Tag Archives: finance
UK is running out of bricks to build new homes
A shortage of bricks is a contributing factor in rising house prices in the UK over the past decade with new research suggesting 1.4 billion are needed to meet demand. With demand for new homes growing it means that the number of bricks, the most used traditional building material in the UK, cannot keep up with development, according to research from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr). The UK’s construction sector would require a total of 1.4 billion bricks in order to resolve the housing shortage in the UK, the equivalent of the total amount which would be needed to build all the houses in Leicestershire. The research report says that between 2006 and 2016, the growing UK population triggered exponential growth in demand, and has now outgrown the number of houses being built. Given that in 2016 the average UK home is made up of 5,180 bricks, resolving the housing shortage of 264,000 units would require 1.4 billion bricks. While house prices are impacted by numerous macroeconomic factors, they are fundamentally driven by the supply and demand of housing units. The shortage of homes has led to sharp house price appreciation and prevented many prospective buyers from getting on to the property ladder. The 1.4 billion bricks deficit could in theory build several of the UK’s famous landmarks several times over including 740 Big Bens, 40 Tower Bridges, 3,090 Manchester Town Halls, 4,540 Warwick Castles and 5,830 Conwy Castles. There are concerns that the impact of Brexit could significantly worsen the issue. In 2015 some 85% of all imported clay and cement which are primary brick components, came from the European Union and the report suggests that depending on how trade negotiations develop, Brexit could have a considerable impact on supply. It also explains that the UK’s brick stock steadily declined between 2008 and 2013 and only partially recovered in 2014 and 2015. Two thirds of small and medium sized construction businesses faced a two month wait for new brick orders last year, with almost a quarter waiting for up to four months and 16% waiting six to eight months. This can partially be explained by the slowdown in building following the recession, it adds, but even although new homes are becoming smaller there are still not enough bricks. Over the past 100 years, the size of the average UK home has shrunk significantly. In the 1920s the average dwelling was 153 square meters and now it is approximately half the size at 83 square meter, meaning homes have shrunk by 46% in the last century. This is partly a result of the fact families are generally smaller, so require less space, however the decrease can also be explained by financial restrictions. As house prices have risen by 45% over the past 10 years house buyers have been forced… Continue reading
More homes selling in Australia for over $1 million
Fewer lower prices houses are being sold in Australia with the residential property market seeing more the number of $1 million plus home sales soaring. Over the 12 months to June 2016 some 14% of all house sales and 7.3% of all unit sales were at a price of at least $1 million, according to the data from real estate firm Corelogic. To put these figures into perspective, just five years ago 7.5% of all house sales and 4% of all unit sales were within this price range. Capital cities have predictably seen a much higher proportion of sales of at least $1 million over the past year. Across all house sales, more than one in five sales, 20.9%, were for at least $1 million compared to 8.9% of all unit sales. In the regional areas of the country housing sales prices are typically lower than they are in capital cities, the report points out, while also showing that the difference between the proportion of house and unit sales of at least $1 million is much narrower. In regional areas that units are only located in larger regional markets and often are positioned in relatively expensive in waterfront locations. The historical data shows that often the proportion of unit sales at or above $1 million has been above that for houses and over the past year, 3.3% of all regional house sales and 3% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. Over the past 10 years in particular there has been a substantial rise in the proportion of sales of at least $1 million. In Sydney over the past year more than two out of every five house sales was at least $1 million and in Melbourne it was one in five. Sydney had a higher proportion of total unit sales of at least $1 million than the proportion of house sales at that price point in each city except for Melbourne. The report also points out that as the supply of affordable homes selling has declined significantly over recent years, an increasing proportion of stock is selling for a seven figure sum. It adds that demand for premium housing and within the most expensive areas of the country remains buoyant which suggests that over the coming year the proportion of sales at a price point of at least $1 million will continue to rise. Continue reading
Property prices in Scotland down slightly in run up to Brexit, but up 4% year on year
Residential property prices in Scotland increased by 4% year on year in June but fell by 0.4% month on month, according to the latest data to be published. Overall prices flattened slightly in the run up to the European Union referendum with the first monthly decline since February but it was still the largest annual growth rate since May 2015, says the Your Move Acadata index. While monthly house prices were down compared to May, the average price of property was £170,404 in June, still 0.97% higher compared to the start of the year. A breakdown of the figures shows that a number of areas did not see prices fall in June, most notable Aberdeen where a fall in oil prices have hit the city hard in recent months, but it saw prices rise by 1.6% month on month. Prices increased month on month by 3.8% in Glasgow, by 2.8% in East Dunbartonshire, by 2.5% in Stirling, by 2% in Shetland, by 1% in Moray, by 1.3% in South Lanarkshire, by 1.2% in North Lanarkshire, by 0.5% in Argyll and Bute, by 0.4% in West Dunbartonshire, by 0.2% in Renfrewshire, the Borders and East Ayrshire, by 0.1% in South Ayrshire and North Ayrshire and were unchanged in Edinburgh. Prices fell by 6.4% in Inverclyde, by 5.9% in Fife, by 5% in Perth and Kinross, by 3.9% in East Lothian, by 3.5% in Dumfries and Galloway, by 3.3% in Orkney, by 3% in West Lothian, by 2.4% in Dundee, by 2.4% in Clackmannanshire, by 2.3% in East Renfrewshire, by 1.8% in Midlothian, by 1.3% in Aberdeenshire and by 0.1% in Falkirk. Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, pointed out that the data covers the period up to the end of June, so any impact from Brexit is not yet reflected in the figures. ‘What we can see is that the underlying fundamentals of the market remain strong. We’re benefitting from record low mortgage rates, high employment levels, and high demand for property. Following April’s introduction of the 3% tax increase on second homes, house prices and transaction figures remain arguably skewed in the second quarter of this year, as buyers pushed to complete before the surcharge came into effect,’ she said. She also explained that June was the first month that the spike in house prices as a result of the 2015 LBTT changes dropped out of the annual figures. ‘This previous distortion in property prices goes some way to explaining the seemingly significant annual price increase we saw this June,’ she commented. ‘Whilst market sentiment remains strong, with continued demand from both buyers and sellers, it will be interesting to watch how potential Brexit implications play into transaction and price figures over the coming months,’ she added. ‘Long term, the outlook for the housing market looks favourable. However, with housing demand continuing to vastly outstrip supply, it is important that we see a concerted focus on building new property to ensure there are… Continue reading
