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Confidence among UK private sector landlords remains subdued

Confidence remains low among UK landlords as a result of recent government interventions in the buy to let market but buyers are slowly returning to the market, says a new survey. Overall, landlords report improved buying intentions, growth in tenant demand and yields and confidence is stable but remains at subdued levels, according to the research by BDRC Continental on behalf of Paragon Mortgages. Following an increase in the rate of stamp duty payable on buy to let purchases, and with a staged reduction in income tax relief available on rental income due start next year, landlord confidence remained low in the first quarter of 2016. Asked about expected business in the next three months, just 41% of landlords rated their prospects as being either ‘good’ or ‘very good’. This is down from 65% during the same period last year, prior to the government’s clampdown on buy to let. Indicating that falling levels of confidence may have stabilised however, the figure is just 2% down on the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this, the survey also saw landlords’ property purchase intentions edge above selling intentions, reversing the situation seen in the final quarter of 2015 when more landlords were looking to sell property than were looking to buy. Some 19% of landlords indicated that they intend to purchase a property in the coming year, up from 17% in the fourth quarter of 2015 while 16% of landlords indicated that they intend to sell a property, down from 19% in the previous quarter. Driving this trend was an increase in tenant demand, with 39% of landlords reporting demand as increasing either slightly or significantly, up from 34% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this increase, landlords reporting tenant demand as being stable declined from 40% to 36%. The research also shows that yields in the first quarter of2016 also grew slightly on the previous quarter, averaging 5.7%. Despite negativity persisting around business expectations over the short term, rental property as an asset class is still viewed favourably by landlords. Some 38% of landlords polled believe investing in the PRS to be ‘much better’ than other investment options such as stocks and shares. A further 33% believe investing in the PRS to be a ‘little better’ than other investments and just 10% believe an investment in the PRS is worse than other investments. ‘Increased stamp duty, as well as reduced levels of income tax relief for landlords due to come into force next April, have undoubtedly impacted landlord sentiment. Confidence by some measures is down by around a third when compared to the same period last year. That said, this data does suggest that confidence is stabilising,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘In the previous quarter we saw more landlords respond very negatively to the announcements on stamp duty and tax on rental income with more intending to sell rather than buy property, this trend is now reversed and purchase… Continue reading

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Average house prices in British seaside towns up over 30% in 10 years

House prices have increased by 32% across British seaside towns over the past decade, amounting to £440 per month, according to the latest research. The annual Halifax Seaside Town Review revealed average house prices have grown from £166,565 in 2006 to £219,386 in 2016, equivalent to an average increase of £440 per month. Scottish seaside towns dominate the list of areas with the greatest price growth, with seven of the top 10 located in Aberdeenshire, which for much of the period has been well served by growth in the oil and gas sector. Fraserburgh has seen the greatest house price growth with a rise of 139%, from £63,540 in 2006 to £151,719 in 2016, equivalent to a monthly increase of £735. In Macduff, average property value doubled from £66,226 to £133,567 or 102%, followed by Peterhead up 95%, Cove Bay up 94% and Newtonhill up 91%. Brighton recorded the greatest increase in value outside of Scotland with prices up 59% from £214,863 to £341,235 over the decade. Other seaside towns in England with the best price performance include Whitstable in Kent up 53%, Shoreham on Sea in West Sussex also up 53%, Leigh on Sea in Essex up 52% and Truro in Cornwall up 50%. Despite the growth of property values in Scottish seaside towns over the past 10 years, nine of the 10 most expensive seaside towns in Britain are on the South coast with eight in the South West. The most expensive seaside town is Sandbanks in Poole, where the average house price is £664,655. Sandbanks knocked Salcombe off the top spot, a position which Salcombe, in the South Devon Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty, has had since 2010. Other most expensive seaside towns located in the South West include Padstow with an average price of £443,396, Dartmouth at £401,361 and Fowey at £379,003. Aldeburgh in Suffolk at £439,379 and Lymington in Hampshire at £426,112 are the most expensive seaside towns outside the South West. ‘Seaside towns are highly popular places to live, offering sought after scenery, weather and lifestyle which no doubt come at a price. They also attract those looking for holiday properties, which add upward pressure on house prices, which our research shows have increased by an average of £440 per month since 2006,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. Despite the price performance nine of the least expensive seaside towns are in Scotland. There is a marked difference in price at top and bottom end of the scale, with the least expensive town Port Bannatyne on the Isle of Bute at £77,132. Seven of the least expensive are in western Scotland, including Girvan at £91,912, Campbeltown at £91,938 and Saltcoats at £93,479. Newbiggin by the Sea in Northumberland at £81,259 is the least expensive seaside town in England. The research found 11 seaside towns in total with an average price below £100,000. ‘Over the 10 year period, coastal towns north of the border… Continue reading

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Demand from buyers in UK falls to two year low

Demand for housing in the UK is at its lowest level in two years with the number of house hunters making enquiries down by a fifth in April, new research shows. Estate agents also reported that the number of sales made to first time buyers fell in April. The April Housing Market report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) shows there were 325 house hunters registered per member branch on average last month. This was the lowest number recorded since March 2014, when there were 313 house buyers recorded at each estate agent branch. This means demand has decreased by 22% from 417 in March. Last month, the supply of houses available for buyers also decreased by 35% from 54 properties available in March to 35 in April. Some 26% of the total sales made in April were to first time buyers, a decrease of 2% compared to March. However, some 33% of estate agents expect sales to this group to increase following the buy to let stamp duty changes as buy to let landlords exit the market, potentially freeing up properties for first time buyers. The monthly research also found that 24% of estate agents expect house prices to decrease and a further 23% expect demand to decrease if Britain votes to leave the European Union in the referendum on 23 June. Indeed, a recent Brexit report from the NAEA and that Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) revealed that by 2018, a Brexit would reduce the average UK house price by £2,300 to £300,900. However, if Britain remains in the EU, the average UK home could cost £303,000 by 2018. ‘It’s no surprise that demand dropped significantly in April. Some 80% of agents saw an increase in purchasers trying to beat the buy to let stamp duty changes before the 01 April deadline, so we expected to see a slow down immediately following the deadline,’ said NEA managing director Mark Hayward. ‘Whilst the number of house hunters registered per branch dropped in April, the supply of available housing to buy also fell quite sharply, so supply and demand are still moving in the opposite direction, rather than balancing out,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the upcoming EU Referendum means we’ve entered a period of uncertainty, as buyers put off their hunt in anticipation of the result, and what might happen to prices as a result,’ he added. Continue reading

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