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New report highlights lasting changes in UK home ownership
The recent economic downturn has had a lasting effect on the pattern of home ownership in the UK with more people now renting a home, new research shows. According to data in the latest economic review report from the Office of National Statistics the proportion of households who rent their home from a private landlord increased slowly from 6% to 11% in the 20 years between 1988 and 2008, before rising to 16% in 2014. By contrast, the proportion of households who own their own home increased gradually from 56% to 71% between 1981 and 2008, but fell back to 67% in 2014. This fall in home ownership, and the marked increase in private renting, have reversed a three decade long trend towards increased home ownership, and partly reflects constrained mortgage lending and the relative performance of house prices and household incomes during the recovery, the report says. It also points out that this combination of effects has also helped to reduce the fraction of households which own their own home with a mortgage which has fallen from a peak of 43% in 1991 to just 31% in 2014. While trends in aggregate home ownership have started to reverse in recent years, the impact on sub-groups of the population has been considerably larger. Not only has the number of people choosing to live at home with their parents increased markedly, but patterns of tenure among independent householders have also changed. The number of young people living in privately rented accommodation has risen markedly, both since the economic downturn and over the past four decades. In 1987, just 9% of those aged 26 to 30 were private renters but rising to 19%, 30% and 39% in 1997, 2007 and 2014 respectively. Almost one third of those aged 31 to 35 were private renters in 2014, and one in five of those aged 37 to 41 were renters, markedly higher than in 2007. Much of the recent rise in the incidence of private rentals is reflected in the sharp fall in home ownership and in particular in the lower fraction of mortgagors. The proportion of individuals of all ages living in mortgagor households increased between 1977 and 1987. Over the following two decades, the proportion of young people in mortgagor households fell, while the mortgagor proportion among those aged between 45 and retirement increased, likely reflecting the maturation of many of the younger householders who were part of the initial wave of house purchases. The difference between 2007 and 2014 is striking, the report says, pointing out that the prevalence of mortgagors is lower than in 2007 among every age group below 55, and the prevalence of mortgaged home ownership among age groups under 40 is lower than in 1977, before the Right to Buy was introduced. It indicates that the rise in the incidence of private rentals has been particularly marked among 21 to 25 year olds, increasing from less than 20%… Continue reading
Research reveals high number of sellers who end up paying inheritance tax
One in four properties sold in England and Wales in 2015 were above the inheritance tax limit and the number sold for more than £325,000 have doubled since 2009, new research shows. Proportions were even higher in some locations, for example, 94% of properties sold in East Central London were over the inheritance tax nil-rate band, says the research from Saga Investment Services. The research also found that just one in 10 individuals can correctly identify the IHT threshold for a single person, and a mere 4% for married couples and civil partners. Just 10% correctly said £325,000, some 21% thought it was higher and 19% said it was lower, while 50% didn’t know. The report points out that new ‘main residence’ allowance to be introduced in April 2017 will benefit home owners. Overall the number of properties sold at prices above the £325,000 starting point has doubled over the past six years from 13% of properties in 2009 to 24% in 2015, according to the study which analysed six years’ worth of property sales data published by the Land Registry. Despite the number of property sales in 2015 decreasing by 3.7% compared to 2014, sales exceeding £325,000 have soared by 11.4% over the same period. A breakdown of the figures show that after East Central London the next location with the highest number of property sales over the IHT threshold is West London with 90%, then South West London at 88%, the West End of London at 86% and North West London at 83%. But outside of central London, the proportion of properties sold above £325,000 has also been rising sharply. Some 28% of postcode areas have seen the number of property sales exceeding the IHT threshold double in the past six years, including Brighton, Bromley, Bristol, Cambridge, Colchester, Croydon, Durham, Northampton, Norwich, Portsmouth, Stevenage, Tweed, Uxbridge and Watford. For married couples and civil partners, any unused IHT allowance can be passed on to the surviving partner, meaning the total that can currently be handed over without a potential tax bill could be £650,000. Across England and Wales, the number of properties sold above this level has doubled since 2009, from 2.4% to 5.5%. There are 17 postcode areas in which one in every 10 properties sold in 2015 exceeded £650,000, compared to seven in 2009. In 2015 some 60% of all properties sold in the EC postcode area exceeded £650,000, up from 14% in 2009, while 56% of property sales in West End, 53% in West London and 44% of sales in South West London. The research also shows that just 4% of over 50s living in London correctly identified the IHT threshold for married couples and civil partners and 17% believed there was currently no maximum, while 20% thought the threshold was lower. On 06 April 2017 a new IHT allowance will be introduced for people passing on their main home to a direct descendant. This will rise each… Continue reading
Housing market cooling in Sydney and Melbourne, latest index data shows
House price growth in Australian capital cities moderated in March with market conditions slowing in Sydney and Melbourne, according to the latest index. The remaining capital cities recorded a range of outcomes from small value increases to moderate declines, the data from the CoreLogic RP index shows. Overall prices increased by 0.2% to take capital city home values 1.6% higher over the first quarter of 2016. The quarterly increase in home values was broad based across the nation’s capitals, with Perth seeing a fall of 0.9% and Brisbane a fall of 0.1%. They were the only two cities to record negative movements in dwelling values over the past three months. ‘The March quarter rise in capital city dwelling values is in stark contrast to the first quarter of 2015, when values increased by 3% which is almost double the current pace of quarterly growth,’ said CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless. ‘However, compared with the final quarter of 2015 when capital city dwelling values were down 1.4% the housing market has shown a modest rebound in growth which is well below the strong capital gains recorded over the first half of 2015,’ he explained. But he added that the annual pace of home value appreciation across Australia’s capital cities highlights the slowing growth trend and year on year growth across the capital cities has now reached its lowest point in 31 months, with values up by 6.4% over the past 12 months. Furthermore, no Australian capital city has recorded an annual growth rate in the double digits over the past year. Melbourne has seen the strongest annual growth, with values up by 9.8% over the past 12 months. ‘The housing market has been losing momentum since July last year, when capital city dwelling values were increasing at the annual rate of 11.1%,’ Lawless pointed out. Overall the median price across the capital cities is now $550,000, a rise of 0.2% month on month, up 1.6% quarter on quarter and 6.4% year on year. A breakdown of the data shows that the median price in Sydney is $730,000, up 1% month on month, 2% quarter on quarter and 7.4% year on year while in Melbourne it is $560,000, down 0.6% month on month, up 2.2% quarter on quarter and 9.8% year on year. In Brisbane the median price is $470,000, down 1.2% on a monthly basis, down 0.1% quarter on quarter but up 4.5% year on year while in Adelaide the median is $415,000 with a 0.5% monthly rise, 2.4% growth quarter on quarter and up 3.2% year on year. In Perth the market is actually recovering with a median price of $495,000 which is up 1.2% month on month but down 0.9% quarter on quarter and own 2% year on year with Darwin seeing a similar picture with a median price of $505,000 which is up 2.1% month on month and 2.4% quarter on quarter but down 1.8% year on year. In Hobart the… Continue reading
