Tag Archives: health
Central London office leasing bounces back after referendum vote
The amount of central London office space leased by businesses bounced back from a pre-referendum dip to reach 980,400 square feet in July, according to the latest research. This 24% above the level seen in June and the strongest monthly average since March this year, according to global real estate advisor CBRE. Appetite for London office space was validated by three deals over 50,000 square feet in July, including a major move by Wells Fargo for 220,700 square feet of space in the City of London. The report points out that this move has been widely seen as a vote of confidence from the banking and finance sector after the UK voted to leave the European Union. The sector accounted for 31% of take-up in July, followed by the business services sector at 22% and creative industries at 17%. However, July’s office take-up in central London remained below the 10 year average of 1.1 million square feet per month, but above trend leasing activity in the City and Southbank which CBRE says suggests that businesses still see London as an attractive place to locate. ‘Much has been said about the health of the London office market this year, but clearly demand for office space remains buoyant. Businesses are still confident about London’s significant advantages as a global business centre, even when the UK is outside the EU. This continued demand, mostly driven by key lease events, in a market with low supply, is maintaining headline rents at the same rate as in May and June,’ said Emma Crawford, head of London Leasing at CBRE. ‘Of course the jump in leasing activity is good news for the market, and whilst this is not universal across all sub-sectors of the London market, even with heightened economic and political uncertainty, longer term prospects remain promising,’ she added. The data also shows that available office space increased by 2% over the month to stand at 13.6 million square feet but remained 7% below the 10 year average, as secondhand, completed and pipeline space continues to enter the market. The development pipeline is strong, but much is pre-let, with 46% of the 5.1 million square feet of space expected to complete before the end of the year already pre-committed to occupiers. Office space under offer fell by 14% over the course of the month to stand at three million square feet as a number of large deals completed. This is 7% above the 10 year average of 2.8 million square feet which CBRE says is another indicator of strong demand. A separate CBRE report shows that rental values across the UK’s commercial property market were steady in July, while capital values fell by 3.3%. But it points out that the fall in capital values was widely expected and pulled year on year growth down to 0.4%. The report explains that heightened economic uncertainty, especially for financial services firms, hit offices in the City of London, shrinking capital values… Continue reading
Fewer arrears for tenants in UK as jobs market improves
Fewer tenants in the UK are falling into serious rent arrears thanks to the improving employment market and landlords are benefitting from healthier tenant finances, according to the latest lettings agents report. In absolute terms, just 86,200 tenants across the UK are more than two months behind in their rent in the first quarter of 2016 compared to 89,300 in the previous quarter, a fall of 4%. The data from the report from Your Move and Reeds Rains also shows that just 1% face serious arrears and for landlords there are the fewest buy to let mortgage arrears since 2007. Since 2008, there have been on average 92,600 tenants in serious arrears in the first quarter of each year meaning that the first quarter of 2016 is also substantially lower than the long term average. ‘Fewer tenants in serious arrears reflect the health of the jobs market. With an extra 44,000 jobs created in the first quarter of this year, thousands of tenants have been able to get their finances back on track and pay down late rent,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. He explained that serious rent arrears peaked in the third quarter of 2012 when 124,800 households owed more than two months’ rent and when unemployment in the UK stood at 7.9%. Since then a boom in employment has been responsible for lifting many of the most precarious tenant households out of serious rent arrears and onto a more sustainable course. The direction of travel looks very positive. ‘A reduced risk of serious rent arrears will be welcome news for existing landlords, facing so many artificial challenges posed by government meddling. But no one should be complacent as managing a property is never simple. Some landlords are being held back from buying property by the Stamp Duty Surcharge. If this stems the flow of new homes into the rental market, then shortages in some areas could push up rents and hitting affordability,’ Gill pointed out. The number of tenants more than two months behind with rent has fallen by 16% since the eve of the financial crisis and recession in the second quarter of 2008 from 102,900 to today’s total of 86,200. This is despite the expansion, over exactly the same period. At the start of this period, there were 3.6 million households living in the UK private rented sector. Now, after just eight years, this has grown by 62% to reach a total of 5.8 million households as of the first quarter of 2016. ‘The massive growth in the number of homes available to rent, driven by both deliberate landlords and accidental landlords coming into the market, has ensured that rents have not outpaced the ability of tenants to pay. The affordability of renting and the number of tenants falling behind on rent also needs to be seen within the context of… Continue reading
Housing sales in UK set to jump by a fifth by 2020,
The number of property transactions in the UK could rise by over a fifth in five years to reach almost 1.5 million in 2020, according to new research. This will happen if first time buyers are given greater access to high loan to value lending, says the study commissioned by mover conveyancing services My Home Move. The increase in annual property transaction figures from the 1.23 million recorded in 2015 to the projected 1.49 million in 2020, a rise of 21.1%, is based on an econometric forecast of property transaction volumes. This includes a 6.6% rise in property sales in 2016, compared to 2015. The independent research uses a forecast model that draws on the historic relationship between property transactions and three variables that have had the greatest impact on property turnover: average mortgage rates, unemployment figures and the average first time buyer percentage deposit. The forecast of transaction levels is based on the OBR prediction for unemployment which is expected to fall slightly to 5.0% this year before rising slightly to 5.3% by 2020 and the OBR prediction for Bank Rate which is expected to rise gradually from early 2018 to reach 1.0% by the end of 2020. As part of the research, the average percentage deposit for first time buyers has been independently forecasted. This has been modelled to fall from the current 17.1% to 10% by late 2019 as more high LTV mortgage products come onto the market helping to make homeownership more affordable. As property transactions provide one of the most important measures of the overall health of the UK’s housing market, the research highlights a positive future for the market as transactions are set to advance strongly. ‘Although house prices have improved since the economic crash, property transaction levels, which are a key indicator of market health, are yet to return to their peak of 2007,’ said Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move. ‘This report highlights the critical importance of unlocking access to high loan to value mortgage products for first time buyers, if we are to see transaction volumes grow and the health of the market remain,’ he explained. ‘The forecast shows that the number of home purchases could see a dramatic improvement if access to home ownership for first time buyers is nurtured. In particular, we need more lending to those with smaller deposits so that average deposit sizes for first time buyers fall to 10%,’ he pointed out. ‘However, reaching this would require a coordinated effort from across the industry sooner rather than later from house builders to ensure the supply is there, from lenders to provide the high loan to value lending that first time buyers depend on, and from those of us who support first time buyers with their purchase to ensure that buying a home is as easy as it can be,’ he added. ‘It couldn’t be clearer how important first time buyers are in… Continue reading
