Tag Archives: homes
Prime property country locations set to outperform London, new analysis suggests
Country locations are set to outperform London as the prime property markets enter the next stage of the housing cycle, according to a new analysis report. Stamp duty changes introduced in the 2014 autumn Statement have had a bigger impact than many forecast, the effect initially being masked by the uncertainty in the run up to the General Election, according to the report from property firm Savills. However, it points out that both the prime housing markets of London and the country have reacted relatively rationally to the changes. Indeed, small price falls were recorded in the higher value markets where the stamp duty liability has increased but by contrast, in the lower value prime markets where there is now a tax saving, values have continued to rise, albeit at a slower rate than in 2014. The challenges faced by the prime markets of late are reflected by the fact that the total value of housing stock in Kensington and Chelsea fell in 2015, though the loss of £693 million is dwarfed by the gains of £68 billion over the preceding 10 years, the report explains. Transaction levels, though undoubtedly lower than in 2014, have not collapsed as some would argue. Figures from the Land Registry indicate a 5 to 10% fall above £1 million across England and Wales. ‘While this suggests there is still a market for appropriately priced stock, it also means we are unlikely to see cuts to rates of stamp duty at the top end,’ said Sophie chick of Savills research team. ‘Indeed, in the 2015 autumn Statement, more stamp duty changes were announced for buyers of additional homes (second homes and buy to let) causing further small price falls in markets with high concentrations of such buyers in the last quarter of last year,’ she explained. Chick pointed out that to understand what lies ahead it is helpful to look back and identify what happened between 2002 and 2005 when the market was at a similar stage in the housing cycle. ‘In prime London, over the three and a half year period from June 2002, prices increased by just 5%. Currently, average values have seen no net growth since the first quarter of 2014, so if the market follows a similar trend we would expect prime London values to remain broadly flat through 2016 and most of 2017,’ she said. ‘Over the same period, prices in the prime country markets outperformed London with an average increase of 17%. We expect a similar trend this time round as the ripple effect took hold and more equity flows to the housing markets beyond London,’ she explained. The analysis shows that in terms of how residential value is concentrated, Kensington and Chelsea sits far ahead of any other borough or local authority across the UK, not just by virtue of high property prices but also the relative density of housing in the borough. The combination of the two means that on average in… Continue reading
Homes for sales in UK slump to 14 year low
The supply of available housing in the UK is at its lowest level in 14 years with buy to let landlords rushing to complete ahead of tax change, new research shows. Property investors are trying to avoid the additional 3% stamp duty charge on buy to let and second homes from 01 April, according to the report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) but sales to first time buyers are also up. The January Housing Market report shows that the number of properties available per member branch fell to 33 in January, the lowest recorded since December 2002 when just 25 properties were available per member branch. In contrast, demand for housing soared in January, with an average 453 house hunters registered per branch, the highest recorded since July 2015 and a 21% increase from December when there were an average 374 registered, during a seasonal lull in activity. This reflects increased activity from landlords pushing to complete sales ahead of the upcoming buy to let stamp duty surcharge, the report suggests. Indeed, 72% of estate agents reported an increase in interest from landlords, a rise from 44% in December. Almost a third, 29%, of the total sales made in January were to first time buyers, an increase of 5% from December 2015, the report also shows. ‘Our findings this month reflect what we are all seeing across the market which is that landlords are trying to complete on sales ahead of the changes to stamp duty on additional homes in April. It continues to be a sellers’ market as demand outstrips supply,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘The number of sales made to firs time buyers has increased this month, and we should expect to see their market share rise after April. The fact that housing supply has reached a 14 year low really highlights the need for the government to push the house building programme to the very top of their agenda and help more first time buyers make their first step on to the housing ladder,’ he added. Continue reading
Brexit threat should not hamper Brits buying in France
British people looking to buy a property in France this year are being urged not to worry about the vote on the UK staying in the European Union due to take place in June. There have been scare stories about what might happen if the UK leave the EU bit according to agents in France very little is likely to change. Indeed, they are reporting an uptick in inquiries which suggests that in reality potential buyers are not worried. According to Trevor Leggett, chairman of Leggett Immobilier which has agents across France, there has been no slowdown in demand from UK purchasers and activity is 40% higher than 12 months ago which was a record year. ‘Our view is that even if the vote was to leave the EU there would be little in the way of substantial change. The polls suggest it will be tight but tipped towards an In vote,’ said Leggett. According to Sextant French property even if the public vote to leave the EU nothing would happen suddenly. There would be a period of negotiations over benefits, pensions and healthcare which might affect expats but not necessarily second home owners. The firm has just reported a record year with an estimated 800,000 sales made in 2015, and buyers are making the most of current market conditions which include favourable exchange rates, low mortgage rates and low prices. ‘A Brexit would not stop you from buying your dream house across the Channel. Nany non-EU buyers from as far flung destinations as Australia and China already buy in France undeterred. The Brexit uncertainties lie largely in tax arrangements, obtaining mortgages and the potential weakening of the pound,’ said a Sextant spokesman. ‘Tax arrangements will depend on negotiations in the grace period following the referendum, though happily double taxation agreements will remain unchanged, ensuring you will never be taxed twice on your income,’ he explained. ‘In the short term run up to the referendum certainly, the pound could drop as uncertainty and instability will always disturb the markets to some extent. Once an outcome has been reached, we can hope that the markets have enough confidence to begin to level out,’ he added. For British people living in France there may not be much change. If the UK votes to leave it is highly likely that it will become a member of the European Economic Area (EEA). Iceland and Norway are already members. EEA membership could also result in retention of the European Health Insurance Card (EHIC) card and thus access to healthcare at the same rate as currently. The UK has never been part of the Schengen agreement of totally free border control so nothing would change. ‘Whichever way the UK votes, at Sextant we don't believe British interest in buying French property will be dampened, nor do we believe that the dream will become unattainable or unviable,’ he concluded. Continue reading
