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Report highlights low number of first time buyers in UK housing market
First time buyer numbers in the UK remain 2.2 million behind where they should be given demographic trends despite significant government investment in home ownership, according to a new report. The report from the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLS) suggests that it means that current policy behind interventions in the housing market is missing the mark but they are likely to remain priorities for any new government that emerges in the post-Brexit political environment. The report finds that government investment in home ownership, including through the 15 different Own Your Own Home schemes currently on offer, is yet to have the desired upward effect on home ownership levels. Schemes including the Help to Buy ISA and the Starter Homes Scheme are designed to boost home ownership. They will also expand a demographic that has traditionally voted for the Conservative party, the report points out. At the 2015 General Election, 46% of outright owners and 39% of mortgaged home owners voted Conservative against 28% of private tenants and only 18% of social tenants, meaning homeowners remain a vital demographic for the Conservatives. This approach of extending support to help first timers get on the property ladder is partly being funded by the Conservatives’ second major intervention in the housing market, managing demand through the introduction of extra tax on buy to let and second home purchases. The report explains that the Exchequer is set to raise around £1.7 billion a year from these new taxes, although spending on home ownership far exceeds these costs and the latest UK Housing Review research from the Centre for Housing Policy estimates Government spending on home ownership in England through grants, guarantees and loans will total £40 billion over 2015 to 2021, equivalent to over £6.6 billion a year. But despite Government efforts to bolster home ownership, first time buyer numbers are still tracking lower than expected. The IMLA report finds that between 2007 and 2015 the number of first time buyers in the UK was some 2.2 million lower than past demographic trends suggested it should have been. The report also points out that so far some 90,000 new home sales have been made under the Help to Buy equity loan, NewBuy and FirstBuy schemes and a further 74,000 mortgages have been completed with the support of the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme but the government has failed to reverse the decline in home ownership. Indeed, between 2010 and 201, the latest year for which data is available, the number of owner occupied homes in the UK fell by 270,000. This decline may now be stalling as the latest English Housing Survey showed no change in owner occupation rates between 2013/2014 and 2014/2015, but there is yet to be any increase in home ownership levels. The IMLA’s analysis of data from the Building Societies Association (BSA) suggests more people worry about accessing a mortgage than affording one. In research conducted in March 2016… Continue reading
Weekly rents across Australian capital cities down by 0.4% in June
Weekly rents in capital cities in Australia fell by 0.4% in June and annually they are now 0.6% lower, the latest rented property index shows. However, while a majority of capitals saw a drop in rental rates over the month, on an annual basis, half of Australia’s capital cities actually recorded a rise in rents. These included Sydney up 0.4%, Melbourne up 1.7%, Hobart up 4.6% and Canberra up 1.9%. This takes the combined capital city rental rates to $487 a week for houses and $469 a week for units, the data from the CoreLogic June Rent Review report shows. According to CoreLogic research analyst Cameron Kusher, the large rental falls in Perth of 8.6% and Darwin at 16.2% have pulled the combined capital average lower, with rents also down by 0.3% in Brisbane and by 0.4% in Adelaide. ‘It is anticipated that the weakness in the rental market will persist and where on an annual basis, we will see rents fall even further over coming months,’ he said. At a combined capital city level, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.2% for houses in June 2016 and at 4.1% for units, each of which are sitting at record low levels. ‘A year ago, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.5% for houses and 4.4% for units across the combined capitals, indicating a fairly sharp compression of yields over the year,’ Kusher pointed out. ‘It’s also likely that we’ll see yields compress further over the coming months. However, this will be dependent on growth in home values as well as the direction of rental rates. As a result, capital growth, which has slowed from its peak, will continue to be a much more important factor for property investors than rental returns,’ he added. He explained that changes to rental market may have repercussions for older stock, particularly units as tenants look to move into newer dwellings and making it harder for owners of older units with fewer amenities to compete with better located and facilitated new unit stock, particularly if there is little pricing differential. The factors forcing rental rates lower include the lowest wages growth on record, relatively high levels of housing investment following record highs recently, historically high levels of new construction, most of which are units which are more than twice as likely to be rented, and the slowing of population growth which creates less overall demand for housing. ‘The combination of all these factors means that landlords have little scope to increase rents. There are reports that some landlords are having to reduce rents in certain areas in order to maintain their renters,’ Kusher added. Continue reading
UK first time buyers with small deposits save £1,300 in mortgage interest repayments
Falling mortgage rates in recent months mean that the average mortgage interest payments for a UK first time buyer mortgage over two years has fallen. It is down from £11,327 in the first quarter of 2015 to £10,019 in the first quarter of 2016, a saving of £1,308, according to research from AmTrust International, Mortgage and Special Risks. Record low interest rates in the first three months of 2016 mean it hasn’t been this cheap to service the interest on a 95% loan to value (LTV) mortgage since lending at this level was reinvigorated in 2013 following the financial crisis and recession. Some 95% LTV mortgages are commonly used by first time buyers who are unable to save a substantial deposit, enabling them to step onto the property ladder. The savings of more than £1,300 in interest payments over two years when compared to the first quarter 2015 is good news for a group of buyers who have been caught by rising house prices and expensive rents. As the interest costs of paying off a mortgage have fallen, this means the amount spent by high LTV borrowers, those with a 5% deposit, on capital repayments has increased, the research also shows. The amount first time buyers spend on capital repayments that help them build the equity in their home has risen 18% year on year from £5,407 in the first quarter of 2015 to £6,391 in the same period in 2016. This means first time buyers can pay off the capital of their mortgage faster, reducing the total amount of interest paid over the lifetime of their mortgage. While the costs of servicing the interest on a high LTV mortgage have decreased sharply, the cost of renting has risen in a further blow to hopeful buyers who will find it hard to save for a deposit while covering the cost of rent. Over the last year, the cost of a year’s rent has increased by £300 or 3% from an average of £9,188 in the first quarter of 2015 to £9,488 in the first quarter of 2016. When you compare the cost of renting to the interest cost of a mortgage, which is the part of the mortgage payment that does not go towards the owner building up their equity share in the property, akin to a form of saving, renting is £4,415, or 87%, more expensive. The current difference is £111 more than the £4,305 extra it cost to rent compared to paying mortgage interest in the fourth quarter of 2015, and £1,900 more than in the third quarter of 2014 when the gap was at its smallest at £2,515. The total cost of servicing a 95% LTV mortgage, interest and capital repayments, is also cheaper than it has been at any point since the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee was… Continue reading
