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Average UK house prices up 8.7% year on year in June, official data shows
Average house prices in the UK increased by 8.7% in the year to June 2016, up from 8.5% in the year to May 2016, according to the latest national house price index compiled by the Office of National Statistics (ONS). This took the average UK price to £214,000 in June 2016, some £17,000 higher than in June 2015 and £2,100 higher than the previous month but it should be noted that the data was recorded before any Brexit effect would be discernible. The HPI report says that strong house price growth has been seen since the end of 2013 but there is regional variation and in June the main contribution to the increase in UK house prices came from England. On a regional basis house prices increased by 9.3% in England over the year to June 2016, with the average price in England £229,000. Wales saw house prices increase by 4.9% to £145,000 while in Scotland, the average price increased by 4.6% to £143,000. The average price in Northern Ireland is was £123,000. London continues to be the region with the highest average house price at £472,000, followed by the South East and the East of England, which stand at £309,000 and £270,000 respectively. The lowest average price continues to be in the North East at £124,000. However, the East of England has replaced London as the region which showed the highest annual growth, with prices increasing by 14.3% in the year to June 2016. Growth in London remains high at 12.6%, followed by the South East with a 12.3% annual growth. The lowest annual growth was in the North East, where prices increased by 1.5% over the year. Richard Snook, senior economist, PwC, pointed out that the figures only capture one week of market activity after the vote to leave the EU on 23 June, so it is too early to draw any firm conclusions from this set of data. ‘Nevertheless, we expect that the vote to leave the EU will have a significant impact on the housing market. In our main scenario, average UK house property growth will decelerate to around 3% this year and around 1% in 2017,’ he said. ‘Cumulatively, our estimates suggest average UK house prices in 2018 could be 8% lower than if the UK had voted to stay in the EU,’ he added. According to John Goodall, chief executive officer of peer to peer platform Landbay, high demand drove the uplift in prices, with mortgage lending volumes jumping 16% in June alone. He pointed out that all eyes will be on next month’s figures, and early indications suggest house prices growth cooled slightly in July, but adding that any Brexit effect won’t be seen immediately. Increased house price growth in June could also have been due to the new stamp duty rate for buy to let purchasers, according to Andrew McPhillips, chief economist at Yorkshire Building Society. ‘This caused landlords to flood the market to beat the new rate,… Continue reading
UK asking prices slowed in August but no more than usual for the summer
The price of property coming onto the market in the UK in August fell by 1.2% but as the summer is often a quieter time it is not necessarily all due to Brexit, according to the latest asking price report. Indeed, the monthly decline is in line with the 1.2% average drop over the last six years at this seasonally subdued time of year and the Rightmove report points out that it is usual for sellers in the summer holiday season to price more cheaply. The monthly fall took the average asking price to £304,222 and prices are still up by 4.1% year in year, the data also shows. A breakdown of the figures shows that while first time buyers are paying 0.5% less month on month at an average of £188,237, it is the top end of the market that has seen asking prices fall the most, down 2.9% month on month to £538,755. The report also points out that larger homes are taking longest time to sell while the number of days to sell increased the most in London and South East in the last two months. It suggests that 2016 on course to be a year of two halves with activity skewed in the first half of year with the buy to let surge boosting property transactions to 12% higher than 2015 but the outcome of the second half of 2016 hangs on the strength of the traditional autumn market rebound How different the two halves will be depends on the strength of the traditional market rebound this autumn, especially at the upper end of the market and within the London commuter belt, which currently appear to be the most subdued, according to Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst. ‘Many prospective buyers take a summer break from home hunting, and those who come to market at this quieter time of year tend to price more aggressively. This summer is also affected by both Brexit uncertainty and the aftermath of the buy to let rush in March to beat the stamp duty deadline,’ he said. ‘The average fall in new seller asking prices at this time of year has been 1.2% over the last six years, so this month’s fall is exactly in line with the long term average. The largest price falls at this time of year were 2% and 1.3% in 2014 and 2010, with the smallest fall being 0.8% after the general election in 2015,’ he pointed out. Shipside explained that the sector that would benefit most from an autumn pick-up is made up of larger homes with four bedrooms or more. They are taking the longest time to sell, with an average of 74 days from being advertised on Rightmove to being marked as sold subject to contract by estate agents. This ‘top of the ladder’ sector is also suffering the largest drop in new seller asking prices this month, with a fall of 2.9%…. Continue reading
Home mover market in UK hits nine year high
The number of home movers in the UK increased by 9% in the first six months of 2016 compared with the same period in 2015, according to the latest research. Some 174,700 people moved up the housing ladder in the first half of the year even although rising house prices mean home movers need a higher level of deposit for their next property, the report from Lloyds Bank reveals. It means that the number of home movers has reached its highest level since 2008 when it was 179,800 over the same six month period. Since hitting a market low of 117,900 in the first half of 2009 the number of buyers moving along the housing ladder has grown by 48%. However, the report points out that the current number of home movers is still at around half the pre-crisis level of 327,600 recorded in the first half of 2007. Housing affordability for second steppers stood at 6.5 times gross annual average earnings in June 2016. On this measure, affordability has improved over the past five years from 7.3 in 2011. The research also shows that most regions of the UK have seen an improvement in Second Stepper affordability since 2011. The largest improvement was in Northern Ireland where this ratio has fallen from 6.2 in 2011 to 4.9 in 2016, followed by the North down from 7.2 to six and Scotland down from 6.6 to 5.6. In contrast, affordability has deteriorated in London from 9.7 to 10.9 and the South East from 8.7 to 9.4. Whilst a mortgage term of 25 years has been the norm for some time, many home movers are increasingly taking out mortgages where payments are spread over a longer period. In the first half of 2011 the proportion of home movers taking up a 25 to 35 year mortgage stood at an average of 9%. The research reveals that for the same period in 2016 this figure had doubled to almost one in five or 18%. Over the same period, the share of mortgages with a 20 to 25 year term dropped from 36% to 29%. Over the past five years, the average price paid by home movers has grown by 38% from £206,997 in 2011, to £261,550 in June 2016, an increase of £78,609, equivalent to a monthly increase of £1,310. In London the average home mover price has grown by 55% since June 2011 to £540,440, the largest increase in the UK. The capital is followed by the South East where home movers now pay on average, £382,324 an increase of 45% in the past five years. By contrast, the average home mover price in Northern Ireland has edged up over the same period by just 2% from £156,764 to £159,326. In the past year the average home mover price has grown by 9% or £24,056 to £285,606. The average deposit put down by a home mover has increased by 32% in the… Continue reading
