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Residential rental stock falls in UK
The supply of rental housing stock on letting agents’ books in the UK fell in March, to the lowest level since the start of last year, the latest data shows. Demand also dropped in March, according to the March private rental sector report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). ARLA agents had 33 prospective tenants registered per branch on average, down 11% from 37 in February. This stands below the figure recorded in March last year when agents registered 36 on average. Supply has also fallen year on year. In March 2015, the average number of properties managed per branch was 192, which is down 12 per cent this year with just 169 rental properties managed per branch, the lowest level since records began in January 2015. It’s a brighter picture in Scotland, where agents had on average 273 properties on their books, and Yorkshire and Humberside, where 207 properties were recorded on average per branch. In London however, agents had just 122 properties on their books per branch. In March 65% of ARLA agents predicted that current and prospective buy to let landlords will walk away from the market following the April stamp duty changes, causing a decrease in the supply of rental properties. Rent costs rose in March for 32% of tenants and 61% of ARLA members fear they will increase further as a result of the changes, a growing sentiment since last month when 57% of agents agreed on this. ‘We don’t expect falling supply to stop here. The recent stamp duty changes are very likely to cause supply to decrease even further, as landlords withdraw from the market,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘Not only do our agents predict that rent costs will increase further, but rental homes may also face a decline in quality over time, as landlords struggle to keep up with maintenance costs alongside the higher stamp duty charge,’ he explained. ‘Whilst landlords adjust to the increase in costs we can expect to see one of three outcomes prevailing in the buy to let market: landlords absorbing the cost and taking the hit; landlords withdrawing from the market causing supply to fall; or landlords regaining those costs through hiking rents. Next month we can start to assess the damage,’ he added. Continue reading
UK house prices increase almost five time more in areas with low unemployment
Houses prices in the UK have increased by an average of almost £90,000 in the past decade in areas with lowest unemployment rate, the latest research data shows. This is almost five times more than in those area with high unemployment and the 10 areas with largest drop in unemployment saw house prices increase by 76%, according to the research report from Lloyds Bank. It means that the gap in house prices between areas with the highest and lowest levels of unemployment has widened significantly over the past 10 years. Average house prices in the 20 local authorities with the lowest rate of unemployment have risen by £89,446 since 2006, nearly five times the rise for those with highest unemployment, which increased by just £18,657 over the same period. The average house price for those high unemployment areas is £139,520 which is £102,655 or 42% below the national average price of £242,175. By contrast, areas with the lowest unemployment rates have an average price of £352,224 to £110,049, some 45% higher than the national average. ‘Employment boosts consumer confidence, helps put more cash into customers’ pockets and makes it easier to secure a mortgage, all of which drives increased housing activity,’ said Lloyds Bank mortgage products director Andrew Mason. ‘Unfortunately, in areas where more people find themselves out of work, house prices can stall as people are financially less able to progress up the property ladder, reducing demand. There are, however, other factors which affect house prices such as lower mortgage rates, improved affordability and low housing supply which will have contributed to rising prices in the past decade,’ he added. The 10 areas which have seen the largest falls in unemployment since 2006 recorded an average price increase of £200,155 or 76% to £464,373. Nine of these local authorities are in London, with Haringey, Hackney, Southwark and Waltham Forest seeing average home values almost doubling in the past decade. Over the same period these 10 areas recorded an average decline in unemployment claimants of 2.4% from 4.7% to 2.3%, four times the national decline of 0.6% from 2.5% to 1.9%.This is in marked contrast to the 10 areas with the poorest unemployment performance where unemployment claimants increased by an average of 0.5% since 2006, with average house prices growing by only £24,587 or 18%. Seven of these 10 areas are in the North West. In the UK as a whole over the past 10 years, average house prices grew by 34% or £61,575, whilst the average unemployment rate was 3%. Excluding London, the average price growth for Great Britain fell to £47,920 or 29%. The Lloyds Bank report also reveals that: The 10 areas with the lowest unemployment rates show an average house price rise of £107,000 or 36% since 2006. The four areas with the lowest average unemployment rate of 1% over the decade, Hart, West Oxfordshire, Mole Valley and North Dorset, recorded house price gains of between 33% and 44%… Continue reading
Dubai becoming increasingly popular with British property investors
Dubai is proving to be increasingly popular among British property investors with figures from the land department showing they put £1.9 million into the emirate’s real estate market in 2015. This made them the second largest group of foreign investors behind Indians with UK investment almost doubling in three years. Apartments are the top buy for British buyers, followed by residential and commercial land and then villas with low interest rates, good rental yields and tax free returns on investments behind the rise in investment. According to Sultan Butti Bin Mejren, director general of the Dubai Land Department, the infrastructure in Dubai and the high return on investment makes property in the emirate attractive to buyers from overseas. British investors are looking for a good capital return on their investment, according to Sultan Al Suwaidi, a partner of Sumansa Exhibitions, the company running next month’s Dubai Property Show in London. ‘Dubai is a dynamic global investment hub and has always had attraction for international investors. The property market continues to mature and stabilise as a result of strategically implemented government regulations,’ he pointed out. ‘Returns for both small and large apartments in Dubai are delivering between 7% and 10% yield which is higher than Hong Kong, Singapore and London. Many British people investing in Dubai properties are seeking capital appreciation more than using them as primary or secondary homes,’ he explained. The areas where British investors are buying include Dubai Marina, Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Lake Towers and Downtown Dubai. According to figures from the property website Bayut affordable locations such as Dubai Sports City are also becoming more popular. Dubai’s zero taxation on rental income and capital gains is one of the biggest factors that appeal to British buyers and foreign investors in general are inclined to build their portfolios in Dubai to avoid the high taxes in their respective countries. It is also expected that the forthcoming Expo 2020 will boost Dubai’s real estate sector. Last year alone, Dubai attracted 12 million tourists and it is estimated that by 2020 the number of visitors will increase to 20 million, offering holiday rental opportunities for real estate investors. According to international real estate firm JLL, residential prices in Dubai increased by 56% in the last two years and rents by an average of 41% while data from Knight Frank shows that prices have recovered from the downturn and are now close to their peak levels of 2008. Yield returns reached 7.42% in Dubai’s mainstream market in July 2015. Property brokers in Dubai estimate that yields in the cheaper areas of the city such as Sports City are around 6% to 8%. Financing is usually arranged through local banks which will loan foreign buyers up to 50% of the purchase price depending upon their terms and conditions. The buying process is different to the UK. There are no conveyancing solicitors as the Dubai Land Department does the checks and it normally takes about a month to complete… Continue reading
