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Hong Kong residential sales fell by 8% month on month in July
The volume of residential sales in Hong Kong fell 8% month on month in July after three months of growth in a row, the latest figures from the Land Registry show. Overall property prices remained stable and this was due to sustainable end user demand, according to the analysis in the latest monthly report from international real estate firm Knight Frank. It explains that the new build market, which contributed to about one third of total residential transactions in Hong Kong, is where major developers generated good sales in their recently launched projects. For example, Park Yoho Venezia in Yuen Long has sold 95% of its 62 units in its third batch of sales in July and The Ascent in Cheung Sha Wan was oversubscribed seven times and sold over 94% of its first batch of 125 units in one day. There have been some transactions in the otherwise muted land market. In one notable sale, a domestic site in Pak Shek Kok, Tai Po was sold at an accommodation value of HK$3,932 per square foot, up 19.2% from two years ago when the adjacent site was sold. However, the report points out that despite the recent pickup in sales, the surge in upcoming supply is expected to suppress growth in home prices. According to the latest data from the Transport and Housing Bureau, 93,000 new homes are to be provided in the coming three to four years. ‘Developers are expected to continue offering deep discounts and competitive mortgage schemes to attract buyers in order to offload inventory before a possible US interest rate hike in the coming months,’ the report says. ‘We maintain our forecast of luxury home prices falling 5% to 10% this year and mass residential prices dropping up to 10% over the year,’ it adds. The report also says that the Grade A office market in Hong Kong remained subdued in July as many large financial institutions continued to downsize which had a negative effect on leasing demand. This means that medium sized firms are using it as an opportunity to take up space released by multinational corporations and Knight Frank expects this trend to continue. By the end of the year Knight Frank expects central office rents to increase but in decentralised areas, such as Kowloon East, there is likely to be rental pressure due to increasing upcoming supply. Continue reading
Housing associations organisation criticises lack of affordable homes in UK
More British landlords now rent to people on housing benefit with amounts increasing from £4.6 billion in 2006 to £9.3 billion last year, new research shows. According to the study from the National Housing Federation the reason are twofold. Firstly a 42% rise in the overall number of private renters receiving housing benefit since 2008 and secondly the fact that claims in the private rented sector (PRS) are much higher than in the non-profit housing association sector. The research says that it costs £21 a week more to house a family in a PRS home than in a social home at £110 overall in comparison to £89 and points out that over a year this is an additional £1,000 per family being spent at £5,705 in the PRS compared to £4,638 in the social rented sector. In London, the contrast is even starker with PRS payments at £64 per week more than to those in social homes, adding up to £3,300 more each year, according to the NHF which represents independent non-profit housing associations. It says that the lack of affordable housing available means that a wider group of people need housing benefit. Nearly half, 47%, of all families claim housing benefit in the PRS sector are in work, almost double the proportion it was six years ago at 26%. Housing benefit recipients renting privately now earned an average £4,000 more than on six years ago. The NHF believes that the increase in taxpayer’s money being spent on housing benefit would have been better allocated to building more affordable homes. ‘It is madness to spend £9 billion of taxpayers’ money lining the pockets of private landlords, rather than investing in affordable homes,’ said David Orr, NHF chief executive. ‘Housing associations want to build the homes nation needs. By loosening restrictions on existing funding, the Government can free up housing associations to build more affordable housing at better value to the taxpayer and directly address the housing crisis,’ he added. But the National Landlords Association (NLA) said it should not criticise PRS landlords and pointed out that the number letting homes to housing benefit recipients is now falling. ‘Housing benefit is not a subsidy to landlords; it’s a support for tenants to ensure they can pay for their housing. However, the proportion of landlords who let to tenants in receipt of housing benefit has halved over the last five years as benefit levels have not kept up with rents,’ said , Richard Lambert, NLA chief executive officer. ‘The private rented sector has grown as the market responds to the increasing demand for homes, particularly from a growing proportion of tenants whom the social sector and housing associations simply are not able to support in the current circumstances,’ he explained. ‘The private rented sector plays a significant role in providing much needed homes for tenants. What we should all be talking about is the failure of successive governments to adequately allocate its housing budget and to incentivise… Continue reading
UK farmland market sees muted activity post Brexit
Just over 123,000 acres were publicly marketed across Great Britain in the first seven months of 2016, which is comparable with the acreage marketed during the same period of last year. But the data from the latest UK farmland update report from real estate firm Savills suggests that uncertainty surrounding Brexit has created a lull in market activity. The data also shows that during the first half of 2016, the average value of farmland across Great Britain fell by just under 2%. The average downward trend continues to be led by arable values, which are more exposed to pressure from low commodity prices. In England activity was down by 6% but in Scotland, the opposite, a degree of referendum fatigue may have helped increase activity which was up by 8% while in Wales activity increased by 35% but the report points out that was coming from a much smaller base where a few farms can distort the figures either way. It also points out that the farmland market normally quietens in the summer so it is difficult to assess the ‘actual’ Brexit effect. ‘Most of the questions surrounding Brexit and its impact on the UK remain unanswered and will do for some time,’ said Ian Bailey, head of agricultural research. ‘But our analysis to date is beginning to suggest that the impact of changes to trade agreements could be far more significant than changes to the existing agricultural subsidy. The key issues determining prices achieved for farmland remain low commodity prices and location based demand,’ he explained. He also pointed out that in some areas there is evidence of a good number of larger farms coming to the market, especially across the southern half of England but in many areas there is an expectation that the second half of the year will be quieter than during the first six months. The Savills report predicts subdued activity overall with 2016 supply down around 8% in compared with 2015. It expects that the muted activity in England will continue to the end of the year and in Scotland there will be reduced supply in the second half of the year after an active first six months while supply is likely to be boosted in Wales. An analysis of farm transactions, where Savills acted for the buyer or seller, for the first half of the year indicates that there has not been any material change in the profile of buyers and sellers during the first half of this year compared with last year and the last analysis in February. ‘We expect this to continue into the second half of the year although, the opportunities offered by weak sterling, may increase the activity of overseas buyers,’ said Bailey. ‘Agriculture tends to do well in time of economic uncertainty. In addition, the weak pound creates opportunities for overseas buyers. Both of these factors, along with the anticipated reduced supply, may help support farmland values,’ he added. Continue reading
