Tag Archives: financial
Fewer arrears for tenants in UK as jobs market improves
Fewer tenants in the UK are falling into serious rent arrears thanks to the improving employment market and landlords are benefitting from healthier tenant finances, according to the latest lettings agents report. In absolute terms, just 86,200 tenants across the UK are more than two months behind in their rent in the first quarter of 2016 compared to 89,300 in the previous quarter, a fall of 4%. The data from the report from Your Move and Reeds Rains also shows that just 1% face serious arrears and for landlords there are the fewest buy to let mortgage arrears since 2007. Since 2008, there have been on average 92,600 tenants in serious arrears in the first quarter of each year meaning that the first quarter of 2016 is also substantially lower than the long term average. ‘Fewer tenants in serious arrears reflect the health of the jobs market. With an extra 44,000 jobs created in the first quarter of this year, thousands of tenants have been able to get their finances back on track and pay down late rent,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. He explained that serious rent arrears peaked in the third quarter of 2012 when 124,800 households owed more than two months’ rent and when unemployment in the UK stood at 7.9%. Since then a boom in employment has been responsible for lifting many of the most precarious tenant households out of serious rent arrears and onto a more sustainable course. The direction of travel looks very positive. ‘A reduced risk of serious rent arrears will be welcome news for existing landlords, facing so many artificial challenges posed by government meddling. But no one should be complacent as managing a property is never simple. Some landlords are being held back from buying property by the Stamp Duty Surcharge. If this stems the flow of new homes into the rental market, then shortages in some areas could push up rents and hitting affordability,’ Gill pointed out. The number of tenants more than two months behind with rent has fallen by 16% since the eve of the financial crisis and recession in the second quarter of 2008 from 102,900 to today’s total of 86,200. This is despite the expansion, over exactly the same period. At the start of this period, there were 3.6 million households living in the UK private rented sector. Now, after just eight years, this has grown by 62% to reach a total of 5.8 million households as of the first quarter of 2016. ‘The massive growth in the number of homes available to rent, driven by both deliberate landlords and accidental landlords coming into the market, has ensured that rents have not outpaced the ability of tenants to pay. The affordability of renting and the number of tenants falling behind on rent also needs to be seen within the context of… Continue reading
New report sets out how sensitive the UK housing market is to the economy
There are almost 30 million residential properties in the UK with the market linked to income, wealth and availability of income which makes is sensitive to the overall economic climate, according to a new report. The overview from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) shows that as of 2014 there were 28.1 million properties and as the population continues to grow housing is set to remain an important topic. Since 1980, there has been considerable fluctuation in the UK housing market. Overall, there has been growing demand and relatively limited supply growth. House prices have been increasing, and first time buyers are finding it more difficult to get on the property ladder while home ownership among younger age groups generally has declined. The report points out that on average house prices have increased by 7% per year since 1980 and the year with the greatest annual increase in house prices was 25.6% recorded in 1988 while by 2015, the average price (mix adjusted) of a property in the UK stood at £279,000. There were seven years between 1980 and 2013 where, on average, UK house prices fell, the majority of which occurred during the recession of the early 1990s. The biggest drop, however, was 7.6% in 2009. The economic downturn in 2008 had a considerable impact on the UK housing market. The decline in house prices was accompanied by reduced mortgage availability and stricter lending criteria. The analysis also shows that the number of property sales in the UK almost halved from a peak of 1.67 million in 2006 to 0.85 million in 2009 but since then the number of sales has partially recovered, increasing to 1.23 million in 2015. According to the report rising house prices could partially explain the decline in the number of first time buyers taking out a mortgage, although other economic factors will play a role. From the 1980s until the early 2000s there were typically between 400,000 and 600,000 loans to first time buyers each year. However, in 2003 there was a 31% decline and then in 2008 there was a further 47% decrease, the largest in the series, as the economic downturn affected the housing market. In recent years the number of first time buyers has been recovering, although numbers fell in 2015 and the levels remain below those seen before 2003 and the reduction in the numbers of first time buyers has subsequently had an impact on the age of home owners. In 1991, 67% of the 25 to 34 age group were home owners. By the financial year ending 2014, this had declined to 36%. There were also reductions in home ownership over the same period for the 16 to 24 age group from 36% to 9% and for the 35 to 44 age group from 78% to 59%. By contrast, home ownership has increased among older age groups. Another changing aspect of the housing market is the percentage of purchase price being paid as… Continue reading
Residential rents falling across much of Scotland, latest index shows
Scottish rents increased just 0.6% year on year and were down 0.4% month on month in April, marking the smallest annual rise seen since the start of 2013, the latest index shows. Across Scotland the average rent now stands at £542, but Edinburgh and the Lothians shun the wider slowdown with a record 10.5% jump in rents since last year. The data from the Your Move index also shows that tenant arrears are escalating as the level of late rent climbed for the second consecutive month, up to 11.6%. The annual rise represents a significant downturn in rates of year on year growth from 1.1% recorded in March, and 2.1% in February and average rents are at their lowest since April 2015. Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland, pointed out that overall rents haven’t risen at such a leisurely place for three years but the market is seeing many price fluctuations and also isn’t uniform across the country. ‘The lettings market is always at the mercy of local supply and demand, and in Edinburgh and the surrounding areas we’re seeing extraordinarily fast rent rises, as tenant competition shines brightest around the glow of the jobs market. Supply and demand need to strike a lasting equilibrium to prevent rent growth taking off and leaving tenants by the wayside and that’s a tall order in today’s regulatory environment,’ he explained. He also pointed out that landlords are up against a considerable number of hurdles, including a higher rate of stamp duty on property purchases, reductions in tax relief, and the Private Tenancies Bill. ‘While levied at landlords, these measures could soon hurt thousands of tenants too if buy to let investment retreats as a result and there are less houses and flats to rent,’ he added. On a monthly basis, rents were cheaper in all but one region of Scotland in April. The Highlands and Islands had the fastest drop in average rents in April, falling 1.7% on March, reducing typical rents in the region to £537 per month, the lowest level seen since December 2014. Rents in Glasgow and Clyde fell on a monthly basis for the fourth consecutive month, down by 1% in April to £538 while in the East of Scotland rents were 0.6% lower in April than in March, while the South experienced the smallest month on month reduction, down by 0.1%. Edinburgh and the Lothians is the only region to experience an increase in rents since March, up a solid 0.8% month on month following on from rises of 0.2% in March and 0.3% in February. In the longer term, rents also fell across the majority of Scotland year on year in April. Of the three regions to see rents decrease on an annual basis, Glasgow and the Clyde had the steepest drop with average rents 3.9% lower than in April 2015. Rents… Continue reading