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US pending home sales up for 19 months in a row
Pending home sales in the United States increased slightly in March for the second consecutive month and reached their highest level in almost a year, according to the latest index. The Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, increased by 1.4% in March and is now 1.4% above March 2015. It means that after the slight gain, the index has increased year on year for 19 consecutive months and is at its highest reading since May 2015 and Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it signals a solid beginning to the spring buying season. ‘Despite supply deficiencies in plenty of areas, contract activity was fairly strong in a majority of markets in March. This spring’s surprisingly low mortgage rates are easing some of the affordability pressures potential buyers are experiencing and are taking away some of the sting from home prices that are still rising too fast and above wage growth,’ he explained. He also pointed out that in the short term, the healthy labour market and favourable borrowing costs should lead to sustained buyer demand and a durable pace of sales. However, Yun he believes that the consequences from a failure to construct more single family homes in recent years are starting to impact some top job producing markets, where endless supply shortages continue to limit choices for buyers and are driving up prices beyond what a growing share of households can comfortably afford. ‘Demand is starting to weaken in some areas, particularly in the West, where the median home price has risen an astonishing 38% in the past three years. As a result, pending sales in the region have now declined in four of the last five months and are lower than one year ago for the third month in a row. Closed sales in the region in March were also below last year’s pace,’ Yun said. A breakdown of the figures show that the index in the Northeast increased 3.2% and is now 18.4% above a year ago while in the Midwest the index inched up 0.2% but is now 4% above March 2015. Pending home sales in the South rose 3% but are still 0.6% lower than last March and the index in the West declined 1.8% in March and is now 7.9% below a year ago. Continue reading
Property prices in Ireland still rising but growth has slowed compared to a year ago
Residential property prices in Ireland increased by 7.4% in the 12 months to March 2016, down slightly from the 8% recorded in February. The latest data from the Central Statistics Office also show that while house prices are still rising the growth has slowed. In March 2015 the annual rise was 16.8%. Month on month property prices increased by 0.3% compared with no change recorded in February and an increase of 0.9% recorded in March of last year. In Dublin residential property prices increased by 0.9% in March and were 3.9% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices increased by 1.2% in the month and were 4.1% higher compared to a year earlier. Dublin apartment prices were 1.6% higher when compared with the same month of 2015. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland decreased by 0.2% in March compared with an increase of 0.7% in March of last year. Prices were 10.5% higher than in March 2015. It means that house prices in Dublin are now 34.3% lower than at their highest level in early 2007. Apartments in Dublin are 41.2% lower than they were in February 2007. Residential property prices in Dublin are 36.3% lower than at their highest level in February 2007. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland is 35.4% lower than their highest level in September 2007. Overall, the national index is 33.6% lower than its highest level in 2007. Continue reading
Dubai becoming increasingly popular with British property investors
Dubai is proving to be increasingly popular among British property investors with figures from the land department showing they put £1.9 million into the emirate’s real estate market in 2015. This made them the second largest group of foreign investors behind Indians with UK investment almost doubling in three years. Apartments are the top buy for British buyers, followed by residential and commercial land and then villas with low interest rates, good rental yields and tax free returns on investments behind the rise in investment. According to Sultan Butti Bin Mejren, director general of the Dubai Land Department, the infrastructure in Dubai and the high return on investment makes property in the emirate attractive to buyers from overseas. British investors are looking for a good capital return on their investment, according to Sultan Al Suwaidi, a partner of Sumansa Exhibitions, the company running next month’s Dubai Property Show in London. ‘Dubai is a dynamic global investment hub and has always had attraction for international investors. The property market continues to mature and stabilise as a result of strategically implemented government regulations,’ he pointed out. ‘Returns for both small and large apartments in Dubai are delivering between 7% and 10% yield which is higher than Hong Kong, Singapore and London. Many British people investing in Dubai properties are seeking capital appreciation more than using them as primary or secondary homes,’ he explained. The areas where British investors are buying include Dubai Marina, Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Lake Towers and Downtown Dubai. According to figures from the property website Bayut affordable locations such as Dubai Sports City are also becoming more popular. Dubai’s zero taxation on rental income and capital gains is one of the biggest factors that appeal to British buyers and foreign investors in general are inclined to build their portfolios in Dubai to avoid the high taxes in their respective countries. It is also expected that the forthcoming Expo 2020 will boost Dubai’s real estate sector. Last year alone, Dubai attracted 12 million tourists and it is estimated that by 2020 the number of visitors will increase to 20 million, offering holiday rental opportunities for real estate investors. According to international real estate firm JLL, residential prices in Dubai increased by 56% in the last two years and rents by an average of 41% while data from Knight Frank shows that prices have recovered from the downturn and are now close to their peak levels of 2008. Yield returns reached 7.42% in Dubai’s mainstream market in July 2015. Property brokers in Dubai estimate that yields in the cheaper areas of the city such as Sports City are around 6% to 8%. Financing is usually arranged through local banks which will loan foreign buyers up to 50% of the purchase price depending upon their terms and conditions. The buying process is different to the UK. There are no conveyancing solicitors as the Dubai Land Department does the checks and it normally takes about a month to complete… Continue reading
