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Higher rents and continued lack of supply set to dominate 2016 UK housing markets
Residential rents are set to go up in 2016 and in the home buying market there is likely to be a growing struggle for those seeking to get on the housing market, according to a joint report from agents. According to the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARA) there are various pieces of legislation coming into play in 2016 which will result in increased compliance costs for landlords, and as a result push up rents for tenants. ‘We urge the Government to re-think its proposals around reducing Mortgage Interest Relief, scrapping the Wear and Tear Allowance and hiking up Stamp Duty by 3% on buy to let properties,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘Whilst these remain, the Government’s goal of increasing the percentage of people in home ownership is getting further out of reach. The issue of supply and demand in the rental market will be increasingly pushed to its limit with rising demand outstripping supply,’ he added. He pointed out that the good news is that regulation in the industry looks like it will be tightening up in 2016. ‘We hope that the provisions of the Housing and Planning Bill, when brought into force, will give enforcing bodies and the courts more teeth in tackling rogue and criminal landlords and agents. This will develop in 2016 to enforce harsher penalties for landlords and unregulated agents that aren’t complying with basic laws,’ explained Cox. ‘The Right to Rent checks introduced in the Immigration Act 2014 will be rolled out nationally from 01 February 2016 following a successful pilot scheme in the West Midlands. However, we worry that the goodwill established towards the scheme may be tested by the increase in volume, disenfranchising landlords from the process,’ he added. Cox said that the industry is pleased that Rent Smart Wales will re-visit the Licensing Fee for agents in January. ‘We feel it is punitive and should be a graduated fee and not a flat rate. We also caution the Welsh Government to consider what resources are being put in place ahead of the enforcement roll out of Rent Smart Wales next November in order to achieve the stated aims of the Welsh Government,’ he pointed out. ARLA also backs recent plans from the Scottish Government for regulating the lettings industry which it described as ‘bold’. ‘We look forward to working with them during 2016 on the roll out of the proposals. However, we caution against the introduction of rent controls and the withdrawal of no-fault possession route for landlords as this will reduce investment in to the Scottish private rented sector at a time when rental housing is needed more than ever before,’ Cox added. Mark Hayward, managing director of the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA), believed that next year we will see a growing struggle for those trying to get onto the home ownership ladder, with house prices further beyond the reach of low to middle earners… Continue reading
Buying is still cheaper than renting in many US housing markets
Buying a home in the United States is still more affordable than renting in the majority of markets, according to the latest analysis from real estate data firm RealtyTrac. But the opposite is true in markets with the biggest increase in the millennial share of the population over the last six years, the research also shows. In the 473 counties covered by the research, the fair market rent for a three bedroom property in 2015 needed an average of 27% of median household income, while buying a median priced home required an average of 25% of median household income based on the median sales price in November. Buying a median priced home was more affordable than renting a three bedroom property in 68% of the counties analysed, representing 57% of the total population in those counties. But in the 25 counties with the biggest increase in millennials between 2007 and 2013, fair market rents for a three bedroom property in 2015 required 30% of the median household income on average while buying a median priced home required 36% of median household income on average. For the analysis millennials were defined as anyone born between 1977 and 1992. ‘First time buyers and potential boomerang home buyers are stuck between a rock and a hard place in today’s housing market. Many of the markets with the jobs and amenities they want have hard-to-afford rents and even harder to afford home prices while the more affordable markets have fewer well-paying jobs and tend to be off the beaten path,’ said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. ‘Those emerging markets with the combination of good jobs, good affordability and a growing population of new renters and potential first time buyers represent the best opportunities for buy and hold real estate investors to buy low and benefit from rising rents in the years to come,’ he added. The top markets with the biggest increase in the percentage of millennials over the past seven years were counties in Washington D.C., San Francisco and Denver, all of which saw an increase of more than 50% in the share of the population that is millennials. Other markets in the top 25 for biggest increase in millennials included counties in New York, Nashville, Portland, St. Louis, Seattle, Charlotte, Minneapolis, Indianapolis, Atlanta, Orlando, Austin, Des Moines and Midland, Texas. The average 2015 fair market rent in these top 25 counties is $1,459, some 19% above the national average for all counties analysed, the data also shows. On average 2015 fair rents increased 3% from a year ago in these counties, with the standouts being Denver County and Midland County, Texas, both of which saw fair market rents increase more than 2%. Median home prices increased 8% from a year ago in these counties on average compared to an average 7% increase among all counties analysed nationwide while the average unemployment rate among these counties was 5.2% in October compared to an average of 5.5% for all… Continue reading
London borough of Newham sees biggest urban house price rise in UK in 2015
Newham in London recorded the biggest percentage rise in house prices among major UK towns and cities over the past year, according to new research. The average house price in the London borough was 22% higher than in the previous year, increasing from £261,399 to £319,522 in 2015, nearly double the 12% increase in London as a whole. The research from home lender the Halifax, based on its own figures, also shows that Royston in Hertfordshire experienced the second biggest rise in average house prices with an increase of 19%. And all 10 top performers were in London and the South East. Stroud in Gloucestershire, Wellingborough in Northamptonshire, and Solihull in the West Midlands were the top performers outside London and the South East, recording price rises of 14% to 15% over the past year. A small number of towns recorded modest declines in house prices 2015. Prices in Merthyr Tydfil in South Wales fell 3.8%, in Colwyn Bay in North Wales they fell by 2.3%, while in Durham prices were down 2.1% and in Coalville in Leicestershire down 0.5%. The 10 worst performing towns are outside London and the South East with the exception of the country’s most expensive area, Kensington and Chelsea, where prices have risen by just 1% in the last year. ‘Those areas that have seen the biggest house price increases over the past year are either in outer London or within close commuting distance of the capital. Demand in these areas has risen as rapid house price rises in central London in the past few years have caused increasing numbers of people to look for property in more affordable areas,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘A few towns have experienced modest price falls. These areas are typically still suffering from relatively weak employment and economic conditions, which has dampened local housing demand,’ he added. Continue reading
