Tag Archives: election
UK house prices up 1% in April, according to latest index
Annual house price growth in the UK edged up to 5.2% in April from 5.1% in March, according to the latest index from the Nationwide building society. The data from the leading lender also shows that house prices rose by 1% in April, taking the average price of a home to £193,048. This is the largest monthly increase since June 2014 and as a result the annual pace of house price growth increased for the first time in seven months, Nationwide chief economist Robert Gardner pointed out. He explained that the pick-up in price growth has occurred even though the pace of activity in the housing market has remained fairly subdued in recent months. ‘Indeed, the number of mortgage approvals is still well below its long run average and 20% below the levels recorded in early 2014. The strength of the economy and relatively subdued pace of activity in the housing market remains something of an anomaly,’ said Gardner. ‘It is possible that heightened uncertainty ahead of the election is weighing on activity, though there is no compelling evidence from previous UK elections to suggest a strong impact. Healthy labour market conditions and continued low mortgage rates should help underpin housing demand in the quarters ahead,’ he added. The Nationwide has also been looking at how the UK housing market compares to the rest of the European Union. ‘The UK is often characterised as a nation of home owners, though compared with our European neighbours, the proportion of the population owning their own home is not particularly high. In fact, it is actually towards the lower end of the range,’ Gardner said. He pointed out that although some other European nations have seen declines in their home ownership rates in recent years, the movement in the UK has been more pronounced. ‘That said, even at its all-time high of 73% in 2007, the UK home ownership rate was not particularly high by EU standards,’ he explained. ‘Since then, there has been significant growth in the private rental sector. Interestingly, while the UK home ownership rate may not be particularly high, the propensity for young adults aged 18 to 34) to live with their parents is relatively low, a trend which has become more pronounced over the past five years,’ he added. Continue reading
UK election not harming house price sentiment, latest index suggests
Households in the UK perceive that the value of their home rose in April despite the uncertainty being created by the country’s forthcoming general election, the latest sentiment index shows. Some 20.9% of the 1,500 households surveyed across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 4.5% reported a fall, according to the House Price Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. This gave the HPSI a reading of 58.2, the 25th consecutive month that the reading has been above 50 and a slight increase on last month’s reading of 57.5, suggesting that households believe prices continued to rise in spite of the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election. ‘The outcome of the election may be uncertain, but there are some key factors underpinning house prices at present. Confidence in the economy continues to grow while the cost of living has stopped rising,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Mortgage rates have dipped to a new low, making owning a home for those who can clinch a mortgage deal cheaper than at any time before. The cost of buying a home for the majority of purchasers has also fallen after the reform of stamp duty in December last year. A lack of supply of homes for sale in recent months has also boosted prices,’ she explained. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, also rose in April to 70.2, up from 69.6 in March and the highest reading so far this year. According to Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit, the UK housing market showed resilience in the face of upcoming election uncertainty, with April’s survey highlighting the first back to back monthly rise in house price sentiment for almost a year. ‘Reduced pressure on household finances, improving labour market conditions and low mortgage rates continued to support house price sentiment in April. However, stretched affordability and tighter lending conditions are keeping a lid on house price momentum,’ he said. He pointed out that on a regional basis, people living in the East of England are the most likely to anticipate rising property values over the next 12 months, followed by those living in the South East. Meanwhile, the gap between UK wide house price growth expectations and those in the capital fell to its joint lowest since the start of 2011. The report also shows that some 6.5% of UK households said they planned to buy a property in the next 12 months, up from 5.7% in March. On a regional basis, nearly one in 10 households in Wales is planning a purchase in the next 12 months, followed by those in the East of England where 9.5% of households said they would be buying a property in 2015. Individuals aged between 25 and 34 are more likely to be considering buying a home in… Continue reading
Consumer confidence in UK housing market outlook rebounds
While house price growth continued to slow in March in the UK, consumer confidence in the outlook for the housing market has rebounded to its highest level since July last year, new research shows. Consumer confidence in the outlook for the housing market has bounced back to a net balance of +64 in March from +60 in February, according to the latest quarterly Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker as measured by Ipsos MORI. Conversely, house prices increases have slowed over the same period and in the three months to March this year house prices were 8.1% higher than in the same three months a year earlier, compared to 8.5% in January 2015, and 10.2% in July 2014. As to just how confident consumers are in the outlook for the housing market over the next 12 months some 33% are expecting the average property price to be higher by up to 5%, while 25% anticipate increases of between 5% and 10%. ‘We’ve seen a strong start to the year in terms of the net sentiment regarding the outlook for the housing market, and this has translated into an increase in transaction volumes. This increase in optimism is likely to be the result of a combination of factors, including the improving economic figures, greater numbers of higher loan to value mortgages, and extremely competitive mortgage rates,’ said Craig McKinlay, Halifax mortgages director. There has been an increase in the net proportion of consumers who believe mortgage interest rates will be higher in 12 months’ time at +41 compared to +35 in February. Nevertheless, only 12% spontaneously cited concerns about interest rate rises as one of the main barriers to being able to buy a property, down from 15% in the first quarter of 2014. The main perceived barriers to homeownership are the ability to raise enough deposit for 61% while 44% have concerns about job security). A year ago, 60% and 51% respectively identified these as among the main barriers. ‘The results highlight that an increasing number of consumers believe interest rates will begin to rise in the next 12 months, but at the same time it is falling as a perceived barrier to homeownership,’ McKinlay explained. ‘This is perhaps a result of rising incomes and the current low mortgages rates. The fact that consumers’ ability to raise a deposit remains the greatest perceived barrier to home ownership shows there is more work to be done in terms of letting people know what support is now available,’ he added. Overall a net +33 of consumers think the next 12 months will be a good time to sell, compared to +24 at end of December 2014. This is the highest score on this measure since the survey’s inception in April 2011. At the same time the proportion who believes it is now a good time to buy has slumped from +26 at end of December 2014 to +21 as at end of March 2015. Regionally, house price optimism… Continue reading
