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Supply shortage pushing up property prices in the US
Shortage of supply is keeping house prices in the United States on the up across most of the nation but growth is slowing to a more healthy paces, according to the latest quarterly report. Overall prices increased during the third quarter of the year with the median existing home single family home price up in 87% of markets. Some 154 out of 178 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) showing gains based on closings in the third quarter compared with the third quarter of 2014, the data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows. And 24 or 13% of areas recorded lower median prices from a year earlier. There were slightly fewer rising markets in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, when price gains were recorded in 93% of metro areas while 21 or 12% of metro areas in the third quarter saw double digit increases, a fall from the 34 metro areas in the second quarter. Some 16 or 9% of metro areas saw double digit increases in the third quarter of 2014. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, there is no question the housing market had its best quarter in nearly a decade. ‘The demand for buying picked up speed in many metro areas during the summer as more households entered the market, encouraged by favourable mortgage rates and improving local economies,’ he said. ‘While price growth still teetered near or above unhealthy levels in some markets, the good news is that there was some moderation despite the stronger pace of sales,’ he added. The national median existing single family home price in the third quarter was $229,000, up 5.5% from the third quarter of 2014 when it was $217,100. The median price during the second quarter of this year increased 8.2% from a year earlier. Total existing home sales, including single family and condo, increased 3.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in the third quarter from 5.30 million in the second quarter, and are 8.3% higher than the 5.06 million pace during the third quarter of 2014. Yun explained that sales had the potential to be even higher last quarter given the decline in mortgage rates and favourable economic conditions. ‘Unfortunately, the lack of any meaningful gains in housing supply pushed prices in some areas above what some potential buyers, especially first time buyers, are able to afford,’ he added. The five most expensive housing markets in the third quarter were the San Jose, California metro area, where the median existing single family price was $965,000, San Francisco at $809,400, Anaheim–Santa Ana, California at $715,300, Honolulu at $714,000 and San Diego at $554,400. The five lowest cost metro areas in the third quarter were Cumberland, Maryland, where the median single family home price was $82,400, Youngstown–Warren–Boardman, Ohio, at $90,700, Decatur, Illinois at $101,400, Rockford, Illinois at $102,800 and Elmira, New York at $108,800. ‘Many of the metro areas with the fastest price appreciation over the past year… Continue reading
More British buyers in the prime London property market, research suggests
Domestic buyers have risen to a new level of prominence in the London property market as overseas purchasers are being put off by current property tax levels, it is claimed. In the third quarter of this year some 79% of property purchases were made by domestic UK buyers, up from 75% a year ago, according to the latest London Property Monitor from March & Parson. The firm says that sales activity from domestic buyers has surged forwards to fill the gap left by overseas buyers and investors, who have been left more cautious by the strong sterling, stricter Government measures on non-domicile status, and heftier Stamp Duty for higher value purchases. As a result of this new hesitation, domestic mortgage buyers and first time buyers have become more prominent in the London market, with the proportion of mortgage buyers in Prime London soaring from 53% in the second quarter to 65% in the third quarter. At the same time, overseas and foreign nationality buyers accounted for 21% of all prime London property purchases during the third quarter which has fallen quarter on quarter, and is also down from 25% of all sales during the third quarter of 2014. This pattern is also being mirrored in the prime central London market traditionally favoured by overseas investors, with the proportion of foreign buyers standing at 32%, down from 34% in the second quarter and 37% a year ago. The investor share of the market has also dipped in the prime central London market over the past three months. Investors accounted for 35% of all prime central London sales during the third quarter, a considerable drop from 42% in the second quarter. Yet with domestic buyers stemming this shortfall, overall demand for Prime London homes has grown in the three months to September 2015, and the number of registered buyers has climbed 4%. Combined with a 5% drop in the supply of properties available on the market, and buyer competition is building as these trends diverge. There are currently 14 buyers for every available property for sale in London, increasing from 12 in Q2, and 10 at the end of 2014. According to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons the strength of sterling and government encroachments on nom-dom status make investing in the London property market seem daunting for foreign buyers. ‘This has cast some shadows over the capital, but the millions of Londoners who live and work in the city have acclimatised much more quickly to the property taxation changes, and have risen up to fill the void left by overseas purchasers and investors,’ he pointed out. ‘We’re noticing longer purchase chains than ever as domestic buyers really start to dominate the market, and demand is really putting a strain on supply. This should ensure that London houses prices and sales activity continue their ascent into 2016,’ he… Continue reading
NZ prices up year on year but down month on month, latest index shows
Residential property sales in New Zealand increase by 18.6% year on year in October but where down 4.1% compared to the previous month, according to the latest index figures. The national median price was $460,000, up $30,000 or 7% on October 2014 and down 5.1% on September, the data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand shows. Excluding the impact of the Auckland region, the national median price rose $28,500 to $370,000 compared to October 2014 to reach a new record high and rose 1.4% on September. There was a new record national median price excluding Auckland of $370,000, up 8.4% compared to October 2014 and up 1.4% on September and new record median prices for Northland, Manawatu/Wanganui, Wellington and Nelson/Marlborough. But the market paused in Auckland with a year on year rise of 16.8% with month on month median prices down by 3%. The data also show that there was a 57% rise nationwide in the number of sales over $1 million year on year and a 47% rise in the number of properties sold by auction. ‘The drop in the number of sales in Auckland in October is the result of a softening of demand over the past few months and the new IRD and bank account rules introduced at the start of October,’ said REINZ chief executive Colleen Milne. ‘However, the fundamental supply and demand drivers of the Auckland market remain in place, and the result for October is indicative of the market adjustment phase as it adapts to these new requirements,’ she explained. ‘Elsewhere across the country we are seeing increasing demand and rising prices as buyers of all types emerge to take advantage of low interest rates. It is further evidence of the halo effect of Auckland based buyers searching for value in regional markets,’ she pointed out. ‘During winter and into early spring, the property markets in a number of regions have been far more active than would normally be expected, thus a slowdown or pause is not surprising following this burst of activity,’ she added. Overall 10 regions recorded increased sales volumes compared to September, with Central Otago Lakes volumes growing 31%, followed by Southland with 21% and Canterbury/Westland, 15%. Compared to October 2014, all regions recorded increases in sales volume, with Waikato/Bay of Plenty recording the largest increase of 54%, followed by Hawke’s Bay with 52% and Central Otago Lakes with 50%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the national median house price fell 5.5%, indicating that prices fell slightly more in October than would normally be expected at this time of year. Northland, Manawatu/Wanganui, Wellington and Nelson/Marlborough all reached new record median prices in October. Northland recorded the largest percentage increase in median price compared to October 2014, at 18%, followed by Auckland at 17% and Taranaki at 12%. Hawke’s Bay recorded the largest percentage increase in median price compared to September, with a 9% increase, followed by Northland with 7% and Nelson/Marlborough with 5%. Continue reading
