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Prime property market in Gibraltar offers value for money on global stage
After several years of strong growth Gibraltar, a British overseas territory on the southern tip of Spain, is seen as offering good value for prime property, according to a new report. Indeed, prime property prices have increased by 15% from 2013 to 2015 with demand driven by Gibraltarian, UK and other international buyers, says the new analysis from international real estate firm Savills. It points out that Gibraltar is among an elite and small club of territories within Europe with special and unique governance, independence and tax status. A self-governing territory with a population of 32,000, bordering a much larger neighbour, it draws parallels with Monaco. Hybrid centres of business and leisure and located in the Mediterranean, both have the characteristics of ‘city’ and ‘resort’ and each has developed an international professional services sector and are centres of commerce in their own right. Prices in these territories appreciated at a time when other national markets in neighbouring countries have been languishing. Comparisons with Monaco only go so far, the report explains. Gibraltar has its own unique characteristics, history, culture, and has developed on its own path. Emerging later on the global stage, Gibraltar’s prime property market still offers value when compared to rival jurisdictions, the report says. It explains that diversification in Gibraltar’s economy has supported economic growth, generated wealth in the local economy and spurred a wave of new development. ‘Entirely new market tiers have opened up to attract the global wealthy. The hybrid nature of Gibraltar as a conurbation, destination and recreation location diversifies risk while maximising the market for property. This comes at a time when the prime markets of many world cities are at a high plateau,’ the report says. It points out that as Monaco and Hong Kong are becoming the preserve of only the super-rich, Gibraltar has the potential to fill a gap in the Mediterranean for high net worth individuals at various levels. ‘While it may not yet have the cachet of Monaco, proposed new developments, the right investment and infrastructure could propel Gibraltar onto the circuit of the global wealthy Gibraltar offers certain tax advantages for those wealthy individuals who make it their primary home. The territory levies no inheritance tax, wealth tax or capital gains tax,’ the report explains. Gibraltar’s prime markets are dominated by two nationalities: those from the UK, and those from Gibraltar, who have accounted for 39% and 34% of buyers in the last three years, respectively. The remaining 26% come from across the European Union and the rest of the world, and include Swiss, Germans, Russians and Australians. It describes Gibraltar as a place to relocate to, not as a second home market. Some 79% of the prime market is for main residences, while there is also an active investment market, accounting for 20% of sales. Investors favour smaller apartments, the average size being 81 square meter with an average price of £436,000, compared to 120 square meters… Continue reading
UK would be less attractive to property investor if it left the EU, new poll suggests
Property investors have warned that the UK would be a less attractive place to invest were it to leave the European Union, according to findings of a new survey. The survey of investor clients by global property advisor CBRE reveals that sentiment has hardened against leaving the EU in the three years that the poll has been taken. This year’s results show a reduction in those who think exiting the EU would make no difference to investment from 33% in 2014 to 21%. The proportion of respondents who think the UK would be a slightly worse place to invest has risen from 32% in 2014 to 46% in the latest poll, bringing the total that think the UK would be a worse place to invest to 73%, up from 69% last year. The UK will hold a referendum on whether to remain in the EU on 23 June and CBRE believes investors and occupiers are likely to behave during the referendum campaign in the same way as they did in Scotland during its 2014 independence referendum by delaying decisions until after the vote. However, after Scotland voted to stay in the UK there was a ‘catch up’ effect and CBRE expects the same for the UK, assuming that it decides to remain in the EU. ‘Property investors have, over the past three years, become increasingly gloomy about the impact of the UK leaving the EU. The UK has experienced record property investment in the last few years and the property investors we surveyed fear that a Brexit would adversely affect the attractiveness of the UK as an inward investment destination,’ said Miles Gibson, head of UK research at CBRE. ‘David Cameron’s reforms are likely to be useful, but not decisive, in affecting public sentiment. The most important concession that the Prime Minister has secured is to ensure that non-Eurozone countries are not discriminated against within the EU’s single market. This aims to ensure that key parts of the UK economy, particularly financial services, can continue to operate from the UK rather than having to move to the Eurozone,’ he added. The report shows that the majority of experts feel that the UK would suffer economically from exit, but estimates of the impact on growth vary substantially. The majority view is that the UK property market would suffer an adverse ‘demand shock’ were it to vote to leave the EU. Finally, the report argues that reductions in labour availability arising from migration controls will vary substantially because some sectors are more dependent on migrant labour than other. The food and hospitality sectors, for example, could be very exposed to labour market restrictions. The financial services sector is also exposed because of the potential change in the regulatory environment, and in terms of trade with the EU. Continue reading
Urban development land outperforms greenfield in the UK
Urban development land values across the UK have continued to increase more than those for greenfield land, according to the latest research. Urban land values increased by 1.5% in the fourth quarter of 2015, up from 0.2% in the third quarter, taking annual growth to 7.1% while greenfield land values increased by 0.7%, up from a fall of 0.1% in the previous quarter and year on year by 2%. The latest residential development report from real estate firm Savills says that the increase in urban land values reflects a rise in demand due to an improved economy, stronger markets and increased viability. Additionally, the report says that urban values have greater scope to increase than greenfield values because they are further below their 2007 peak, an average of 42% below peak compared to 21% below peak for greenfield land. In general, development land values are linked to the supply of land and the demand from developers. The largely stable values of development land are in part due to the increase in supply of new permissions with the annualised number of planning permissions in Great Britain up by 21% in between 2010 and 2015. And it adds that a lack of new players in the market and 46% fewer house builders registered with NHBC in 2015 compared to 2005 has reduced competition for sites. Savills agents report that there is increasing demand for land in urban locations close to good transport links on which, more commonly, apartments are built such as Birmingham and Coventry in the Midlands. This is reflected in the shift in the type of new homes built. Between 2008 and 2014 houses accounted for an increasing proportion of new build homes, however, since March 2014 this trend has been reversed and we are seeing flats accounting for higher proportions of delivery at 35% in the year to March 2015 up from 29% the previous year according to data from the Department of Communities and Local Government. The report explains that the change in type of home being built reflects the improving viability and ability to finance denser sites. Immediately following the economic downturn, housebuilders focused more on developing houses because they require less upfront capital, can be built one at a time and sold as they are finished. However, now that market strength is picking up, there is greater appetite to take on the risk required to build a block of apartments where, apart from off-plan sales, flats are sold only when the whole block is complete. But not everywhere is seeing growth. For example, sentiment for development land in Aberdeen has become less positive and has impacted negatively on the overall Scottish greenfield development land index which was down 0.5% in the final quarter of 2015. Indeed, land values in Aberdeen have fallen 2.9% in the year to quarter four of 2015 for greenfield land and this is due to the continued low oil price and uncertainty over the future of the… Continue reading
