house in France remains positive. The Notaries’ report says that since the Spring of 2015 the… Continue reading
House prices in UK cities reach 15 month high
House prices in key UK cities increased by 11.4% in December, a 15 month high due to unseasonal strong market activity, according to the latest index report. Cambridge and London lead growth although sales volumes in these cities are lower over 2015 and the impetus for growth continues to come from regional cities, like Liverpool and Glasgow. Demand is increasing in the face of short supply and while there is some increased interest from buy to let buyers, eight out of 10 sales are still to owner occupiers, the Hometrack index also shows. Cambridge saw the highest annual rate of growth at 14.4% followed by London at 13.8% and then Bristol at 12.8%. All these high growth markets are growing at a broadly similar rate to the levels seen a year ago. The report points out that while residential values may be rising, overall sales volumes across Cambridge and London look on track to be lower over 2015, bucking the national trend of flat volumes, as scarcity of homes for sale and affordability pressures limit overall volumes. It also shows that the falling oil price continues to affect the housing market in Aberdeen. House price growth in the city is down 1.4% compared to a rise of 13.5% and looks set to remain weak over 2016. Newcastle and Sheffield are recording the next lowest growth rates of 3.7%, still higher than average earnings, and in cities where the housing recovery is at a much earlier stage. Overall the impetus for growth continues to come from regional cities where prices are rising off a low base as household confidence improves and home owners utilise record low mortgage rates to access the market. Glasgow and Liverpool have recorded a significant increase in house price growth over the last 12 months in cities where the recovery has been running for just two to three years. A year ago Glasgow price inflation was running at 0.1% but this has risen to 8.5%, similarly Liverpool price growth is up to 5.7% from 1.3% a year ago. A quarter of homes in the 20 cities covered by the index is private rented property and strong private investor demand will explain some of the additional growth in city level house prices relative to the UK rate of growth, the report says. Much has been made of the impact of tax changes for buy to let investors with mortgaged property and the proposed new 3% stamp duty levy from April 2016. Indeed, the latest Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey for the fourth quarter of 2015 points to expected strong demand for mortgages from buy to let landlords in the first three months of 2016. ‘Demand for buying property as an investment is far from dead and 2016 looks set to be a year of consolidation for investors, especially those who are mortgage reliant. A portion of investors are likely to accelerate purchases before April but we should not read… Continue reading
UK home owners confident about prices rises in 2016, latest sentiment index shoes
Households across the UK expect house prices to rise in 2016 believe that the value of their home rose in December, according to the latest research. People in London perceived the strongest rate of price growth over the course of the month, while households in the North West reported the most modest rate of growth, the data from the House Price Sentiment Index from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. The strongest growth expectation was in the East of England but the rate of growth expected over the next year eased in six of the 11 regions in January. The figures shows that 20.9% of the 1,500 households surveyed across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 3.6% said that prices had fallen. This resulted in a HPSI reading of 58.7. This is the thirty fourth consecutive month that the reading has been above 50. Any figure over 50 indicates that prices are rising, and the higher the figure, the stronger the increase. Any figure below 50 indicates that prices are falling. January’s reading was a slight decrease from the 59.4 recorded in December, but returns the index to the same level as seen in November. It is just slightly higher the average reading of 58.5 recorded throughout 2015, but remains below the peak of 63.2 in May 2014, reflecting the easing in average UK house price growth seen since then. Households in all of the 11 regions covered by the index reported that prices rose in January, led by households in London at 68.1 and the South East at 64.3, although in both cases these sentiment index readings were slightly lower than in December. The current sentiment index was lowest for the North West at 51.3 and the East Midlands at 52.3, indicating that households in these regions perceived the most modest rise in prices across the UK in January. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, rose slightly in January to 70.5 from December’s 70.3. This is the highest reading since June 2015, but remains below the peak of 75.1 reached in May 2014. Households in the East of England chalked up a record high reading for future house prices expectations at 81.1, indicating they anticipate the largest increase in the value of their home over the next 12 months. Londoners at 79.1 continue to expect strong growth in prices over the next year, with the highest reading for the region since May 2014. Meanwhile, there was a notable drop in the future reading for the North West, down from 67.5 to 62.3 in January, as well as Scotland, which fell to 61.8, down from 65.8 in December, and an average reading of 65.1 throughout 2015. Mortgage borrowers are the most confident that prices will rise over the next year at 76, followed by those who own their… Continue reading
