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UK home lending was broadly flat in January, latest CML data shows
Home buying lending in the UK was flat in January but remortgaging activity was boosted by a plethora of low deals, the latest published figures suggest. The data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders, now available on an unadjusted basis for the first time, gives a more complete picture as it makes it easier to spot underlying trends, according to Paul Smee, CML director general. He explained that while the unadjusted data appears to show large falls month on month, stripping out the usual January lull gives a different picture. ‘We see a general picture of flat house purchase lending but a significant uptick in remortgage activity as borrowers continue to seek attractive new deals despite the lower for longer expectations for interest rates,’ Smee said. On an unadjusted basis, the figures shows that home owners borrowed £8.4 billion for house purchase, down 25% month on month but up 12% year on year. They took out 46,200 loans, down 27% on December but up 5% on January 2015. First time buyers borrowed £3.3 billion in January, down 27% on December but up 14% on January last year. This totalled 21,400 loans, down 28% month on month but up 6% year on year. Home movers borrowed £5.1 billion, down 24% on December but up 11% compared to a year ago. This totalled 24,800 loans, down 26% month on month but up 3% on January 2015. Home owner remortgagors borrowed £5.8 billion, up 35% on December and 32% compared to a year ago. This totalled 33,100 loans, up 28% month on month and 19% compared to a year ago. Landlords borrowed £3.7 billion in January, up 9% month on month and 42% year on year. This came to 23,100 loans in total, of which 13,400 were for remortgage, up 3% compared to December and up 31% compared to January 2015. Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, pointed out that with interest rate rises postponed into next year or beyond, remortgaging activity is going from strength to strength, reaching its highest monthly level for seven years. ‘Landlords are in more of a hurry, and don’t have long left to snap up investment properties before being struck with more debilitating stamp duty. As a result, this storming growth in buy to let borrowing is likely to be short lived, and be balanced out by a more sedate second quarter of the year,’ he said. ‘But Government support schemes have proved a tonic for first time buyers, and this is likely to provide good vitals throughout 2016 as a whole. Existing home owners should be feeling revived too, as house prices show healthy improvements, triggering many to make the plunge and start trading up. It’s supply of homes on the property market that is the fly in the ointment currently, and is the biggest threat to quashing this confidence,’ he added. David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Businesses, explained that in the… Continue reading
Negative equity rate falls to 13.1% in the US in fourth quarter of 2015
Fewer home owners in the United States were underwater as the negative equity rate fell to 13.1% in the fourth quarter of 2015, according to the latest data to be published. But more than 820,000 underwater home owners still owe over twice as much on their mortgages as their homes are worth, a reminder that some owners may not see positive equity in their homes in the foreseeable future. The data from the Zillow Negative Equity Report also shows that six million home owners were still in negative equity, which means they owe the bank more than their homes are worth. A year ago eight million home owners were upside down on their mortgages. The report explains that over time, negative equity can act as an anchor on a housing market, preventing underwater homeowners from listing their homes and re-entering the market. It is more prevalent in less expensive areas that are affordable to first time buyers. Without these homes available, many potential buyers are side lined and unable to take advantage of mortgage rates that remain near historic lows. It also points out that in the past year, millions of underwater home owners resurfaced as the total amount of negative equity declined by $75 billion, but some owners are so far underwater that positive equity may be several years away, leaving them stuck in their homes unable to sell. ‘Even though the number of underwater homeowners has fallen significantly since the peak of the housing crisis, negative equity persists in many markets as it fell at its slowest pace in a year,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘Things are moving in the right direction, but some owners are still deeply underwater. As we move into the home shopping season, inventory is already low, and negative equity is keeping potential additional stock from becoming available,’ she added. Las Vegas still had the highest rate of negative equity at 20.9% followed closely by Chicago, where 20.5% of home owners were upside down on their mortgages. At the other end of the spectrum, in San Jose only 2.8% of mortgaged home owners were underwater. Continue reading
Premium properties selling well in Scotland, but prices are down
Premium property sales in Edinburgh increased year on year in January, but the average sale prices was down, according to new research on the Scottish residential market. Across Scotland, 535 premium properties were sold in January, up from 494 a year ago. A total of 5,330 mainstream market properties under £300,000 were sold in January, up from 4,144 in January 2015. The average value of a house in Scotland in January was £163,610, down from £166,682 in January 2015. A total of 148 properties over £300,000 were registered as sold in the Scottish capital in the first month of the year, up from 131 in 2015, 136 in 2014 and 109 in 2013, the data from estate agency Strutt & Parker shows. Indeed the average sale price in January was £227,899, down from £236,696 in January 2015 and the premium market share, that is the percentage of all sales that were greater than £300,000, was 21.1%, down from 23.9% in January last year and the 40% recorded in March at the height of the sales rush before the introduction of Land and Buildings Transaction Tax. ‘It is very encouraging to note that registered sales are up year on year. The average price is down but by a relatively insignificant amount and it is not something I am worried about. In many respects the sales market is still adjusting to the unprecedented rush of premium sales before the introduction of LBTT last year, which saw record numbers of premium sales and the average price in Edinburgh spike at £320,257,’ said Blair Stewart, partner in Strutt & Parker's Edinburgh office. He pointed out that looking back at 2015, the value of Scottish property sales increased 8.2% on 2014 and the number of transactions was up by 4.5%. Edinburgh sales in particular were up 8.3% to 11,991, which was largely a reflection of the LBTT effect. ‘LBTT aside, however, the Edinburgh premium market has grown steadily in recent years from the lows seen in 2009. It has shown strength in the early months of 2016 and we have some very exciting new properties on our books so I am reasonably optimistic about where we are,’ added Stewart. In the market area covered by Highland Local Authority, premium sales in January numbered 18, down from 37 in December and 25 in November, but up from 12 in January 2015, 13 in January 2014. The premium market share stood at 7.9% in January, down from the 10.9% high recorded in March. In Aberdeenshire premium sales registered in January at 42 were down on the same month a year ago when 61 such sales took place. This cooling contrasted with a strong finish at the end of 2015 which saw 122 and 120 premium sales respectively in November and December. The data average property price in Aberdeenshire in January was £203,329, down from £229,476 at the start of 2015. According to David Strang-Steel, partner in Strutt & Parker's Banchory… Continue reading
