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Emerging prime market in London has a quiet 12 months

Property prices in South West London were down 0.5% in the third quarter of 2015, compared to last quarter and by 1.08% compared to the same period last year, new data shows. The Emerging Prime Index from Douglas & Gordon also shows that larger houses priced over £2 million experienced a plateau as the market continued to digest stamp duty rises from the end of last year. However, properties priced below £900,000, which benefitted from price rises due to stamp duty changes, showed signs of slowing following a firm first half of the year but remained robust overall. The index report says that buyer expectations around interest rate rises caused greater price sensitivity, which also impacted the market. However in some areas where houses were priced under £2million, for example between the commons in Battersea, a 10% price reduction in certain instances ended the stand-off between buyers and sellers and generated more offers. Meanwhile the emerging prime rental market in saw a mixed performance in the third quarter. Flats remained in demand, but there were pockets of extreme weakness in the market for houses. The report explains that as corporate budgets remain tight, some companies have stopped relocating employees and their families. This slowdown in house sales has had a knock on effect on rentals, which are in demand while the buying and selling process takes place. According to Ed Mead, the firm’s executive director, London’s emerging prime market has had a quiet 12 months driven by the ongoing impact of stamp duty changes on larger properties and expectations around interest rate rises. ‘However it is our view that the current slowdown will settle as emerging prime remains an attractive offer to foreign buyers. The current global economic instability reinforces our prediction that interest rates will remain at today’s levels for the foreseeable future,’ he said. ‘It’s interesting to see the rental market for houses seriously weaken as corporate budgets continue to be squeezed and French families in particular are noticeable by their absence. It gives rise to the question whether 30 something professional sharers could be the future given a changing demographic,’ he added. Continue reading

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Property market recovery in the Alps spreads out from top resorts

The recovery in the Alpine residential real estate market, led by the ultra-prime resorts, has spread to the rest of the region with infrastructure investment spurring new development, according to a new report. British buyers are returning as a weak euro poses buying opportunities in France, Austria and Italy but a strong Swiss franc has made property in Switzerland more expensive for foreign buyers, says the report from Savills World Research and Alpine Homes. Courchevel 1850 tops the Savills ultra-prime ski resorts index with typical prices of €31,340 per square meter for the best properties. The French resort is followed by the Swiss resorts of Gstaad, St Moritz, Zermatt and Verbier at between €26,450 and €31,220 per square meter. In spite of limited price growth, a strong Swiss franc has pushed these markets up the rankings in currency terms, the report explains. In North America, only Vail is on par with the top European competition at €25,200 per square meter. ‘A home in a top tier Alpine resort is a key component of global property portfolios for the world’s wealthy. A property in Courchevel 1850, Gstaad or St Moritz complements a city residence in London, Paris or Moscow,’ said Paul Tostevin, associate director of Savills World Research. According to Jeremy Rollason, managing director, Alpine Homes, 2015 has been a tale of two currencies for UK buyers in the Alps. ‘The de-peg of the Swiss franc caught markets off guard, but sterling has since recovered and now trades within a 5% range of the pre-January 2015 exchange rate,’ he said. ‘The weakening euro has helped buyers in euro denominated countries. Currency swings have the effect of either suppressing or stimulating markets through affordability, but the net effect has little influence on property values per se,’ he added. The report shows that buying activity in the Swiss resorts cooled in 2015 with foreign buyers, particularly important to the top end of the market, impacted by the strong Swiss franc. However, despite limited supply of second homes, investment in infrastructure continues and the cache of Swiss resorts remains. Grimentz gained a new lift in the 2014/2015 season linking to neighbouring Zinal and new apartment schemes have followed. La Tzoumaz is also set for revival thanks to a planned lift upgrade, improving connectivity with neighbouring Verbier. Villars, a year round resort with high quality international schools, has seen high levels of new supply in recent years and has suffered from poor snowfall. This has had some impact on pricing and, for those who shop around, there are deals to be done. Prime apartments here trade at between CHF10,000 and CHF12,000 per square meter. The Austrian Alpine resort market has remained strong on the back of a vibrant local economy, which has generated house price growth nationally of 41% since 2008 and the report says that Austria continues to offer excellent value for money compared to the more established French and Swiss resorts. Committed investment in resort… Continue reading

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Commuters an hour from London pay 60% less for a home, new research shows

Average house prices drop from £722,000 in central London to £272,000 in commuter towns an hour outside of London, new research has found. It means that people living up to an hour’s rail journey and commuting to London for work save on average £450,000, or 60%, when it comes to buying a home, according to the analysis from Lloyds Bank. Wellingborough tops the list of the most affordable commuter towns but people that work in Birmingham and Manchester can be better off living in the city centre, rather than commuting, the research also found. Towns that are an hour’s commute from central London include Crawley, Newbury, Colchester and Chatham have an average property price of £272,000 and although commuters face paying an average of £4,944 in travelling costs, a commuter would need to travel for 91 years for the total rail costs to wipe out the difference in average house prices. Buying a home closer to central London saves travel time but not money. Indeed, 20 minutes closer and house prices begin to rise. Commuters from towns approximately 40 minutes away from central London, including Reading, Stevenage, Sidcup and Billericay will have to pay an average house price of £349,000, still some £373,000 or 52% lower than in central London and with a less significant average annual rail travel cost at £3,499. Even at up to 20 minutes distance away from the heart of the capital, commuters from towns such as Ilford, St. Albans and East Croydon benefit from an average house price that is nearly £321,000 lower than in central London. Though examples are rare, some commuters to central London do live in areas that command higher average house prices. For example, commuters to London from Beaconsfield pay a higher average house price at £921,516 than central London while also having to cover the cost of an annual rail cost of £3,788. Nearby, Gerrards Cross also has an average house price that is £32,525 higher. ‘It's no surprise, for London at least, that the further you commute the larger the difference in house prices although, of course, the journey also gets longer and more expensive,’ said Andrew Mason, mortgages director at Lloyds Bank, ‘The decision to commute is not simply a trade-off between financial costs and journey times. Quality of life is an important consideration and in nearly all towns in this survey housing affordability is significantly better with a London salary compared to what can be earned locally,’ he pointed out. ‘For commuters with up to an hour's journey to central London, the reward is an annual salary that is, on average, 22%, or £8,500, higher than what they could earn in their place of residence which is close to £38,500. In the 10 most affordable commuter towns the uplift in annual earnings by working in London is nearly £13,000,’ he explained. One of the key factors for most commuters is the significantly higher annual salaries that can be earned from working in… Continue reading

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