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House price gap between north and south widens in UK
UK annual house price growth increased to 5.7% in March, taking the average price to £200,251 but the latest index also shows that the gap between north and south continues to widen. Annual house price growth recorded its strongest pace since February 2015 up from 4.8% the previous month while month on month home prices increased by 0.8%, according to the data from leading UK lender the Nationwide. Average house prices in England increased by 1.8% in the first quarter of 2016, and were up 7.7% year on year. This means that in cash terms, the gap in average prices between the South and the North of England now stands at nearly £163,000. Prices in the North are now less than half those in the South, a record low. ‘There has been a pickup in housing market activity in recent months, with the number of housing transactions and mortgage approvals rising strongly. This is likely to have been driven, at least in part, by upcoming changes to stamp duty on second homes, where buyers have brought forward purchases in order to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. ‘This temporary boost to demand against a backdrop of continued constrained supply is likely to have exerted upward pressure on prices and helped to lift the pace of annual price growth out of the fairly narrow range of 3% to 5% that has been prevailing since the summer,’ he explained. He pointed out that the pace of house price growth may moderate again once the stamp duty changes take effect in April. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will keep the demand/supply balance tilted in favour of sellers and maintain pressure on price growth in the quarters ahead,’ he said. Gardner also pointed out that according to Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, the stock of houses on estate agents’ books remains close to all-time lows on data extending back 30 years. The quarterly index, published at the same time, shows that regional house prices maintained the same broad trends prevailing in recent years with southern regions continuing to record significantly stronger rates of annual price growth, further widening regional disparities. The Outer Metropolitan was the strongest performing region in the first quarter of 2016, with average prices up 12.2% year on year. London was close behind, though it did record a slight moderation in its annual rate of growth to 11.5% from 12.2% the previous quarter. The North was the weakest performing region in England and the UK overall, with prices down 1.1% year on year. House price growth slowed sharply in Northern Ireland, with annual growth moderating to 1.8%, even though the price of a typical property is still 45% below the pre-crisis peak. Wales saw a lacklustre 1.7% year on year increase in prices, a slight pick-up compared with the previous quarter while Scotland recorded… Continue reading
Housing affordability falls in Scotland for third year in a row
Rising house prices in Scottish cities has led to a further deterioration in affordability with average values up 3% from £176,009 in 2015 to £181,077 in 2016. This has resulted in average affordability in Scotland’s cities worsening in the last 12 months from 5.25 to 5.36 times gross average annual earnings, the third successive annual decline in affordability. The data from the Bank of Scotland Affordable Cities Review also shows that on average, affordability in Scottish cities is now at its lowest level since 2009 but is still 12% lower than the peak of 6.12 times earnings in 2008 at the height of the last housing market boom. The overall improvement in affordability across Scottish cities as a whole over the past eight years has been driven by a combination of an increase of 10% in the gross average annual earnings and an average house price decline 3%. Edinburgh is Scotland’s least affordable city where the average house price is 6.12 times the gross average earnings in the city. With an average price of £220,099, houses in Edinburgh are more expensive compared with average earnings than in any other Scottish city. Inverness at 6.03, Aberdeen at 5.72, Dundee at 5.38 and Perth at 5.24 make up the top five least affordable cities in Scotland while Stirling is the most affordable city and the second most affordable in the UK with an average property price of £165,658 which is 4.11 times the gross average annual earnings. Glasgow is the second most affordable city in Scotland and 10th in the UK, with an average house price of £159,580, which is 5.07 times the gross average annual earnings in the city. House price growth has been highest in Aberdeen over the past decade and since 2011 Aberdeen has recorded the biggest price rise of any Scottish city over the past decade and with a gain of 58%, is the only Scottish city to appear in the top 10 UK cities with highest house price growth in fifth place. The report explains that this is as a result of rising housing demand due to the strong performance of the oil and gas sector over most of the period. More recently, Aberdeen has seen a 22% rise since 2011 but prices are not declining due to a decline in the resources sector. ‘The rising house prices over the past three years have resulted in a deterioration in home affordability in Scotland’s cities. Although affordability is at the lowest level since 2009, it is still much lower than the height of the last housing market boom in 2008,’ said Nicola Noble, mortgages director at Bank of Scotland. ‘Aberdeen has recorded Scotland’s highest house price growth over the past decade and more recently during the economic recovery, due to strong performance in the oil and gas sector,’ she added. Continue reading
Research reveals few homes for sale in London under UK average
Affordability is a major issue for Londoners with new research showing that more than a quarter of boroughs don’t have a single home for sale less than the country average of £191,812. Indeed, average London property prices currently stand at around £530,409 and in nine out of 32 London boroughs, 28%, it is impossible to find a property with an asking price under the Land Registry average. The figures from online estate agents House Simple show that Bexley is the only borough where you can buy a property for less than £100,000, with a studio flat currently on the market for just £94,995 while in Tower Hamlets there are no properties on the market for less than £250,000. The research also found that just four or 12.5% London boroughs have property where the buyer would not pay stamp duty with the threshold kicking in at £125,000. In almost half of the boroughs, the most affordable property for sale today is a studio flat, which are typically just 100 to 110 square feet in size compared to the average UK one bed flat which measures 495 square feet. ‘These figures reveal how desperate the plight is for ordinary Londoners on average salaries, hoping to buy their first property. How can they feasibly afford to buy when average property prices in the Capital are over £530,000?’ said Alex Gosling, House Simple’s chief executive officer. ‘Although this research reveals there are properties for sale below the UK’s average house price, the pickings are extremely slim and you’re getting very little square footage for your money. It’s a studio or nothing in many boroughs,’ he pointed out. ‘It’s not surprising that more and more people are starting to move out of London for value. Why pay £200,000 for a studio flat when you can buy a house for the same money just an hour commute away. It’s likely in the future we will see less and less people putting their first foot on the property ladder in London,’ he added. Continue reading
