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Buy to let property returns up almost 10% year on year in England and Wales

Total returns for buy to let property in England and Wales rose to 9.57% in the 12 months to the end of March, according to the latest buy to let index to be published. Overall buy to let portfolios fell 0.31% month on month, were up by 2.31% quarter on quarter, and by 9.57% year on year, the data from the Property Partner residential market index shows. The growth over 12 months has been led by London where buy to let returns increased by 16.49%, followed by the East of England with a rise of 13.18%, the South East 12.1% and the East Midlands 8.59%. The North West was not far behind with a rise of 8.44% and the South West at 8.42%. The West Midlands saw a rise of 6.08%, Yorkshire and Humberside 4.51% and the North East 2.57%. According to Rob Weaver, Property Partner’s director of investment the strong growth in the year to March 2016 was probably affected by property investors rushing to beat April’s additional home stamp duty deadline. ‘This was especially true of London, where annual returns were in double digits, reaching an eye-watering 16.5%. The East was strong too, and from first hand experience the Northern Powerhouse regeneration plan is boosting investment activity in the North West and in particular Manchester,’ he said. He pointed out that monthly figures can be volatile. ‘What’s clear is that regional disparities in the housing market are widening, with Yorkshire and Humberside and the North East regions looking fragile,’ he explained. He also pointed out that property investors are showing caution ahead of the referendum in June on the future of the UK’s position in the European Union. ‘But the fundamentals of high employment, wage growth, cheap borrowing and the chronic shortage of supply remain in place and are positive,’ he added. The index is the first regular dataset to combine rental income and capital growth to show the total rate of return of residential property investments over time. It is based on research carried out by the property crowdfunding platform Property Partner of Land Registry and ONS data. Continue reading

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Capital city home values in Australia up 3.3% in first four months of 2016

Home values in Australian capital cities continued to rise in the first four months of 2016, up 3.3% compared to the same period in 2015, the latest index shows. In April, the pace of capital gains rebounded from the relatively flat numbers recorded in March, with dwelling values increasing by an average of 1.7%, according to the Corelogic April home value index. Across the country, housing market trends remain mixed, however, and CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless noted that the improvement in the rate of capital gains has been ‘broad based’ during 2016 with every capital city except Perth recording a lift in dwelling values over the calendar year to date. ‘The results show value growth moved at a faster pace compared with the final three months of 2015 when capital city dwelling values slid 1.4% lower off the back of weaker market conditions in Sydney and Melbourne,’ he explained. ‘While we’ve seen capital gains moderate substantially after peaking last year in Sydney and Melbourne, dwelling values continue to trend higher, just not as fast,’ he added. The data shows that the annual rate of growth in Sydney peaked at 18.4% in July last year and has since moderated back to slightly less than half the peak rate of growth, at 8.9% over the most recent 12 month period. Melbourne’s housing market continues to show a level of resilience to a slowing trend, however the annual growth rate has fallen from a recent peak of 14.2% to the current annual growth rate of 10.1% but Melbourne was the only capital city to see double digit growth over the past year. Perth and Darwin remain as the only two capital city markets to experience a decline in home values over the past 12 months, with Perth values down 2.1% and Darwin values 3.7% lower. ‘With recent month on month increases in home values in these two cities, the declining trend rate is now levelling. This may be an early sign that these markets are beginning to find their cyclical trough after more than a year of annual declines,’ said Lawless. Over the current growth cycle, which commenced broadly in June 2012, capital city dwelling values have moved 34.4% higher, led by a 52.7% rise in Sydney home values and a 37.1% lift in Melbourne values. Lawless pointed out that this highlights the two tiered nature of Australia’s housing market at present. Brisbane experienced the third highest rate of dwelling value growth over the growth cycle to date and dwelling values in the city are now up 18% and Lawless explained that Australia’s regional markets also exhibited a lift in house values over the year to date. He added that while house values across the non-capital city markets have generally underperformed compared with the capital city regions, regional house values moved 2.4% higher over the first quarter of the year. Continue reading

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UK housing market needs to address needs of ageing population, says new report

The need for an increase in the supply of new housing across the UK is now recognised as a key social and political issue but it needs to include housing for a rapidly ageing populations, says a new report. New home building needs to be widened with policymakers looking at how it can meet the needs of different buyers, especially older people, according to the latest Retirement Housing report from real estate firm Knight Frank. It points out that the population in the UK is expected to increase by nearly 10 million over the next 25 years, taking the total number of people to 74.3 million by 2039 and says that a rapidly growing population has ramifications for an already stretched housing market in the UK. But within this overarching challenge there is an issue which is becoming more pressing and that is providing housing suitable for an ageing population. Around 23% of the population are currently aged over 60. During the next 20 years this proportion will rise to 29%. This will push the median age across the UK from 40 today to nearly 43 in 2039, by which time nearly one in 12 people will be aged 80 or over, according to forecasts from the Office for National Statistics. In terms of housing, official data shows that households headed by older people account for nearly 30% of all dwellings. Of the projected increase in all households between 2012 and 2037, more than three quarters will be headed up by someone aged 65 or over, the report says. It explains that a significant cohort of home owners do not want to move house in older age, and instead will make changes to their current home to accommodate changes in their lifestyle and health as time goes on. ‘However, there are also a notable proportion of older people who do envisage moving house or downsizing to a home that better suits their requirements. This may mean moving to a more manageable property and moving to be much closer to amenities in the centres of towns and cities,’ the report adds. Specialist Knight Frank research shows that around 25% of those aged over 55 said they wanted to move into some sort of retirement housing in the future. This equates to around 2.5 million households. Meanwhile, a recent snapshot of buying intentions across 1,500 UK households within Knight Frank’s House Price Sentiment Index, produced in conjunction with Markit Economics, showed that 29% of over 55s planned to buy a property at some point in the future, while 35% were undecided. It adds that while some of these intentions may relate to investment property, the overall picture is one where the idea of downsizing is not being ruled out. It also explains that the UK housing market currently has a significant supply shortage, but the scale of the undersupply in retirement housing is highlighted when we examine the pipeline of new housing being built. Only… Continue reading

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