Tag Archives: european
Mortgage lending in UK fell in April, but no surprise due to March buy let boost
Gross mortgage lending in the UK reached £18.5 billion in April, some 29% lower than March’s lending total of £26.2 billion, but 16% higher than the £16 billion lent in April last year. CML economist Mohammad Jamei pointed out that a fall was expected due to a rush in buy to let lending in March as landlords rushed through sales to beat the new 3% surcharge on additional homes that was introduced on 01 April. ‘As we move past the stamp duty change that came into effect at the start of April, we expect to see a quieter second quarter, as some transactions that were due to take place were brought forward to the first quarter of this year,’ he explained. ‘This is likely to mean that over the next few months buy to let takes a back seat as lending is driven by first time buyers, movers and remortgage customers. The underlying picture still shows signs of growth, as the market remains underpinned by strong fundamentals such as increasing wages and rising employment,’ he pointed out. ‘But it is possible that the uncertainty around the upcoming European Union referendum in June will weigh on activity in the upcoming months,’ he added. According to David Brown, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, April lending was never going to live up to the March boost which was characterised by massively increased borrowing to landlords and second home owners. ‘But while we’ve seen a bit of a monthly comedown since then, the annual fundamentals are indicative of strength in the mortgage market. Widely expected to be an underwhelming month, April has still set an impressive benchmark for this time of the year, with lending levels harking back to the pre-recession era,’ he said. ‘Buy to let investors are just one type of buyer after all, and borrowing isn’t going to ground to a halt while they have a breather. The stamp duty changes didn’t affect the plans and intentions of hordes of other first time buyers and home movers, and in these areas buyer demand is still bursting at the seams,’ he added. David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business, pointed out that underneath the month on month lending patterns, there is a strong and steady current of buy to let lending critical to meet growing public demand for private rented accommodation. ‘Underlying annual growth in April shows a more sustainable path aside from any short term fluctuations and the need for buy to let mortgages to support the role of landlords,’ he added. The extremes of March make it futile to try to extract any meaningful insight from April's numbers, according to John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank. More importantly, market feedback suggests that normality has returned at enquiry level, although it will be the third quarter before we see this in new lending,’ he said. ‘A strong undercurrent of demand and a growing UK population means… Continue reading
Indianapolis named as best US market for first time buyers
Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, and Memphis are the best markets for first time buyers in the United right now, according to new research. Cleveland, Chicago, Houston, and Birmingham, Alabama, also made the top 10 first time buyer market ranking list put together by real estate firm Zillow. To determine which markets are best for those looking to buy their first home, Zillow looked for places where it's more affordable to make a monthly mortgage payment than a monthly rental payment. The research also looked at median home values and competition, including how many homes the first time buyer has to choose from and whether they are likely to be up against all-cash offers. It found that San Jose, Seattle and Austin are among the hardest places for first time buyers to get on the housing market, a conundrum for many young people who move to those cities because of their hot job markets, only to find a limited and unaffordable selection of starter homes to choose from. ‘Buying your first home is a big decision that takes a lot of planning. First time buyers across the US are up against high prices and low inventory,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘But these are the places where the availability of affordable, entry level homes and the presence of cash buyers are less of an issue. First time buyers in these markets won't have to deal with as many bidding wars or runaway price as they'll be able to find a first home that fits their needs with less stress. With record low mortgage rates, it's a good time to buy a home and certainly worth considering,’ she pointed out. In Indianapolis, home buyers can expect to spend 11% of their income on a monthly mortgage payment, some 4% less than the US average. Renters, on the other hand, can expect to spend 26% of their income on monthly rent, an incentive for renters in Indianapolis to become home owners. Continue reading
UK property market boosted by buy to let rush in march, official figures show
UK house prices increased by 9% in the year to March 2016, up from 7.6% in the year to February 2016, according to the latest official figures. House price annual inflation was 10.1% in England, 2.1% in Wales, 6.4% in Northern Ireland but fell by 6.1% in Scotland, taking the average price to £292,000, the data from the Office of National Statistics shows. Annual house price increases in England were driven by growth in London of 13%, followed by 12.2% in the South East and 12.1% in the East of England. However, excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 5.9% in the 12 months to March 2016. The data also shows that on a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices increased by 2.5% between February 2016 and March 2016 and prices paid by first time buyers were 9.7% higher on average than in March 2015. For owner-occupiers prices increased by 8.7% for the same period. This is the final release of the ONS House Price Index (HPI) which will be replaced by the new UK House Price Index from June 2016. Richard Snook, senior economist at PwC, explained that buy to let investors rushing to complete purchases before the 3% stamp duty charge on additional properties came into effect at the beginning of April has affected the figures. ‘This move undoubtedly drove up demand and prices in March and we would expect demand to soften over the next few months as a result. There are no signs of any Brexit related slowdown in this month’s figures, although the underlying trends are masked by the effects of the stamp duty change,’ he said. According to Rob Weaver, director of Investments at property crowdfunding platform Property Partner, the figures also show that the divide between north and south is widening while in London and the south east first time buyers are finding it harder to get on the housing ladder. ‘But with niggling doubts over the imminent EU referendum, we’re likely to see a short term dip in prices until the end of June. Then the fundamentals of strong demand and scant supply, rock bottom interest rates and healthy jobs market should reassert themselves,’ he added. Randeesh Sandhu, chief executive officer of Urban Exposure, the residential development finance provider, also believes that activity is likely to slow down in the coming months following these changes and also in the run up the EU referendum with consumers remaining cautious against the backdrop of a potential Brexit. ‘However, it is clear that demand for housing remains strong and any impact of a Brexit is likely to be a short term trend with activity returning to normal soon after any decision. Therefore a real focus needs to be given to the housing shortages the UK faces,’ he said. ‘In London, the new Mayor, Sadiq Khan, has the opportunity to inject some fresh policies to the London housing market where house prices are particularly steep. However, Sadiq’s plan… Continue reading
