Tag Archives: french
Outlook for investment in Scottish commercial property market positive
With talk of another referendum in Scotland if the UK votes later this month to leave the European Union new research has found that Scottish independence is not a priority for UK property investment. Investors believe that they will still invest in commercial real estate in Scotland as long as yield outperforms other regions as the issue of Scottish independence ranks lower in importance than rental yield, capital growth and a stable tax environment. Just 21% of property investors said independence was an important factor, less than half the 46% who mentioned rental yield, according to the Morton Fraser survey. Overall one in four property investors is open to investing in Scotland with 11% actively monitoring or currently pursuing opportunities. Proportionately, this is above the nation’s 8.9% share of the UK commercial real estate market. It also shows that 85% believe that leaving the EU would have no impact at all on their likelihood to invest in Scotland and 79% of property investors claimed Scotland separating from the UK would not affect their decision to invest. ‘It is easy to overestimate the potential impact of Scottish independence on the property market. Investors are ready to enter the market if the right opportunity arises, regardless of the political status of the country,’ said David Stewart, commercial real estate partner at Morton Fraser. ‘That gives us optimism for the future of the Scottish real estate industry. If the price is right and the market conditions are at least on a par with other regional areas across the UK, investors will follow the returns. The prospect of a neverendum in Scotland may drag investment, but it’s not the deciding factor for many,’ he added. With rental yield the number one criteria for potential British property investors looking to enter the Scottish market, Morton Fraser has uncovered the ‘tipping point’ at which a yield premium would encourage investment. Of the property investors likely to invest in Scotland if there was a higher yield premium, 70% said a benchmark of more than 3% or higher would encourage them to invest, with 31% saying more that 5%. That figure should be viewed in the broader context of many respondents being initially cold on investing in Scotland, so the true figure for active investors is likely to be sharper. ‘Many investors are prepared to overlook ideological or political issues to run the rule over Scottish property investments. The yield gap between Scotland and other regional cities in the rest of the UK can always be met with a quality opportunity whether you are looking to invest in Edinburgh or Manchester, Glasgow or Bristol, a high quality asset will always stand on its own merits,’ Stewart added. Continue reading
Sellers reduce asking prices in Spain as the market become more realistic
Sellers in Spain are becoming more realistic about prices and have reduced asking values which is seen by experts as a good move in terms of keep in the real estate recovery going. Asking prices fell by 0.2% to €1,624 per meter in April, according to data from property portal Fotocasa, compared to a year ago. Meanwhile the latest house price index from the Government shows that prices were up 2.4% in the first quarter of 2016 year on year and up 0.2% quarter on quarter. The Fotocasa asking price index has been fairly stable for the last year, with prices never varying more than 1% either up or down. ‘House prices will continue to go in different directions during 2016,’ said Beatriz Toribio, head of research at Fotocasa. ‘Whilst in some areas of the country prices are stabilising or even rising, in others they continue to fall hard. This is a consequence of the crisis the sector has lived through, which has left a market of two or more speeds that is ever more obvious,’ Toribio added. Since the peak of the market in 2007 average house prices have fallen by 45% but there is some regional variation. Peak to present prices are down by 50.5% in Murcia, 47.5% in the Valencian Region, 47% in Catalonia, 43.9% in Madrid, and 42.6% in Andalusia. The Government figures, however, show that house prices are down 29% since the peak which it outs at the first quarter of 2008 and it adds that price bottomed out in the third quarter of 2014. Prices have increased the most in the Balearics with growth of 9.6%, followed by Catalonia up 4.9%, Madrid up 4.2%, Extremadura up 3.7%, Galicia up 2.6%, the Valencian region up 2.4% and the Canaries also up by 2.4%. The latest mortgage figures show that lending volumes are also up which means more people can buy a home. The data from the National Statistics Institute on Friday reveals that the number of new mortgages listed in the property registers in Spain stood at 22,983 in March, up 4.5% over the same month in 2015. In more good news for the Spanish property market the latest report from the General Council of Notaries show that foreign demand rose by 12.9% in 2015. More than half, 52%, were people buying a holiday home while 48% were foreigners living in Spain. The British were the biggest group of foreign buyers with 21% of the market, followed by the French at 9%, Germans at 7.5%, Belgians at 6% and Italians at 5.5%, the data also shows. The Balearics is the most popular part of Spain with overseas buyers with foreign purchases amounting to 44% of the market, with the Canaries at 39%, Valencia at 37% and Murcia and Andalusia both at 25%. Foreign demand growth was strongest in regions with small markets, where even a modest increase in foreign demand translates into a big increase in percentage terms. Growth was biggest… Continue reading
Parts of prime property market in London hit by economic uncertainty
Some areas in London’s prime property market are experiencing falls in demand from international buyers for reasons of global economic uncertainly, according to a new analysis report. But this is making way for emerging markets in the capital city’s prime sector which are currently outperforming central London, according to the report from property buying agency Black Brick. This comes at a time when overall London’s housing market is set to see increased demand with the population forecast to grow to 10 million. The report suggests that continued local opposition to new developments and limited brownfield sites for new homes developers in London will struggle to meet building targets which will leave the rental sector to take up the slack. Prices currently vary considerably in the prime market with locations in Knightsbridge and South Kensington seeing prices fall but emerging prime areas such as Islington and the City and Fringe have performed strongly. The reason is straightforward, according to Camilla Dell, Black Brick managing partner. ‘Those areas dominated by international buyers have suffered from falls in demand as a result of global uncertainty around falling oil prices, sanctions on Russia, and the slowdown in the Chinese economy, among other factors,’ she said. ‘Conversely, those parts of London, where demand is driven by domestic buyers, have benefited from the perennial shortage of supply and the strong recent performance of the UK economy,’ she explained. ‘In addition, recent changes to taxation have reduced the appeal of more expensive properties; investors seeking attractive rental yields and the prospect of capital appreciation have been pushed towards properties below £2 million, which tends to lead them away from traditional prime areas in West London,’ she added. Dell also pointed out that this complex picture has two related implications for buyers; the first is that they need to cast their nets more widely when carrying out a search; and the second is that they need to consider areas of which they might not have much knowledge. ‘The upshot is that we’re seeing considerable interest from investors in parts of London they aren’t familiar with and they need a buying agent that not only offers broader geographical coverage, but also brings extensive knowledge of emerging prime locations,’ Dell said. ‘In a market that’s going up, it’s hard to make a bad decision, but in a market like this, good guidance is really important,’ she concluded. Continue reading
