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New analysis suggests Brexit vote is affecting prime central London lettings market
The lettings market in prime central London has weakened rental as tenants capitalise on the current economic uncertainty including the upcoming referendum on the future of the UK in the European Union. The latest analysis report from specialist residential investor advisors London Central Portfolio (LCP) says that the rental market is reflecting a slowdown as a result of economic strains. It shows that whilst new lets have seen consistently positive rental upticks over the last five consecutive quarters, averaging a 5.5% increase overall, the market is beginning to subdue, according to the published statistics. Against a backdrop of falling stock markets, a collapse in oil prices and Brexit uncertainty, new lets have achieved just a 0.3% increase over the last quarter. This has been exacerbated by the predictably quieter Easter and May bank holiday period. The analysis, however, shows that re-lets are showing a significantly weaker picture, with a 1.2% fall in rents over the last quarter, following a fairly static picture over the course of the year. The report says that this is due to applicants being attracted to brand new properties, without any sign of previous use, coupled with a significant uptick in rental stock available. This has increased by 26.7% from 23,039 to 29,198 in the last three months, attributable to a reduction in transactions in the sales market which has led to more properties being available for rent. ‘The overall suppression in rents reflects a market dynamic which was conspicuous during the credit crunch, as tenants capitalise on economic uncertainty to leverage up their bargaining power. This has been compounded by companies cutting their relocation budgets in the face of global instability and, in some cases, delaying relocations in the run up the EU referendum,’ said Naomi Heaton, chief executive officer of London Central Portfolio. ‘In light of the current market conditions, landlords may need to be more flexible to accommodate the higher negotiating power of applicants and to prevent void periods which may erode any increase in rent ultimately achieved. For as long as this cycle lasts, landlords also may need to be more open to remedial and upgrade works between tenancies,’ she explained. ‘A slowdown in the re-let market has been compensated by continued positive renewal increases by tenants in situ. With Landlords often able to achieve contractual rental increases, above that which can be achieved in the open market, average rental growth of 3.3% in the last quarter has been seen in contrast to the softer market elsewhere,’ she added. The report also points out that despite the somewhat gloomy picture generally, corporate belt tightening means that small one and two bedroom properties are reinforcing their position as the hardest working sector of the market. Appetite for these mainstream rental properties remains strong, with void periods down to just 23 days on average. For these properties, the area around Marylebone, Fitzrovia… Continue reading
Latest index figures show Spanish property prices are stable, but rents down
Average residential property prices in Spain have remained stable, rising 0.1% in April compared to a year ago, according to the latest index data to be published. But the April increase is more moderate than the year on year growth recorded in March and February at 0.8% and 2.1% respectively, the data from real estate appraisal firm Tinsa shows. However the figures also show that between January and April, house prices have accumulated an average increase of 1.9% and compared to the peak of the market in 2007 they are down 41.1%, a level similar to the summer of 2003. A breakdown of the figures show that the biggest year on year price increase was on the Mediterranean Coast with growth of 4.4%. Prices in metropolitan regions were unchanged year on year and in large cities they were down 0.2%. The Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands, where prices have been rising, saw a fall of 0.4% and the other municipalities group recorded a fall of 0.9% but this group had the biggest increase in prices between January and April at 3.8%. Another set of figures show that compared with the end of 2015 prices are up more substantially, with growth of 3.8% in other municipalities in the first quarter of 2016, up 2.9% in the Balearic and Canary Islands, up 2.7% on the Mediterranean coast, up 1.1% in metropolitan areas and up 0.7% in large cities. While prices are down overall by 41.1% comparted to the peak of the market, this decline varies according to location. It is down 30.6% in the Balearic and Canary Islands, down 35.8% in other municipalities, down 46.7% on the Mediterranean coast, down 45% in large cities and down 44.4% in metropolitan areas. Separate figures from the National Statistics Institute show that average rents in Spain were down 0.1% in April year on year. It means that rents have now fallen for 37 months in a row. But the latest decline is more moderate than the 0.2% recorded in March while for the first four months of the year rents are up 0.1% and there is regional variations. Rents in Galicia increased by 0.4%, were up 0.3% in the Balearic Islands, up 0.2% in Navarre, Murcia, Andalucia, Catalonia and Melilla, but were unchanged in Cantabria. But a number of regions saw declines, including a fall of 1.9% in La Rioja, down 0.6% in Castilla-La Mancha, Castilla y León, Extremadura and the Basque Country. Madrid record rental fall of 0.5%, while rents were down 0.3% in Asturias, by 0.2% in Aragón and Ceuta and by 0.1% in Valencia and the Canary Islands. Continue reading
Lenders in UK praised for work on responsible lending requirements
Lenders in the UK positively applied the responsible lending requirements which came into force as part of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) introduced in April 2014, a new report concludes. But there is scope for improving consumers’ ability to make better choices about mortgage deals according to the Responsible Lending Review published by the UK’s financial watchdog, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It also says that some firms need to make process improvements to help them consistently assess and record their lending decisions and some could be more proactive and consistent in making use of flexibilities and exceptions to the responsible lending requirements for existing customers. The research found no evidence that the rules have prevented firms lending responsibly to consumer groups such as older borrowers and the self-employed. However it points out that with older consumers representing an increasing proportion of the UK population it is important that the mortgage market continues to develop a range of products that can meet their needs. Potential issues relating to lending to older borrowers will be included in wider work on the ageing population being undertaken by the FCA. The review looked at the challenges that consumers face in making effective choices, particularly when it comes to assessing and acting on information about mortgage products, with intermediaries being key to the process. It also examined if there are opportunities to make more effective use of technology in the provision of information and advice and commercial relationships between different players in the sector’s supply chain, in particular the use of panels, that might give rise to competition concerns. The FCA will carry out further work where there is greatest scope for competition to improve consumer outcomes. In particular, it will launch a targeted market study in the fourth quarter of 2016 focused on consumers’ ability to make effective choices, with a view to improving how competition works in consumers’ best interests. This study will try to determine if the available tools for helping consumers make choices, such as price comparison websites, best-buy tables, and advice, effectively meet their needs. ‘For millions of consumers a mortgage is one of the biggest financial transactions they will enter into in their lifetime so it’s encouraging to see firms embrace the spirit and the letter of our rules,’ said Christopher Woolard, director of strategy and competition at the FCA. ‘At the same time, there appears to be more to be done to improve competition in the mortgage sector. Competition can play a key role in ensuring that the sector works well, delivering lower prices, better products and choice, and more innovation,’ he explained. ‘Based on the evidence we’ve collected so far, we intend to launch a forward looking market study later on this year, with particular focus on the roles played by intermediaries and panels,’ he added. The Council of Mortgage Lenders welcomed the review and pointed out that members are already working on certain areas such as improving consumers' ability… Continue reading
