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Chinese emerge as enthusiastic buyers of property in the US
The volume of property sold to overseas buyers in the United States has declined slightly but Chinese people are buying more real estate, exceeding the amount of other top international buyers. Research from the National Association of Realtors suggest that waning economic growth in many countries and higher home prices along with a strengthening US dollar was responsible for the slight overall fall. However, the data, covering sales to overseas buyers between April 2015 and March 2016, reveals a significant fall in buying from non-resident foreigners. Sales to overseas buyers amounted to $102.6 billion of residential property, a 1.3% decline from the $103.9 billion of property purchased in the previous year’s survey. Overall, a total of 214,885 residential properties were bought by foreign buyers, up 2.8%, and properties were typically valued higher at $277,380 compared to the median price of all US existing home sales at $223,058. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the figures highlight the tremendous appeal US real estate still has on many foreign nationals despite the price of property becoming less affordable. ‘Weaker economic growth throughout the world, devalued foreign currencies and financial market turbulence combined to present significant challenges for foreign buyers over the past year,’ he explained. ‘While these obstacles led to a cool down in sales from non-resident foreign buyers, the purchases by recent immigrant foreigners rose, resulting in the overall sales dollar volume still being the second highest since 2009,’ he pointed out. He also pointed out that overall foreigners, especially those from China, continue to see the US real estate as a solid investment opportunity and the country as an attractive place to visit and live. According to the survey, sales to non-resident foreign buyers pulled back by approximately $10 billion to the lowest dollar volume since 2013 when it was $35 billion. The decline was largely caused by the decrease in the share of non-resident foreign buyers to foreign residential buyers to 41%, down from the almost even split between the two in previous years. ‘Both the increase in US home prices, up 6% in March 2016 compared to one year ago, and the depreciating value of foreign currencies against the US dollar made buying property a lot pricier last year,’ said Yun. The research shows that at least eight countries, including China and Canada, saw double digit percent increases in the median sales price of a US existing home when measured in their country’s currency, led by Venezuela at 45% and Brazil at 24%. For the fourth year in a row, buyers from China exceeded all countries by dollar volume of sales at $27.3 billion, which was a slight decrease from last year’s survey at $28.6 billion, but over triple the total dollar volume of sales from Canadian buyers who were ranked second at $8.9 billion. Indeed, Chinese buyers purchased the most housing units for the second consecutive year at 29,195 but this was down from 34,327 in 2015, and also typically bought… Continue reading
Housing market demand rises in UK, but falls in London
Demand for homes in the UK has increased by 3% since the first quarter of the year but in London it is a different picture with demand falling by 2%, the latest research shows. Overall, national demand now stands at 40% but it 39% in London but excluding London the demand has grown by 8% since the first three months of the year, according to the hot spot index from eMoov. Despite demand cooling in London the borough of Bexley remains the hottest spot in the UK for property demand at 71%, but this has fallen by 7% since the start of the year. Bristol remains the hottest spot outside of London with demand at 69%, followed by Bedford at 67%, Aylesbury and Medway both at 64%, and Ipswich, Sutton and Watford all at 61%. Both Cambridge and Milton Keynes are no longer in the top 10, replace by Northampton and Coventry at 64% and 58% respectively. While in Scotland Edinburgh is top with 54% and Glasgow at 48%. In Wales Cardiff is at 48% and Swansea 27%. In London some locations are seeing growth with Kingston Upon Thames seeing demand rise to 59% and Southwark 47%, the first and second largest increases across the UK respectively. There has also been a resurgence for property demand across the North East. Stockton-on-Tees at 47%, North Tyneside at 46%, Gateshead at 42%, Durham at 37% and Newcastle at 32% have recorded some of the biggest increases in property demand since the first quarter of 2016. The coldest spot for demand is the London borough of Westminster at 12% along with Kensington and Chelsea, with Hammersmith and Fulham at 17% and Camden at 20%. Aberdeen is also in the bottom group at 13%. ‘The changes to stamp duty tax brackets for those looking to secure a second home or buy-to-let property seem to have hit the London market harder than the rest of the UK. Despite London tending to drive the UK market as a whole, it would seem for once, it has taken a back seat whilst the rest of the UK has enjoyed upward growth on the first quarter of this year,’ said Russell Quirk, chief executive of eMoov. ‘That said national demand is still lower than the levels seen at the back end of last year and the big decider on which way it goes now will be Britain's choice to leave the European Union. There has been a lot of talk about the consequence of this vote on the UK property market with many forecasting a detrimental impact on house prices. We don't believe this to be the case and I'm certain that our third quarter index will show a further increase in property demand across the nation,’ he added. Continue reading
UK property prices record surprise 1.3% rise in June
Property prices in the UK increased by 1.3% in June but the underlying pace of growth is slowing with year on year prices down to 8.4% from 9.2% in May, the lowest since July 2015. This takes the average price to £216,823 and the data from the Halifax house price index also shows that quarterly growth was 1.2%, also down, compared to 1.5% the previous month and the lowest since December 2014. ‘House prices continue to increase, albeit at a slower rate, but this precedes the European Union referendum result, therefore it is far too early to determine any impact since,’ said Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. He pointed out that the month on month changes can be erratic and the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend. The figures show that despite Brexit the UK housing market is fundamentally strong, according to Russell Quirk, chief executive of eMoov. ‘With a continuing, acute shortage of new housing being built and a growing population even if immigration numbers are now curtailed, the demand and supply imbalance and the prospect of even low interest rates will underpin the market,’ he said. David Cheetham, market analyst and FX broker at XTB, pointed out that the month on month rise could be regarded as unexpected following an increase of just 0.6% the previous month. ‘The rise is somewhat surprising considering the impact on house building shares and property funds that has been seen following Britain's decision to leave the EU last month,’ he explained. ‘The worst hit shares in the FTSE100, in both the immediate aftermath and days that followed the Brexit were in the building sector with the majority of observers forecasting the decision to be negative for UK house prices. So far this week numerous asset managers have taken the steps of suspending trading in their property funds as withdrawals have surged amongst jittery investors,’ he pointed out. Sales should start to pick up in the coming months, according to Rob Weaver, director of investments at property crowdfunding platform Property Partner. ‘The fundamentals in the housing market remain unchanged. People still need a roof over their heads. There’s been a stand-off between sellers and buyers with transactions dropping off since the stampede in March to beat the stamp duty deadline. But sales should start to pick up in coming months with the weight of uncertainty now partially lifted,’ he said. ‘While people clearly delayed house purchases in the lead-up to the referendum, that backlog in transactions should unwind through the second half of the year. Life decisions like moving house can’t be put on hold forever. During periods of volatility in the stock and currency markets, investors tend to prefer assets which can provide a reliable income, combined with lower risk to preserve their wealth. For investors, residential property offers both of these attributes,’ he pointed out. ‘Historically, residential property has been the best performing… Continue reading
