Tag Archives: development
House building land prices fall for first time since 2012, latest index shows
After several quarters of slowing growth, the average value of green field residential development land in England and Wales fell in the first quarter of the year, the first decline since December 2012. Prices fell by 1.8% in the first three months of 2015, taking the annual change to -0.5%. However the picture across the country is more mixed with the land index from real estate consultants Knight Frank showing that development land prices in prime central London also stalled in the first three months of the year. Land values in price central London remained unchanged in the first quarter, the first time they have not risen since the index began in 2012. But on an annual basis, prime central London development land prices were up 18.5% in the first quarter. This slowdown is the result of a gradual slowing in price growth over several quarters, according to Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Across the country, many house builders have been replenishing their pipeline of land over the last 12 to 18 months, both consented and strategic. For strategic land, they have started guiding it through the planning system. As such, demand for consented land has eased. Sites which are oven-ready and perfectly located are still attracting interest however,’ she explained. She pointed out that there has also been a notable trend emerging of an increased appetite for strategic land among larger house builders as this can result in higher margins. But on a short term basis, the development land market, much like the housing market, has also been affected by the upcoming election, with some developers and house builders deferring decisions in recent months until the outcome of the election is clear. ‘All the parties have pledged to boost housing supply in the years to come, through a variety of schemes from brownfield regeneration funds to support for small to medium sized builders,’ said Gilmore. ‘A theme that is set to continue through the election and the rest of the year is the increased cost of building. Material and labour costs continue to rise, and this is also putting downward pressure on land prices,’ she added. Continue reading
Property prices near London Crossrail stations set to outperform local markets
On average property prices within a 10 or 15 minute walk from the new Crossrail stations in and around London have already outperformed prices in the wider area by some 5%, new research shows. While there are pockets of sustained outperformance, especially in central London, average residential property prices around a few of the stations in the Eastern and Western sections of the line show a more mixed picture. Yet those areas where price growth has lagged the surrounding areas may offer significant opportunities for further price uplifts, especially where large scale regeneration and development is underway, according to the major analysis report from real estate firm Knight Frank. It points out that when fully complete in 2019, Crossrail will bring an additional 1.5 million people to within a 45 minute commute of the centre of London. ‘In many cases, it is not just the reduced travel times that have the potential to create value, but also large regeneration projects connected with Crossrail, which are not only improving the realms around stations, but providing a wider choice of higher level amenities as well as residential property options,’ said Grainne Gilmore, Knight Frank head of UK residential research. The firm has previously assessed how residential prices around central Crossrail stations performed between 2008, when Royal Assent for the project was granted, and 2012 and found that on average, prices within a 10 minute walk of the stations outperformed the wider prime central London market by 8%. Now it has taken its analysis further and also looked at how property prices around each of the stations from Shenfield to Maidenhead have moved over the last seven years, and comparing this with average price growth in the surrounding areas. In total, there are 2,976 residential units in schemes which have been started within a 10 minute walk of central Crossrail stations and a further 10,096 units with planning approved. ‘Some of these schemes may be phased, and take some years to deliver but the development potential of the areas surrounding the stations is clear,’ said Gilmore. ‘The research shows that prices around Canary Wharf Station have lagged the strong growth seen in prime outer London from 2008 to date, but the scale of development taking place in the area, and further East, make this an area to watch,’ she pointed out. Residential property prices within a 10 minute walk of the central stations have risen, on average, by 57% since 2008 compared to 43% growth in the prime central London market over the same period, according to Knight Frank’s own index. The biggest rises in residential prices have been seen within a 10 minute walk of Bond Street with an 82% uplift in prices in the area surrounding the station, which encompasses much of Mayfair. ‘While some of this increase has been underpinned by the buoyant central London market, it does not explain the full uplift. Prices in the wider Mayfair market were some 30% higher… Continue reading
Positive outlook for sales and lettings markets in south and east London
The sales and lettings market in the South East of London are set to be buoyant in the coming months due to high demand, according to a new analysis report. There has been a notable migration of buyers from parts of North and West London setting up home in the Royal Borough of Greenwich thanks to it being comparably good value for money, according to the report from JLL. The associate director at the firm’s Blackheath office, Graham Lawes, said that this, coupled with high local demand, is fuelling the prices and momentum is set to continue throughout the year. ‘For City workers, the accessibility to Canary Wharf is a huge attraction. Young professionals and high earners are drawn to the area thanks to the addition of new boutiques, high end restaurants and bars opening in the historical borough. Families are also attracted to the Royal Borough thanks to its excellent local schools with impressive Ofsted reports,’ he explained. He pointed out that it is widely regarded that parts of the South East of London will see prices rise beyond the national average and that there is a huge disparity from one side of London to the other. The imminent arrival of Crossrail will add to this. ‘Blackheath and Greenwich will continue to attract interest but I anticipate Lewisham (SE13) Charlton (SE7), Woolwich (SE18), Plumstead (SE18), and Abbey Wood (SE2) to see the largest growth percentages over the next year as properties there are excellent value,’ added Lawes. The area’s rental market has also been strong, according to Charlotte Russell, assistant lettings manager of JLL’s Greenwich office. ‘This year, the rental market in Greenwich and Blackheath has been particularly strong for one and two bedroom properties. These properties have achieved up to 18% increases in rents year on year in some areas, largely due to relocation for employment into Canary Wharf and the City,’ she said. ‘Such relocations have positively impacted the rental market, particularly now that Greenwich is offering riverside developments to match Canary Wharf, and this has increased both the popularity of the area and spectrum of tenants. Additionally, we are seeing more people staying in their properties longer term with minimal void periods between tenancies,’ she explained. Looking ahead to spring, the firm anticipates that the rental market will remain buoyant, particularly going in to the warmer months, when tenants prefer to move with riverside living likely to remain popular with potential tenants. ‘We hope that new developments such as Platinum Riverside, Greenland Place, Peninsula Tower, and the ever growing Royal Arsenal Riverside in Woolwich, will keep the market in good supply as the demand increases,’ added Russell. In the City and East London property sales market there is likely to be a focus on what happens with Canary Wharf with the estate being sold to a Qatari led bid and planning passed to develop Wood Wharf. But in the… Continue reading
