Tag Archives: government
UK first time buyers sales at their highest since the recession
The number of first time buyers in the UK reached their highest level in July since the recession, paying an average of £161,985, some 8.9% more than a year ago, according to the latest index. There were 29,700 sales of homes to first time buyers, some 4.9% above June with demand judges to be rising to an expected interest rate rise in the New year and despite the fact that the average first time buyer now needs a deposit of £27,975. July’s sales figure also represents a 28% rise on April 2015, amounting to a 6,500 increase over the last three months, the latest First Time Buyer Tracker index from Your Move and Reeds Rains also shows. Average deposits have increased by 10% compared with July 2014’s figure of £25,429 which in cash terms, this equates to a rise of £2,546. The cost of a deposit as a proportion of a first time buyer’s average income reached 71.6% in July, up 3.1% in one month alone and rising 5.4% from a year ago. Equally, the average first time buyer Loan to Value ratio (LTV), which represents the proportional size of an individual’s loan compared to the value of the property they are buying, is steadily dropping. This means first time buyers are having to pay more up front, in the form of larger deposits. July’s rate of 82.7% represents a 0.5% decrease on LTVs in June and a 0.2% decrease on a year ago, as the size of the average deposit rises. A similar picture emerges in the latest Mortgage Monitor from e.surv. The data revealed a decline in the number of small deposit loans given approval in July, dropping 5.9% compared to June and 7.1% compared to July 2014. According to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, the post general election bounce has given way to a more stable optimism as first time buyers realise that the property market is at no immediate risk of being tampered with by the government. ‘Incentives attractive to first time buyers such as the Help to Buy schemes are running along steadily, while further low cost housing development is being encouraged to entice more people onto the ladder,’ he said. ‘This month’s particularly high transaction rate is also partially due to expectations that the Bank of England may announce a rate rise sooner rather than later. The thought of months of rock-bottom mortgage rates being brought to an end is encouraging many wavering first time buyers to jump on the property ladder before repayment costs shoot up,’ he pointed out. ‘Some may have held back briefly when considering the rising deposit costs. But real wages have been growing too, and first time buyers are able to shoulder the short term burden of a slightly higher deposit to spare the risk of losing out on a good mortgage deal,’ he added. Despite some lenders starting to withdraw their cheapest deals, the… Continue reading
Prime residential development land prices in Asia slowing
The price of prime residential development land in Asia slowed to 1.1% in the first half of 2015, down from 3% in the previous six months, but prime office land increased to 3.6%, up from 2.5%. The latest prime Asia development land index from international real estate firm Knight Frank also shows that Phnom Penh in Vietnam recorded the strongest increase in both prime residential and office land price. Prime residential and commercial land prices surging by 14.1% and 9.7% respectively. The report says that foreign investment continued to fuel strong performance in the residential sector but growth decelerated in the second quarter, suggesting that prices are peaking and the momentum will likely moderate in the second half of the year. Land sales in China plummeted by 54.8% year on year at a time when local governments in the country reduced land supply and maintained aggressive pricing as this is their main source of revenue. ‘As a result, developers in China face a double whammy of high land prices and weak sales. With the recent stock market crash, their ability to raise capital is further restricted. Anecdotally, more developers are partnering other firms to pool financial resources and pursue an asset light strategy,’ the report explains. ‘However, there is a silver lining as a recent survey conducted by China Household Finance and the Survey Centre registered signs of capital leaving the stock markets for the housing sector in the second quarter of 2015,’ it says. ‘Against this backdrop, along with a nascent recovery in the residential markets, land prices rose moderately in Beijing, Shanghai and, to a lesser extent, Guangzhou. Moving forward, land prices will continue to be supported by these factors,’ the report adds. Both residential and commercial land enjoyed robust capital appreciation in Hong Kong. The report explains that in addition to the existing healthy demand extra cooling measures, such as a lower maximum loan to value ratio and debt servicing ratio introduced in February 2015 targeting the mass residential market appeared to have channelled demand to the luxury sector. Office space continued to see strong leasing demand from financial institutions amid limited supply. Demand for land is set to increase when the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) gets underway at the end of this year. The report explains that as a result of a freer flow of goods, services and skilled labour could encourage the movement of industries, driving demand for both commercial and residential space. In Bangkok, the price index for office land stalled in the first half of 2015 as developers turned their attention to the luxury condominium market, where continued capital appreciation afforded them higher profit margins. Even so, the prices of residential land grew at a slower but more sustainable pace. Jakarta saw a similar deceleration in price index movements. The economic slowdown has hurt both business and consumer confidence in the country, according to the report. ‘In addition, the government lacks the room to manoeuvre,… Continue reading
Growing demand and short supply is pushing up house prices, says RICS
House prices in the UK continue to be squeezed higher by growing demand and contracting supply, according to the latest residential market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). The report shows that while 44% more chartered surveyors saw prices rise in July, supply to the market continued the decline with 22% more surveyors reporting a drop in new instructions. Additionally, the shortage of housing inventory worsened further during July, with the average number of properties for sale per surveyor slipping to a record low. Consequently, all areas of the UK are projected to see sizeable house price gains over the next 12 months, with confidence most elevated in East Anglia and Northern Ireland. The report also says that near term expectations for prices also continue to reflect the imbalance between demand and supply with 41% of members expecting prices to continue to rise over the next three months. However, rising prices have not dampened interest as new buyer enquiries rose for the fourth month in succession, with 25% of respondents reporting a rise in demand. Despite this steady and sustained improvement in demand, newly agreed sales were more or less unchanged at the national level in July. Going forward, there is a little more optimism regarding the prospects for activity with 37% more respondents expecting sales to gain momentum over the next three months and 40% more taking the same view on a one year perspective. ‘This government has put home ownership at the very heart of its agenda, with Starter Homes and extending Right to Buy the strongest evidence of that ambition. However, this continues to be demand driven and fails to address the real issue of supply,’ said Jeremy Blackburn, RICS Head of Policy ‘A coherent and coordinated house building strategy is required across all tenures. This should include measures that will kick start the supply side, such as mapping brownfield, addressing planning restrictions and creating a housing observatory to assess the underlying economic and social drivers of housing and provide the impetus for solutions,’ he explained. ‘The changes brought in through Fixing the Foundations, the Chancellor’s productivity plan, were welcome and refreshingly on the supply side, such as zonal planning, dispute resolution for S106 and local plan enforcement. But these alone are not a strategy for increasing housing supply across all tenures,’ he added. Blackburn also pointed out that in the lettings market, tenant demand continued to rise while landlord instructions, despite increasing slightly, failed to keep pace once more. As a result 34 % of respondents expect rents to increase right across the UK with members in the West Midlands expecting 4% growth over the next year and in the South East 3.3% growth. The housing market is facing some very real challenges, according to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, but more worrying still is the suspicion that the imbalance between supply and demand will lead to even strong price gains over the next 12 months. ‘This… Continue reading
