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Prime property prices in UK set to vary in 2016 according to location

The rate of overall house price growth in the UK prime property market is expected to continue at much the same pace in 2016 as in 2015, with the regional variations remaining too. Average UK house prices rose 4.5% in 2015, according to the latest residential market update from real estate firm Knight Frank. Average values in prime central London rose by 1% last year on average, but the rate of growth varied across the capital while prime country house prices rose by 3.1% in 2015. The report says that the Bank of England’s decision to keep interest rates on hold in January, coupled with the continued fall in oil prices has prompted some economists to push back the date on which the first UK rate rise is expected to 2017. ‘A longer period of low mortgage rates, alongside firmer wage growth and a continued lack of new and second-hand housing stock, should continue to underpin overall pricing during 2016. Activity has been gradually picking up in recent years, but this trend is likely to be hampered by the continued lack of supply of homes coming to the market across the country,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of residential research at Knight Frank. She also pointed out that the Government has announced a raft of new policies to boost the supply of housing, a recognition that housing is now one of the key areas of focus for the electorate. A breakdown of the figures in the report show that in prime central London the biggest rise in prices has been in Islington with growth of 6.4%, followed by City and Fringe at 5.7%, Marylebone at 4.7%, Mayfair at 3%, and Kensington at 2.5%. In St John’s Woods prices were unchanged and south of the river Southbank saw prices rise by 1.7% and Riverside growth of 4% but elsewhere prices fell, most notably a decline of 6.1% in Knightsbridge. Prices were down 3.8% in Notting Hill, by 3.7% in South Kensington, by 2.7% in Chelsea, by 1.8% in Hyde Park and by 0.2% Belgravia. Average rents across the country rose by 2.7% in the year to September, with the strongest rental growth across Greater London at 4.1% but rental growth in prime central London eased in the second half of last year, and now stands at 0.7%. This comes after prime central London rents peaked at 4.2% growth in May. ‘This market is quite seasonal, and closely linked to the financial services sector. As a result, rents have been affected by restructuring plans announced by major European banks,’ explained Gilmore. Prime rents increased by 2.7% in the South East and the East of England, by 2.1% in the East Midlands, by 1.9% in the West Midlands, by 1.8% in the South West, by 1.6% in Scotland, by 0.9% in Yorkshire and the Humber, by 0.7% in the North West and by 0.5% in Wales and the North East. The report points out that certain sections… Continue reading

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Total value of housing in Britain moves past £6 trillion for first time

The total value of Britain’s housing stock has passed the £6 trillion mark for the first time after gains of £385 billion in 2015, according to new research. Housing wealth stands at £4.84 trillion, net of mortgage debt, or 2.7 times GDP and for owner occupiers with no mortgage total property wealth exceeded £2 trillion for the first time, the analysis from real estate adviser Savills shows. It also reveals that the private rented sector’s total value is now £1.29 trillion, up 55% in five years with number of homes in the sector up 28%. Net wealth passed £1 trillion in 2015, overtaking that held by mortgaged owner occupiers for the first time. The total value of homes in London exceeded £1.5 trillion for the first time at £1.612 trillion, accounting for more than a quarter of the total value of housing stock in the UK and having risen by £589 billion in five years. The South of England saw total value growth of £179 billion, exceeding London growth for the first time in five years while Bristol saw the biggest increase in total housing stock value outside of London, up £4.5 billion to £44 billion. The report points out that residential property has become an increasingly important store of wealth. Total equity now stands at around £4.8 trillion net of borrowing, equivalent to over 2.7 times the GDP of the UK. Over the past 10 years the total value of the UK’s homes has risen by over £1.6 trillion, but the biggest growth, almost £1.2 trillion, was seen in the past three years. This means the UK’s 28.2 million homes of all tenure now have an average value of £218,474, up 18.9% in five years. ‘Value and gains vary sharply according to location and ownership. Gains have been concentrated in equity rich markets, notably London and the south east, particularly benefitting those who own their homes outright. In 2015, for the first time, the total value of owner occupied homes without a mortgage exceeded the total value of those with a mortgage,’ said Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills. ‘While the difficulties faced in getting on and trading up the housing ladder and the consequential rise in private renting is well documented, these figures show the scale of the change and challenges faced by Government,’ he added. London and the South East accounted for 57% of total value gains at £218 billion in 2015 and now have a total value of almost £2.8 trillion. This means that 26% of the UK’s homes now account for 45% of the total value, and takes the average value of a home in London to £430,436 and £284,805 in the South East. At the other end of the spectrum, the total value of homes in the North East equates to less than a tenth of London’s value, having risen just 2.2% in 2015. At a total of £135 billion, the region’s… Continue reading

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Rents in UK likely to grow at a slower pace in 2016

Rents for newly let homes in the UK continued to grow in 2015 albeit at a slower pace than in 2014, according to the latest index report. Average rents grew by 3.1% over the year, taking the average monthly rent to £919 per calendar month, according to the data from property services group Countrywide. Rents rose in all regions of the country with the East of England seeing the highest growth, up 6.5%, and the c London market seeing the lowest with 0.5% growth. The report also shows that 34% of tenants who renewed their tenancy faced higher rents, an increase of 7% from last year. However, the average rent for renewing tenancies only grew by 1.3%, less than for those moving into a new home. Rental growth over 2015 was supported by increasing demand for rental homes and low stock of homes available to rent. This imbalance between supply and demand has intensified competition for homes in the market. The average property is now let within 20 days of being instructed; two days quicker than it was in 2014. The time to let has fallen across the country, but homes in the North of England and the Midlands are now let almost three days quicker. Greater London as a whole saw a slowdown in rental growth in 2015 compared with 2014, but rents still rose by 4.7%. As rents have risen in recent years, tenants have increasingly looked to cheaper areas in Outer London. As a result the proportion of under 25s living in the rental sector in London fell by 4% in 2015, the continuation of a longer term trend. As rents continue to increase and outpace earnings in the capital, younger people and those in lower income brackets, have found it harder to remain in the capital, particularly in central areas. Surrounding regions in the South of England have seen small growth in the proportion of under 25s in their market, as Londoners look further afield for more affordable markets. ‘A mix of steadily increasing demand and a lack of homes to rent supported rental growth in 2015, even though wage growth remained subdued. In London rising costs meant renters were more likely to move to outer London or the commuter belt in search of more affordable places to live,’ said Johnny Morris, research director at Countrywide. ‘2016 looks to be a complicated year for landlords as the government focuses its efforts on boosting homeownership. The additional 3% stamp duty charge, stricter regulation and changes to tax relief from 2017 onwards will all take their toll on investor sentiment and impact behaviour,’ he explained. ‘With stock at a premium, the smaller landlords who decide to sell up will add upward pressure to rents, although any rises will be tempered by affordability pressures,’ he added. Continue reading

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