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Scottish property market set to see annual growth of 3% in 2016

The overall residential market in Scotland has shown continued growth, with an 8% annual increase in the number of residential transactions during the year ending in the first quarter of 2016. The market was supported by an increase in cash buyers and buy to let purchasers, boosted by increased levels of equity generated from core hotspots, particularly among older buyers, according to the latest analysis report from Savills. It also says that various Help to Buy schemes and the gently improving economy, leading to increased consumer confidence, are also combining to support the market. Market growth is continuing to spread out to locations that were lagging following the housing market downturn. These include West Lothian, East Ayrshire, North Lanarkshire and Glasgow City, where the annual growth in transactions was higher than the figure for Scotland as a whole. The report says that this is mainly due to an increase in house building, coupled with attainable house prices and improving transport links. Annual transactional growth in traditional hotspots and commuter locations, such as Renfrewshire, East Lothian and Midlothian, as well as the market hub of Edinburgh, also exceeded the figure for Scotland as a whole. Savills is forecasting annual growth of 3% in Scottish mainstream values by the end of 2016. ‘We expect values in city locations and core hotspots to outperform the figure for Scotland as a whole. Stricter lending conditions and a possible rise in mortgage rates could limit capacity for strong price growth and transactional growth. This is likely to keep exposure to risky mortgage debt under control,’ it explains. In the prime market Scotland’s Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) continues to have a significant impact following its introduction in April 2015. Over the last 12 months, the prime market above £400,000 witnessed an overall shortfall in activity, mainly due to higher rates of taxation. However, since the end of 2015, the prime market has adjusted in the city hubs of Edinburgh and Glasgow. Furthermore, prime market strength is spreading from the hubs into traditional suburbs and commuter areas The number of prime second hand sales at £400,000 and above in Scotland fell annually by 14% to 3,131 during the year ending in the first quarter of 2016 as the market continues to adjust to higher rates of taxation. Despite this drop, prime activity was 13% higher than the five-year annual average of 2,762 sales. The prime market was led by the core city hotspots of Edinburgh and Glasgow. Prime activity in Stirlingshire and the Lothians region surrounding Edinburgh bucked the national trend, benefitting from relative affordability and improving transport links. Furthermore, demand for family homes in areas with top performing state schools remains buoyant. According to Savills Prime Residential Index, overall values in Scotland remained unchanged, with a slight 0.4% year on year increase at the end of March 2016. Further examination of the Savills Index shows a widening gap between overall property values in city and town… Continue reading

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Families pay almost £44,000 extra for home in good primary school area

Families in the UK are having to pay a price premium of almost £44,000 to buy a property near the best performing primary schools, new research has found. Many parents want their offspring to get the best start in life and they are prepared to move home to make sure they are in the catchment area for those first crucial years at school. According to the research by online estate agents HouseSimple, the average premium paid is £43,773 to be in the catchment areas for the top 50 state funded primary schools across England that received the highest rating by Ofsted in its latest report. The research revealed that average property prices in streets that are close to these best schools are 18% higher than average property prices for the area postcode. Of the primary schools commanding the biggest premiums to live near to, more than half are in the South of England. The schools adding the biggest premium to local property prices are St Luke’s Primary School in Brighton and Hove and Crowland Primary School in Haringey, adding 45% or £151,121 and 44% or £193,816 respectively. But according to HouseSimple figures, there are some areas offering better value to live close to outstanding schools. Properties surrounding The Mayflower Primary School in Essex, Henry Cavendish Primary School in Lambeth and Highfields Primary School in Leicester have recently sold without buyers having to pay a hefty premium. ‘Many parents will go to great lengths to get their children a place at the best local state funded primary school. But there is a price to pay for the best free schooling,’ said the firm’s chief executive officer Alex Gosling. ‘Private education is out of reach for many families, which is why there is high demand for places at top rated state primary schools. But there aren’t enough places to go around, which has led property prices in the catchment areas of popular primary schools to rocket in recent years,’ he explained. ‘Attending an outstanding state school can offer an education as good as, if not better, than paying to go private, but with property prices close to the best state schools commanding average premiums of 18%, paying the price to live close by certainly doesn’t equate to a free education,’ he added. Continue reading

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UK house prices crept up in May but annual growth slowed, says latest index

House prices in the UK edged up 0.2% in May but annual growth slowed to 4.7% to an average of £204,368, according to the latest index to be published. The annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months, according to the date from the Nationwide, one of the leading home lenders in the UK. ‘In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market due to the volatility generated by the stamp duty changes which took effect from 01 April,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist. ‘Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ he pointed out. ‘While cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy to let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion,’ he explained. The report also shows that the number of home mover mortgages, which is where second home purchases with a mortgage would show up, increased sharply in March. Gardner said that house purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. ‘The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy to let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag,’ he added. But he also pointed out that healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once stamp duty related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will tilt the demand/supply balance in favour of sellers and exert upward pressure on price growth once again in the quarters ahead,’ he said. He added that according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), the number of properties on estate agents’ books was already close to all-time lows on data extending back to the late 1970s. According to Matt Andrews, managing director of Bluestone Mortgages, consumer confidence is still rising, so with more people looking to secure lending it is important to see some innovation come into the sector to help more people get onto the housing ladder. ‘In order to help those who currently struggle to gain access to lending, such as people who have experienced a genuine blip on their credit scores, or who only have limited trading histories, we need to offer a more… Continue reading

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