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Property market activity soars in England and Wales in March due to stamp duty change
Property sales in England and Wales have seen their strongest March for nine years with transactions up 30%, some 80,000 home sales, the latest index data shows. House price growth also accelerated, up 6.9% year on year and 0.6% month on month, taking the average price to £291,650, the figures from the Your Move house price index also shows. It means that a typical home is now worth £18,745 more than a year ago. When London and the South East are left out of the calculation prices were up 5.1%, suggesting that the market is still strong outside these two growth areas. Indeed, the London market saw the fastest growth of any region as house prices rose 8.2% or £44,548 year on year. Bath and North East Somerset saw the largest March pick-up in property prices, climbing 5.3% or £18,603 month on month According to Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents, the impending stamp duty rise for additional properties that was introduced at the start of April helped March record the strongest homes sales for the month since 2007. ‘The surge was widespread across England and Wales. This goes beyond any normal seasonality, with second home and buy to let investors rushing to beat a bigger tax bill,’ he explained. Overall some 73% of local authorities in England and Wales experienced a monthly upswing in home values, the highest proportion of areas seeing positive property price rises since July 2014. ‘This will be welcome news for homeowners, who now have a fantastic opportunity in the current sellers’ market. The pervasive shortage of homes on the market is still driving up values, as buyers have to compete for each available property. If they are going to make it easier to get a foot on the property ladder, the Government will have to double down on its help to first time buyers, or let up on landlords,’ said Gill. He also pointed out that after a bit of a downturn over the winter months, the London property market is growing again with prices up 8.2% higher than a year ago. ‘The lift in London’s house prices seems steep. But we’re actually in a much calmer position than previous years, with the current rise still well below London’s record 20.6% year on year growth, established in July 2014,’ Gill said. He also pointed out that the growth in London property values means it is once again pulling away from the rest of the country, with London and the South East now dragging up national house price growth by 1.8%, double the rate seen at the end of 2015. ‘As a result, we’ve returned to a two speed housing market, as growth in the rest of the country is easily outpaced by London and the South East. But it’s not all about London, as house prices are still advancing in the Northern cities, with the average… Continue reading
Rents rising across most of the UK, latest rental index shows
Rents continue to rise in many parts of the UK with Greater London, the East Midlands and Scotland seeing the fastest rent rises in the first quarter of 2016. The figures from the latest HomeLet index also show that overall the average rent in the UK, excluding Greater London, is now £755 per month, some 4.9% higher than a year ago. It also shows that the average rent in London is not £1,536, up 7.7% year on year and the North West is the only area to see a quarterly decline. The figures are published as the private rental sector is anticipating the impact of tax changes and new regulations coming into force, and HomeLet said it has been the busiest ever month for landlord insurance. HomeLet’s research shows that rents continue to rise significantly ahead of inflation, with demand for property remaining strong. However, this comes ahead of reforms that are predicted to have a major impact within the sector, including a stamp duty increase for landlords buying new properties to let, new rules from regulators on buy to let lending and limiting tax relief on mortgage interest payments to the basic rate. HomeLet’s own data already shows evidence of landlords taking action ahead of the stamp duty changes. In March it saw a marked increase in enquiries from property investors, with 37% of insurance policies being purchased by landlords with new properties compared to just 24 per cent in the same period last year. This fits with recent data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders showing a spike in buy to let lending ahead of the stamp duty increase. London’s rental market, where the average rent on a new tenancy is now £1,536, continues to see rents rise more quickly than in other areas of the country. At 2.8 percentage points, the gap between rent rises on new tenancies in London and the rest of the UK, where rents average £755, was almost identical to last month at 2.9 percentage points. Just one area of the country, the North West of England, saw lower rents on new tenancies over the three months to March, with the HomeLet Rental Index recording a fall of 3.5% over the year. ‘We’ve continued to see increases in rents on new tenancies in almost every part of the UK during the first quarter, as the private rental market has responded to the pressures of an imbalance between demand and supply,’ said Martin Totty, Barbon Insurance Group’s chief executive officer. ‘However, external factors may now come into play: the stamp duty increase has already had an impact and that surge in the acquisition of property by landlords could now cause a short term increase in the supply of rental property in some areas of the country,’ he pointed out. ‘In the longer term, changes to rules around buy to let mortgage interest being offset against tax bills, coupled with the… Continue reading
Property asking prices in Ireland rebound at start of 2016
The residential property market in Ireland is set to rebound in 2016 as price momentum has already been growing in the first quarter of the year, according to the latest survey report. But Dublin is likely to lag behind the rest of the country according to the latest house price survey from MyHome.ie. The data shows that having declined towards the end of 2015, asking prices for newly listed properties for sale rose by 2.1% nationally and by 0.9% in Dublin in the first quarter of 2016, the first gain in Dublin since the first half of 2015 and follows two quarters where prices declined marginally. The report predicts Irish house price inflation will register another solid gain of close to 5% in 2016, with the rest of the country leading Dublin, due to affordability constraints in the capital. The mix adjusted asking price for new sales nationally is €220,000, an increase of €5,000 compared to the final quarter of 2015 while the corresponding figure for Dublin is €315,000, an increase of €2,600. The author of the report, Conall MacCoille, chief economist at Davy, said a key factor supporting house prices this year will be a tighter housing market and he pointed out that the stock of properties listed for sale on the MyHome website in the first quarter fell to a fresh low of 21,650, down 6% on the year. ‘Despite popular opinion, the immediate impact of the Central Bank lending rules was to make it easier to buy as sellers anticipated the slowdown in Dublin house prices and decided to bring their properties to the market in 2015,’ said MacCoille. ‘This won’t be repeated this year while housing supply in the capital is likely to pick up less sharply through the summer months. This is because the ambitious goals set under the last government’s Construction 2020 strategy are unlikely to be attained with no stable coalition yet formed for the new Dail. Overall, home building levels look set to remain depressed for some time and while this will support Irish house prices, it will hurt activity levels,’ he added. The report’s analysis of the Property Price Register indicates that Dublin and the commuter belt counties last year accounted for 75% of transactions that exceeded €220,000, the threshold below which lenders require a 10% deposit. Of the 48, 374 residential property market transactions recorded in 2015, just 35% or 16,893 exceeded €220,000. Of these Dublin accounted for 60% or 9,987. Put another way 59% of Dublin transactions exceeded the €220,000 threshold, whereas outside of the commuter counties just 17% of transactions, or 4,300, exceeded that mark. ‘The Central Bank mortgage lending rules have prevented households from reacting to the lack of housing supply by taking on ever more highly leveraged loans and bidding up house prices further. However our analysis shows this has been mainly a Dublin/commuter belt phenomenon where the lack of housing supply is most severe and affordability… Continue reading
