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Miami property market normalising after years of record growth

After eight years of record or near record residential sales, the Miami real estate market is normalising with steady growth, according to various prominent local market experts. The fast sales growth of Miami middle market properties, the continued high percentage of all cash buyers, preconstruction condo inventory in the rapidly-growing Downtown Miami area and South Florida’s overall population and job increases are boosting the market, they told the recent Real State of the Miami Market event. According to Anthony Graziano, senior managing director of Integra Realty Resources, 2013 and 2014 were extremely strong for the Miami market for fundamental reasons, including pent-up demand. ‘When we look at our numbers today, we are getting back to normal. It’s okay that our market is not growing 15 to 20% every year. In fact, it’s a good thing. I want to grow 5% a year because at some point our wage growth can’t keep up,’ he told the meeting. The event hears that single family homes priced between $200,000 and $600,000 saw a 5.8% year in year increase in April, with the sector representing 63% of total Miami single family home sales. Existing condos priced between $150,000 and $300,000 saw a 2.7% rise in sales in April, representing 39.2% of total existing Miami condo home sales in April 2016. The audience also heard that Miami offers bargain prices compared to other world class cities and the lack of available land are also key factors in today’s market. For example, a 120 square meter condo in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach cost $149,900 on average, according to the National Association of Realtors NAR. Prices for the same condo in London would be $960,840, in Hong Kong $776,280 and in New York $1.6 million. It was also pointed out that the lack of Miami-Dade County available land means the value of local single family homes will rise and more residents will purchase multifamily units. Most Miami preconstruction condo developers require a 50% cash deposit on new units, one of the highest in the United States and significantly higher than the 20% required during the last real estate cycle. However, the experts said that the large all-cash deposits are a strong sign home buyers are committed and invested in the Miami market. The majority of new construction is happening in Downtown Miami, and developers are being cautious not to overbuild. About 85% of condos under construction in Downtown Miami are sold, according to Integra Realty Resources and the Miami Downtown Development Authority. Downtown Miami has about 7,200 units under construction, a 61.2% smaller inventory than the 18,500 units under construction in 2006. ‘The reason downtown Miami is important is because it is what is leading Miami in the marketplace. It’s our urban core. Downtown is the poster child of what is happening in the market,’ said Graziano. While noting preconstruction sales have normalised compared to the previous record activity, Graziano believes developers are taking a break and doing site plans before announcing future… Continue reading

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Confidence among UK private sector landlords remains subdued

Confidence remains low among UK landlords as a result of recent government interventions in the buy to let market but buyers are slowly returning to the market, says a new survey. Overall, landlords report improved buying intentions, growth in tenant demand and yields and confidence is stable but remains at subdued levels, according to the research by BDRC Continental on behalf of Paragon Mortgages. Following an increase in the rate of stamp duty payable on buy to let purchases, and with a staged reduction in income tax relief available on rental income due start next year, landlord confidence remained low in the first quarter of 2016. Asked about expected business in the next three months, just 41% of landlords rated their prospects as being either ‘good’ or ‘very good’. This is down from 65% during the same period last year, prior to the government’s clampdown on buy to let. Indicating that falling levels of confidence may have stabilised however, the figure is just 2% down on the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this, the survey also saw landlords’ property purchase intentions edge above selling intentions, reversing the situation seen in the final quarter of 2015 when more landlords were looking to sell property than were looking to buy. Some 19% of landlords indicated that they intend to purchase a property in the coming year, up from 17% in the fourth quarter of 2015 while 16% of landlords indicated that they intend to sell a property, down from 19% in the previous quarter. Driving this trend was an increase in tenant demand, with 39% of landlords reporting demand as increasing either slightly or significantly, up from 34% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this increase, landlords reporting tenant demand as being stable declined from 40% to 36%. The research also shows that yields in the first quarter of2016 also grew slightly on the previous quarter, averaging 5.7%. Despite negativity persisting around business expectations over the short term, rental property as an asset class is still viewed favourably by landlords. Some 38% of landlords polled believe investing in the PRS to be ‘much better’ than other investment options such as stocks and shares. A further 33% believe investing in the PRS to be a ‘little better’ than other investments and just 10% believe an investment in the PRS is worse than other investments. ‘Increased stamp duty, as well as reduced levels of income tax relief for landlords due to come into force next April, have undoubtedly impacted landlord sentiment. Confidence by some measures is down by around a third when compared to the same period last year. That said, this data does suggest that confidence is stabilising,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘In the previous quarter we saw more landlords respond very negatively to the announcements on stamp duty and tax on rental income with more intending to sell rather than buy property, this trend is now reversed and purchase… Continue reading

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Families pay almost £44,000 extra for home in good primary school area

Families in the UK are having to pay a price premium of almost £44,000 to buy a property near the best performing primary schools, new research has found. Many parents want their offspring to get the best start in life and they are prepared to move home to make sure they are in the catchment area for those first crucial years at school. According to the research by online estate agents HouseSimple, the average premium paid is £43,773 to be in the catchment areas for the top 50 state funded primary schools across England that received the highest rating by Ofsted in its latest report. The research revealed that average property prices in streets that are close to these best schools are 18% higher than average property prices for the area postcode. Of the primary schools commanding the biggest premiums to live near to, more than half are in the South of England. The schools adding the biggest premium to local property prices are St Luke’s Primary School in Brighton and Hove and Crowland Primary School in Haringey, adding 45% or £151,121 and 44% or £193,816 respectively. But according to HouseSimple figures, there are some areas offering better value to live close to outstanding schools. Properties surrounding The Mayflower Primary School in Essex, Henry Cavendish Primary School in Lambeth and Highfields Primary School in Leicester have recently sold without buyers having to pay a hefty premium. ‘Many parents will go to great lengths to get their children a place at the best local state funded primary school. But there is a price to pay for the best free schooling,’ said the firm’s chief executive officer Alex Gosling. ‘Private education is out of reach for many families, which is why there is high demand for places at top rated state primary schools. But there aren’t enough places to go around, which has led property prices in the catchment areas of popular primary schools to rocket in recent years,’ he explained. ‘Attending an outstanding state school can offer an education as good as, if not better, than paying to go private, but with property prices close to the best state schools commanding average premiums of 18%, paying the price to live close by certainly doesn’t equate to a free education,’ he added. Continue reading

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