Tag Archives: dublin
Ireland needs 21,000 new houses a year, but smaller homes are required
Demand for new housing In Ireland will continue to increase in accordance with population trends and a reduction in household sizes with 21,000 new homes needed per year for the next three years. Details from the National Housing Statement by the Housing Agency points out that the population is currently at its highest for 150 years at 4.5 million and demand for homes is high as a result. It also shows that affordability is an issue for those looking to buy in the greater Dublin area. Overall house prices have increased across the country with the median price nationally at €152,000, up from €140,000 in 2013. In Dublin it is €260,000, up from €220,000 in 2013. Rental prices have also increased, particularly for apartments. Nationally rents were 6.9% higher in the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014 with growth of 9.6% in Dublin and 5.3% outside Dublin. Mortgage arrears and negative equity remain a serious concern, the report says, with a total of 110,366 mortgages in arrears at the end of 2014 but it adds that changes mean that smaller homes will be needed because household requirements have changed and the average household size has fallen dramatically. ‘Proportional household composition has changed and we see an increase in smaller households and a corresponding decrease in larger households. The average household size in the country has fallen significantly over the last nine years from an average of 3.04 in 2002 to 2.77 in 2011. Based on an assessment of regional trends, it has been calculated that it will fall further to 2.67 by 2018 so the majority of new housing will now accommodate fewer people,’ it says. Minister for State with responsibility for Housing, Paudie Coffey, said that the report provides a much needed analysis of the true picture of housing supply and demand in Ireland along with future projections, allowing for emerging imbalances to be identified and rectified at an early stage. ‘It contributes greatly to an overall understanding of housing needs in Ireland, ensuring that the most up to date and comprehensive data is available relating to current housing supply and emerging needs. Importantly, this data will help ensure policy responses are evidence based and needs led, as we endeavour to build sustainable communities for the present and future generations,’ he added. According to Conor Skehan, chairman of the Housing Agency, the data is now in place to ensure housing needs are met through a whole suite of initiatives which are underway including those addressing issues such as housing supply, housing land availability, and provision of social housing ‘Keeping those initiatives on target requires accurate data and progress reports on extent to which these needs are being met. This is the first of a series of annual reports to deliver a state of the nation picture of what housing needs are and how we are addressing housing supply,’ he explained. Continue reading
Investment in Irish office property market sees record performance
Total returns from investment property in Ireland hit 6.3% in the second quarter of 2015, rising above the 4.3% returned in the first quarter of the year, new data shows. Offices continued to lead the market, returning 7.4% in the last quarter, and 37.7% year on year compared with 33.0% in 2014, another record performance figure for the office sector, according to the figures from the IPD/SCSI quarterly property index. Following a slight dip in the previous quarter, the higher returns for Irish offices stemmed mainly from a strong occupier market, with rental value growth at 6.1% in the second quarter far higher than for the other main sectors. The index report also says that rental growth is now firmly established as the key driver of office returns, taking over from the re-pricing that drove the office market recovery in its early stages, when investor confidence began to return. The 12 month return for Irish commercial property of 33.7% to the end of June 2015 was more than double that for the UK over the same period which was 16.7% according to the IPD UK monthly property index. ‘The index shows that it has once again been a very strong quarter for Irish office investments. That said, we have also seen an improvement in the industrial sector, with total returns rising 250 basis points over the course of the second quarter of 2015,’ said Colm Lauder, MSCI senior associate. ‘The prime retail sector recorded a significant pickup in rental performance during the second quarter, with market rents climbing by 4.4% on Grafton Street as confidence returns to the retail trade. Values on Ireland’s leading high street have grown by 49% in the last 24 months, although this still leaves values 62% off the 2007 peak,’ he explained. ‘Investment pricing on Grafton Street showed an equivalent yield of 4.5% at the end of June, a long way off the 2.6% level achieved during the boom years,’ he added. According to Pauline Daly, of the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) said that the increase in returns in the second quarter reflects strong activity levels in the market across all subsectors. ‘An interesting trend has been the change in transaction type in the second quarter from the large portfolio sales in the first quarter to a larger number of individual asset sales in the second quarter,’ she explained. ‘We are also seeing more investment spread to the regions, particularly in Munster, which is good news from a competitiveness perspective and a wider pool of investors involved in the market which is likely to ensure liquidity and continued growth in investment volumes for the rest of the year,’ she added. Continue reading
US pending home sales at highest for over nine years
Pending home sales in the United States continued to rise in May and are now at their highest level in over nine years, the latest index data shows. Gains in the Northeast and West were offset by small decreases in the Midwest and South, according to the Pending Home Sales index from the National Association of Realtors which is a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings. The index climbed 0.9% to 112.6 in May from a slight downward revision of 111.6 in April and is now 10.4% above May 2014 when it was 101.9. The index has now increased year on year for nine consecutive months and is at its highest level since April 2006. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, contract activity rose again in May for the fifth straight month, increasing the likelihood that home sales are off to their best year since the downturn. ‘The steady pace of solid job creation seen now for over a year has given the housing market a boost this spring. It's very encouraging to now see a broad based recovery with all four major regions showing solid gains from a year ago and new home sales also coming alive,’ he explained. However, Yun warned that this year's stronger sales amidst similar housing supply levels from a year ago have caused home prices to rise to an unhealthy and unsustainable pace. ‘Housing affordability remains a pressing issue with home price growth increasing around four times the pace of wages. Without meaningful gains in new and existing supply, there's no question the goalpost will move further away for many renters wanting to become home owners,’ he added. The PHSI in the Northeast increased 6.3% to 93.9 in May, and is now 10.6% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index declined 0.6% to 111.4 in May, but is still 7.8% above May 2014. Pending home sales in the South decreased 0.8% to an index of 127.8 in May but are still 10.6% above last May. The index in the West rose 2.2% in May to 104.5, and is 13% above a year ago. Continue reading
