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Canadian property prices up 2.5% year on year, excluding Vancouver and Toronto
National home sales rose by 1.8% from September to October in Canada while prices were up 6.7% year on year, according to the latest index from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). Actual, not seasonally adjusted, activity was little changed with growth of 0.1% compared to October 2014 while the number of newly listed homes was up 0.9% and CREA says that the Canadian housing market remains balanced overall. The data also shows that the national average sale price rose 8.3% year on year but excluding Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto, it increased by 2.5%. There was an even split between the number of markets where sales posted a monthly increase and those where sales declined. The national increase was driven by monthly sales gains in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia together with the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and surrounding areas, led by the York Region, Central Toronto, and Hamilton-Burlington. ‘The continuation of low interest rates is supporting home sales activity. Even so, the strength of sales activity varies by location and price segment across Canada,’ said CREA president Pauline Aunger. October extended resale housing market trends of recent months, according to Gregory Klump, CREA’s chief economist. He pointed out that single detached homes continue to be in short supply while demand for them remains strong in a number of active and populous housing markets in British Columbia and Ontario. Meanwhile, an ample supply of condo apartments remains. ‘The balance between supply and demand is generally tighter for single detached homes than it is for condo apartments and that’s unlikely to change any time soon. For that reason, price gains for single detached homes should continue to outstrip those for condo apartment units for some time,’ added Klump. Actual sales were up from year ago levels in half of all local markets, led by the Lower Mainland region of British Columbia, the GTA and Montreal. Gains there were largely offset by a drop in activity in the Calgary region, where sales were down considerably from the record set last year for transactions during the month of October. Year on year price growth slowed in in October for one and two storey single family homes, but picked up for townhouse/row and apartment units. Two storey single family homes continue to post the biggest year on year price gains with growth of 8.67% followed by one storey single family homes up 6.02%, townhouse/row units up 4.88% and apartment units up 4.39%. Year on year price growth varied among housing markets tracked by the index. Greater Vancouver was up 15.33% and Greater Toronto was up 10.33% and continue to post double digit year on year price increases. Meanwhile, price gains in the Fraser Valley increased by 10.51%. By comparison, Victoria and Vancouver Island prices saw year on year gains that ranged between 5% and 7% in October. Prices in Calgary edged down by 1% year on year and prices in Saskatoon were down 1.5%. Prices… Continue reading
Landlord sentiment survey reveals impact of tax changes for buy to let
The UK Government’s reduction of landlord buy to let tax relief looks set to have an impact with landlords in the private rented sector looking to sell up, according to new research. The latest sentiment survey indicates that the tax changes, announced as part of the Summer Budget, are proving a major concern for buy to let investors. Currently, 9% of landlords think it’s a good time to sell up, with the tax reforms influencing their decision more than any other factor. Indeed, according to the survey from lettings agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, many fear letting out a property will become far less profitable when the reforms start to come into force in April 2017, and they are now considering leaving the sector as a result. This loss of enthusiasm is even dampening the optimism of the 31% of landlords who think that now is a good time to buy rental properties and 44% believe investing in buy to let property is more complicated than it was six months ago. The survey report says that this is due to more rigorous regulation, also introduced as part of the Budget, which includes requirements for landlords to check their tenants’ immigrations status before they let their properties. Some 19% of landlords are daunted by this task, and now feel unequipped to let out their houses without the support of letting agents to manage their investment. The survey also shows that 24% of landlords believe the legislation on letting out properties has become more confusing, with 11% feeling that they don’t fully understand the current regulations. These changes are denting landlord confidence, and general disenchantment with the letting industry was an important factor for 23% of landlords who think now is a good time to sell. ‘Landlords could be forgiven for feeling a little deflated at the moment and its worrying to see this may motivate many to reconsider their investment. The Government’s tax changes appear to be making investing in buy to let less attractive because of the seemingly smaller profits margins on offer in the future,’ said Adrian Gill, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains. He pointed out that if a tenth of landlords do decide to leave the industry, this would seriously shrink the number of properties available for tenants. ‘At a time when tenant demand is only rising, shorter supply will only translate into increased rents. This may mean landlords are underestimating the likely pace of future rent rises,’ he explained. ‘The government needs to cut the red tape involved in providing homes for renters if they hope to maintain a healthy supply of rental properties. With the Bank of England keeping a wary eye on the buy to let market, further regulatory interference may only make landlords’ and tenants’ lives harder. We need landlords to stay in the market and invest further in the sector,… Continue reading
UK house prices see high growth in East and South East
UK house prices increased by 0.8% in September and were 6.1% year on year, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statists (ONS). House price annual growth was strongest in Northern Ireland at 10.2% followed by England at 6.4% and there was a 1.1% rise in Wales and Scotland. Annual house price increases in England were driven by the East with year on year growth of 8.4% and the South East up 7.4%. But excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 5% in the 12 months to September 2015. The data also shows that in September 2015, prices paid by first time buyers were 4.3% higher on average than in September 2014. For owner occupiers prices increased 6.9% for the same period. Neal Hudson, associate director of Savills research, pointed out that the continued growth in the ONS house price index highlights the impact of increasing competition by mortgage lenders on a low stock housing market. ‘Potential buyers that have a deposit are benefiting from historically low mortgage rates, increasing net lending, and are now able to borrow record high multiples of their income. That is despite the introduction of tougher affordability tests following MMR last year. The average buyer no longer has an average income, and so home ownership remains a dream for the many who still aspire to it,’ he added. The growth is being driven by constricted supply and fewer home owners selling, according to Rishi Passi, chief executive officer of Oblix Capital. ‘Improving economic conditions, rising wages and postponed interest rate rise expectations are all also bringing more buyers to the market, stoking up demand and inflating prices in the lower end of the market,’ he said. ‘The good news is that rising prices in this band will attract further investment and provide opportunities for developers, especially SMEs and should lead to an increase in attention paid to providing houses for this underserved end of the market,’ he added. Alex Gosling, chief executive officer of online estate agents HouseSimple, believes that there is likely to be a slight cooling in price growth in the coming weeks leading up to Christmas. ‘But, while demand continues to significantly outstrip supply, and interest rates remain static, we could well see a price spurt at the beginning of 2016. The market desperately needs a boost in new properties being listed if supply is ever to come close to catching up with demand,’ he added. First time buyers could be being outbid by existing home owners because they are more reliant on mortgages which are constrained by tougher lending criteria, according to Rob Weaver, director of Investments at property crowdfunding platform Property Partner. ‘Despite cheap finance, the tightening of the lending rules has made it increasingly difficult to get a mortgage and hence may be having a negative impact on supply. Longer term, property remains a good, solid investment… Continue reading
