Tag Archives: crisis
Buy to let mortgage arrears in UK set to keep falling
Buy to let mortgage arrears in the UK are set to fall below 7,000 by the end of the year as landlords are confident and lenders have no reason to feel differently due to Brexit. The forecast from complex buy to let, commercial mortgage and short term finance lender Keystone, based on official data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML), points out there has been no let-up in demand. Latest official estimates show 9,300 cases of buy to let mortgage arrears as of the first quarter of 2016, down from 10,300 the previous quarter and 11,300 in the first quarter of 2015. Keystone’s projections estimate that as of the second quarter of 2016 some 8,500 buy to let mortgages stand more than three months in arrears across the UK. This is expected to drop to 6,600 by the fourth quarter of 2016. ‘The referendum result was unexpected, the precise impact is unknown, and it is still rather early to tell what will happen. But we have seen no let-up in demand for buy to let mortgages and we don’t expect to see any change in the downward trend in buy to let arrears as a result. Landlords are confident and lenders have no reason to feel any differently,’ said David Whittaker, managing director of Keystone Property Finance. He pointed out that there are many landlords out there who still need finance, particularly professionals who are in the process of remortgaging to secure a solid five year fixed rate or selling their personally owned portfolios to their limited companies. ‘We have ensured Keystone has the funding lines in place to provide landlords with the solutions they need and in the four weeks since the vote we have forged ahead with our lending. We are increasing traction with brokers and investors. Optimism is the keyword here,’ he explained. In response to CP11/16, the consultation paper from the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) which proposed stricter underwriting standards for buy to let, Keystone has introduced separate stress tests for individual and limited company borrowers applying for products in the Classic Range. For individuals the new formula of 145% at pay rate or notional rate of 5.25%, whichever is higher, will be applied to term trackers and three year fixed rates. For borrowers choosing a five year fixed rate, the pay rate will be used. Stress tests for limited companies are to remain at 125% of pay rate or notional rate of 5.25%, whichever is higher, for term trackers and three year fixed rates. For limited company borrowers choosing five year fixed rates, the pay rate will be used. ‘We’ve also improved our criteria for landlords looking to finance larger multi-units. We’re accepting six flats in a block as standard and we’ll consider up to eight on a case by case basis. Keystone is tackling market changes head on,’ Whittaker added. Continue reading
More than half of UK tenants would move away to buy a home
More than half of tenants in the UK would move or consider moving to a different town or city in order to buy a home, according to a new poll of private renters. The poll from the National Landlords Association (NLA) found that some 27% of tenants would relocate in order to buy a house and a further 29% would consider doing so. However, 44% of tenants said they would not move to another town or city even if it meant being able to afford to buy their own place. Tenants in London were the most open to the idea with 87% saying they would relocate or consider relocating in order to buy a home. However, tenants in the East Midlands were the least receptive to the idea with just 14% willing to relocate. The research also shows that 47% of those surveyed said they were unable to afford a deposit for a new home with 22% unable to access mortgage finance to buy. The findings come as the latest English Housing Survey shows that more private rented homes now meet the decent homes standard than ever before, with fewer overcrowded properties and a larger proportion of energy efficient properties. Home ownership is out of reach for so many people, so the idea of upping sticks and moving to a new town or city in order to buy their own home is becoming more and more appealing,’ said Richard Lambert, NLA chief executive officer. ‘I think people are looking at the costs of buying, especially in high demand areas like London and the South East, and realising what they could get for their money elsewhere. Relocating is never an easy decision to make as it will often involve leaving behind friends and family. Then there are all the other considerations, not least whether you’ll be able to find the employment to make a move possible,’ he pointed out. ‘In the meantime, the private rented sector remains a key part of the UK’s housing mix and it’s essential that tenants can rely on it. The latest findings from the government are encouraging but more must be done to improve conditions for the minority of tenants who have a bad experience of renting privately,’ he added. Continue reading
UK rental market sees no Brexit effect so far
The decision by the UK to leave the European Union has not yet affected the country’s private rental market with rents, supply and demand not changing significantly after the vote in June. The latest monthly report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) says that the rental market is stable, with little to no movement in terms of rental costs. While some 12% ARLA agents reported an immediate dip in rent, an overwhelming 77% saw no change. This contradicts expectations, as prior to the result some 19% predicted rents would increase and 20% expected them to fall while 61% thought they would stay the same. Similarly, the supply of available properties and demand for housing remained the same immediately following the result. Some 67% of ARLA members reported no change in supply and a further 64% reported no change in the number of prospective tenants looking for properties. However, since the result 45% of letting agents have witnessed uncertainty from landlords looking to let properties, which could cause waves in the rental market over the coming months. ‘The rental market has responded to Brexit in a calm fashion, with no immediate fallout amid extreme political and economic uncertainty. What we need is some certainty from the new Government that housing remains a priority with the rental market playing a central,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘For example, we want to avoid a situation where institutional investors start pulling away from the market because ultimately this will impact tenants by squeezing supply further and pushing up rents,’ he explained. ‘Although we’ve seen some hesitation from landlords this is relatively mild and it’s important they do not act in haste. Any inevitable longer term changes will then be taken on board with greater ease,’ he added. The report also shows that month on month, demand for rental accommodation was up in June, as was the supply of properties managed on letting agents’ books. There were 37 prospective tenants on average registered per ARLA member branch in June, up 12% from 33 in May. The supply of rental properties rose by 3% in June, from 171 in May to 176 properties on agents’ books this month. ‘If one thing is clear following Brexit, it’s that supply and demand remains a real issue in the rental market. If supply continues to dwindle against growing demand, no matter what the eventual implications of Brexit are, renting will become more difficult and expensive for tenants,’ Cox concluded. Continue reading
