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Number of million pound properties in UK expected to triple by 2030
The number of million pound properties in the UK will more than triple by 2030 and one in four London homes will cost £1 million or more by 2030, new research shows. Yet less than 1% of properties in the North East, Yorkshire and Humber, the North West, Scotland and the East Midlands will be in this price bracket, according to the study from Santander Mortgages. Also, by 2030 the average property price in the UK expected to double, surpassing the half a million pound mark with prices set to soar to as much as 16.5 times average incomes. Today, less than half a million homes in the UK are valued at £1 million or more, says the research done partnership with economist and London School of Economics professor of economic geography Paul Cheshire. It says that 25% of housing stock in London is expected to be valued at £1 million or more, rising to 70% in two London boroughs, highlighting a stark geographical divide. Overall, the average UK property price, which currently stands at £283,565 is expected to increase 23% by 2020 to £349,3000. Fifteen years from now in 2030, the average UK property price will have almost doubled with a 97% increase, surpassing the half a million pound mark at £557,444. While property prices are expected to soar, predictions suggest that incomes will not keep pace, resulting in an overall decline in affordability. At present in the UK, the average property price is 7.9 times the average income, but by 2030, this is expected to hit a multiple of 9.7. Again, this trend is elevated in London, where prices are currently 11.5 times incomes and predicted to rise to an eye-watering 16.5 by 2030. ‘Property price inflation will tip many existing home owners into the million pound price bracket but could also price some aspiring buyers out of the market if they don’t have the right support. The current property market is buoyant and the deals available to new and existing owners are extremely competitive, so those wishing to buy or move shouldn’t be put off,’ said Miguel Sard, managing director of mortgages, Santander UK. ‘Regardless of the price point a buyer is considering, our advice remains the same; do your research, find a mortgage provider that offers competitive rates and a range of products to ensure that the right deal is secured, and above all, ensure the repayments are affordable,’ he added. Cheshire pointed out that by 2030 the divide between housing haves at the top and the have nots at the bottom will be even wider than it is now. ‘More owners will enjoy millionaire status, as homes that many would consider modest fetch seven figure prices in the most sought after areas,’ he said. ‘Property price inflation is beneficial for existing owners who will see their net-wealth increase, but it will make entering the market more difficult still for new buyers, further highlighting the importance of… Continue reading
A south facing garden doesn’t push up a property’s price, study shows
Despite estate agents and property experts in the UK espousing the benefits of a south facing garden, this is not reflected in the asking price, new research has found. An analysis of property asking prices reveals homes with south facing gardens carry a mere 0.37% premium compared to properties with north facing gardens. South facing gardens have long been touted as desirable because they typically get the sun for most of the day and are therefore thought to be warmer and brighter, but it appears this isn’t reflected in property prices. River views however do carry a higher cost, averaging 9% compared to identical properties located on the same development without this sought after outlook, according to the study commissioned by Direct Line Home Insurance. In one North London development, a three bedroom property with a river view has an asking price of £850,000, some 42% more than an identically proportioned and designed property elsewhere in the development that costs £600,000. The research also reveals that in many cities if you live higher in a new development, you pay a significant premium for the privilege. One developer informed researchers they added a £15,000 premium to the asking price for every floor, bringing new meaning to the phrase ‘sky high’ prices. An apartment on the fourteenth floor of a new London development five minutes from Angel tube station is on the market for £850,000, which is 31% more expensive than an identical property on the third floor. In a new development near London’s Colindale station a one bedroom flat on the fourth floor costs £438,950 while an identical property on the eighth floor is on the market for £475,000. ‘The research highlights that south facing premiums may well be a myth, but a room with a view comes with a hefty price tag. People are prepared to pay thousands more for the same amenities and layout because a property is located higher in a building, has a more scenic vista, or because it overlooks water,’ said Katie Lomas, head of Direct Line Home Insurance. ‘However, while picturesque river views are much admired it is worth noting properties built near water may cost more to insure because of increased flood risk. Purchasers should check the likely cost of insurance before they commit to buy,’ she added. Continue reading
Scotland sees strongest house price growth for seven months
Property prices in Scotland increased 0.8% in December month on month and 2.5% year on year, according to the latest index figures. It is the strongest year on year increase since May 2015, taking the average house price to £170,641, with the typical property up by £4,000, according to the index from Your Move. But Aberdeen recorded a steep fall in house prices, down 6.8% year on year as demand fell due to the falling oil price. Overall sales were strong with transactions up 21% in December 2015 compared to the same month in 2014 and the top end of the market is recovering, with 11 million pound home typically sold each month by the end of 2015. But Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, pointed out that the increase over the year to December is still below the 4.4% rise in 2014, as growth was skewed by the introduction of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT). She also pointed out that the average house price has now broken through the £170,000 barrier again for the first time since May and 2015 was a turbulent one for some parts of Scotland. Aberdeen experienced the biggest dip in house prices with property values in the area falling 6.8% or £15,551. ‘This decline has been driven by the drop in demand for homes in the area, as the tumbling oil price reduces employment and investment into the city,’ said Campbell. ‘Aberdeen has also felt the negative affect of the introduction of the LBTT, as it’s home to a large number of higher value properties which the tax hit hardest. The city has now slipped to sixth in the house price rankings, down from third at the end of 2014,’ she explained. Total sales for the year were 6% higher than in 2014, in stark contrast to England and Wales where sales are down 2.6% year on year. In Scotland, the type of homes selling swiftest were flats, up 18.4% in the last quarter of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014. The smallest increase was in pricier detached properties, but sales still rose 8.8% over the same time period. ‘As typically the cheapest type of property on the market, flats have benefited most from the switch to LBTT which removed tax paid on purchases under £145,000. With an extra 3% surcharge on second homes coming into force in April, we can expect another jump in sales during the first quarter of 2016, as sellers hurry to beat the tax hike,’ Campbell said. The million pound property market has seen the most extreme changes this year. Overall, there has been a 30% annual increase in the sale of high value homes in 2015. Half of these sales came in March, as owners rushed to beat the introduction of the LBTT. This was followed by a short term drought which saw the average number of million pound… Continue reading
