Tag Archives: denver
Research shows US first time buyers battling against less choice and higher prices
First time buyers in the United States are facing a lack of affordable homes to buy and higher prices, according to new research. Home values are rising the fastest among entry-level homes in more than half of the largest housing markets, according to latest real estate market report from Zillow which covers the first quarter of 2016. It says that rising home values in this segment of the market can be attributed to a lack of supply, with 10% fewer homes for sale this year compared to last. The median value of entry level homes, that is those in the bottom third of the market, have increased the most over the past year in Denver, up 20%, followed by Portland and Dallas. The report also shows that there are 13% fewer entry level homes available in Denver than there were a year ago. The number of entry level homes available declined the most in Portland where there are 40% fewer entry level homes available than there were a year ago. The findings signal difficult times ahead for first time buyers looking to enter the market. Going into home shopping season this spring, buyers will find fewer homes in the bottom and middle of the market which are the properties most affordable for first time buyers. The trend also highlights the different experiences buyers are having in the recovering housing market. Buyers looking for the most expensive homes will find slower price growth, a larger selection, and less competition this spring than entry level buyers who are likely to face stiff competition, bidding wars, and very few homes to choose from. ‘It's going to be a tough home buying market this spring, especially for first time buyers or even people looking to move up into a slightly more expensive home,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘In order to stand out in a competitive market, buyers should get pre-approved for a loan, find an agent who has experience with bidding wars, and consider coming in at the asking price, so the seller knows they're serious,’ she added. In all of the largest US housing markets, more than a third of the homes available for sale are in the most expensive segment in the top third of the overall housing stock in the market. In nine markets, top tier homes make up more than half of the inventory. The most expensive homes on the market are more likely to have a price cut, a signal that there's less demand for top tier homes. The share of top tier listings with a price cut has increased 1.6% over the past year. Continue reading
US home owners wary as housing market slows
Home owners in the United States are wary of where the housing market is going, while rising prices in some markets are driving renters away from home ownership aspirations, a new report has found. Overall, home owners are confident about the current state of the housing market, but they are less exuberant about future market performance, according to the mid-year results of the Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI). Millennials are ready to buy in slowing housing markets, but they are dialling back their plans to buy in red hot tech markets like Denver, Seattle, and San Francisco, the index report points out. Also, some 4.9 million renters say they plan to buy in the next year, down from 5.2 million in January, the survey of 10,000 renters and home owners also shows. That is down from 12.1% to 11.4% in the first six months of this year. A smaller percentage of those surveyed said it was a good time to buy. The percentage of those surveyed who believe people who have recently bought a home will be better off in 10 years fell from 61% to 59%, the data also shows. ‘The housing market is slowing down, and Americans' confidence in the future of the market is understandably fading a bit, too. Despite remaining quite confident overall, homeowners are less confident about the future than they are about the present,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘Seeing still stronger than normal home value appreciation in markets like San Francisco and Seattle might remind them of the last housing bubble. But the good news is things are levelling off with no crash in sight. If incomes rise to keep up with home values people can count on home ownership in their future, even in hot markets,’ added Gudell. The report says that home value growth has slowed in almost all housing markets this year, giving homebuyers some breathing room. In those markets with marked slowdowns, many more buyers are looking to buy their first home. For example, 8% of Philadelphia renters said they planned to buy within a year in the January survey, when home values were rising at a 3.1%. In July, when Philadelphia home values were flat, 18% said they planned to buy within a year. And many of those new potential buyers are millennials. Just 1% of 18 to 34 year old Philadelphia renters surveyed in January planned to buy within a year, but that had increased to 23% in the July survey. The opposite occurred in markets where home value growth, despite having slowed overall, is still well above national norms. Here, renters are less optimistic about their buying prospects. In San Francisco some 18% of 18 to 34 year old renters planned to buy a home within a year when asked in January. At that point, San Francisco home values were rising at a 7.9% annual rate. In July, home values were up 11% year on year, and only 5%… Continue reading
Renting a home in the US less affordable than ever, new research suggests
Renting a home in the United States is less affordable than ever before with tenants paying 30% more of their income on paying for their home compared with home owners at 15%, new research shows. Mortgages remain affordable by historical standards while rent is unaffordable in three quarters of housing markets, especially high demand locations in Miami, San Francisco and San Jose, according to the latest report from real estate firm Zillow. It also shows that rental affordability worsened year on year in 28 of the 35 largest metro areas covered by the Zillow index while Denver, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Jose and San Diego are unaffordable for both renters and buyers. Overall in the second quarter of 2015 renters paid some 30.2% of their monthly income toward rent, the highest percentage ever. Before the real estate downturn tenants could expect to spend about 24.4% of their incomes on rent. In contrast, buyers pay 15.1% of their income towards mortgage payments, which is still less than what they spent historically. From 1985 through 2000, home owners spent about 21.3% of their monthly income on mortgage payments. In Denver and four California metros, both renters and buyers can expect to pay more of their income towards either rent or mortgage payments than in pre-bubble years. In San Jose, renters and buyers should each plan to put about 42% of their incomes towards housing. ‘Our research found that unaffordable rents are making it hard for people to save for a down payment and retirement, and that people whose rent is unaffordable are more likely to skip out on their own healthcare,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘There are good reasons to rent temporarily, for example when moving to a new city, but from an affordability perspective, rents are crazy right now. If you can possibly come up with a down payment, then it's a good time to buy a home and start putting your money toward a mortgage,’ added Gudell. The Zillow report says that mortgage payments will continue to be affordable even if mortgage rates rise as expected. If rates reach 6% next year, home buyers can still expect to spend 30% or less of their income on mortgage payments in 265 out of 290 or 91.4% of the metros Zillow analysed, and mortgage payments will be considered more affordable than in pre-bubble years in 72.1% of metros. Rents, on the other hand, are already unaffordable compared to historic norms in 77% of metros, and with relatively stagnant wage growth, this likely won't improve as rents keep climbing. Continue reading
