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New Zealand seeing increasing number of new homes being built

Building consents for new dwellings are at a higher level in New Zealand than last year, up 12% in April compared with the same month in 2015. In seasonally adjusted terms the number increased by 6.6% but growth has eased in recent months, according to the data from Statistics New Zealand. However, the annual total is still at an 11 year high although most of the growth has been in Auckland and nearby regions, while Canterbury has decreased. The apartments component has been virtually unchanged over the past year, following strong increases during the previous three years. Houses, town houses, and retirement village units have continued to increase. The data also shows that the seasonally adjusted value of residential building work in Auckland grew 13% in the first quarter of 2016 quarter compared with the final quarter of 2015. ‘Auckland residential construction topped $1 billion for the first time in the March 2016 quarter, with another half-billion of non-residential work. Every week this quarter about $120 million worth of building work was put in place in Auckland,’ said business indicators senior manager Neil Kelly. Building and Housing Minister Nick Smith said the country has seen the longest and strongest period of growth in residential construction in its history with four consecutive years of 10% plus growth nationally and 15% plus growth in Auckland. ‘This is important because supply is at the core of New Zealand’s challenges around affordable, social and emergency housing,’ he added. The value of residential and commercial building work for the year to April of $17.6 billion is an all-time high and 14% up on the previous year. The sector is on schedule for 85,000 new homes to be built across New Zealand in this term of Parliament, up from 60,000 last term and for an all-time record of 36,000 homes being built in Auckland, which would be the largest in any Parliamentary term. The figures show a dramatic growth in building activity in the regions. This building boom began in Christchurch in 2012, spread to Auckland in 2014 and is now flowing to centres such as Whangarei, up 53%, Palmerston North up 57%, Queenstown Lakes up 40%. Activity is also up by 26% in Tauranga and in Hamilton while Auckland has seen growth of 15% but Christchurch is down 9%. ‘We are going to need to maintain this strong growth in building activity to keep up with New Zealand’s population growth, which is the result of record numbers of Kiwis coming home,’ said Smith. ‘We intend to continue to roll out a consistent and considered plan to improve housing supply and affordability,’ he added. Continue reading

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Tax change boosts home sales in Scotland

Property tax change had boosted Scottish home sales with a rise in transactions of 11% year on year but prices are down 7.8% compared to 12 months ago, the latest index shows. The index report from estate agents Your Move suggests that prices are down due to a lack of higher value homes on the market with the average house price now £170,667. Prices have increased in Edinburgh and Clackmannanshire but have fallen in the majority of areas throughout Scotland. The index also shows that month on month prices are unchanged despite the new 3% surcharge on additional home sales. ‘After a year of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT), it’s now possible to see its impact across the Scottish housing market. By cutting the cost of purchasing cheaper homes, LBTT has led to an 11% increase in sales over the last year,’ said Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland. She pointed out that with 104,344 home sales in the last 12 months, the market has outdone the previous year’s 93,601 sales. ‘These figures confirm that lower purchase taxes for property can significantly boost activity in the housing market, while also making it more affordable for first time buyers to get a foot on the ladder,’ Campbell explained. Indeed, she believes that the Scottish Government should consider lifting the LBTT bands higher, if they want to build on the foundations of this policy, in order to support Scotland’s fragile property and construction sector. She also pointed out that the drop in property values was caused by a spike in high value home sales last year, before the LBTT was introduced, but today’s market hasn’t regained those losses yet. ‘The facts show that since the introduction of LBTT, growth in house prices has been subdued. The average property value in Scotland has only grown 1.74% in the last six months, compared to 3.19% for England and Wales over the same period,’ Campbell explained. ‘The tax has particularly hit homes at the top of the market, as these properties have become more expensive to buy after the introduction of LBTT. So while there has been an upswing in sales, it has come at a cost for some,’ she added. And she said that while sales in March were almost double those in February, sales in April are 66% down on the previous month. However, home sales for the first four months of the year are still well ahead on the same point in 2015, with 4,751 additional property purchases so far in 2016. However, when you look at the local picture, the negative effects of the new surcharge are more obvious, as average house prices have dropped in 20 of Scotland’s 32 local authority areas from the previous month. Moray has felt the worst of the tax hike in April, with property values in the area declining by 4.6% month on month. Edinburgh has seen house prices rise by… Continue reading

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Apartment rent growth slows in the United States

Apartment rent growth in the United States has slowed nationwide over the past year, with the higher end of the market most affected, new research shows. After growing at a blistering pace for much of 2015, apartment rents across the county are growing at a slower pace thus far in 2016, according to the data from real estate firm Zillow. Overall, apartment rents nationwide grew by 3.6% for the year ending in April 2016, almost 2% points slower than the 5.4% pace reported for the year ending in April 2015. And in 23 of the nation’s 35 largest housing markets, the slowdown in rent appreciation has been more acute in luxury ZIP codes area than metro-wide. In four additional markets of Washington D.C., Sacramento, Miami-Fort Lauderdale, and Kansas City broader apartment rent growth has accelerated from 2015, but it has accelerated less in luxury ZIP codes than in the metro as a whole. Aaron Terrazas, a senior economist at Zillow, said that substantial investment in new construction, particularly at the high end of the market, has contributed to some of this pattern, although in some areas weak labour markets may also be a contributing factor. The research also shows that in the Houston metro, essentially all ZIP codes where the median rent per square foot is above $1.10 have experienced a deceleration in apartment rents. In the New York metro, the natural cut off appears to be closer to $2.30 per square foot and in the San Francisco metro, it appears to be around $3.80. The exception is the Seattle metro, where higher apartment rent growth continues to accelerate in luxury ZIP codes, although the acceleration has perhaps not been as dramatic as lower priced ZIP codes. Terrazas explained that part of this is due to rapidly rising rents in neighbourhoods north of Seattle’s Lake Washington Ship Canal. Meanwhile, the latest national index produced by Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University shows that housing market as a whole is moving deeper into buy territory, suggesting that, on average, residential housing markets around the country are sound. The Beracha, Hardin & Johnson Buy versus Rent (BH&J) Index measures the relationship between purchasing property and building wealth through a build-up in equity compared renting a comparable property and investing in a portfolio of stocks and bonds. It says that in terms of wealth creation the US housing market, when considered as a whole, has swung marginally more in favour of home ownership over renting a comparable property and investing monthly rent savings in a portfolio of stocks and bonds. Overall, 16 of the 23 metropolitan markets investigated moved in the direction of buy territory. The metro areas of Boston, Chicago, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Detroit, Milwaukee, Minneapolis, New York, Philadelphia and St. Louis remain solidly in buy territory. ‘These cities should have room for price growth without much worry of overheating,’ said Eli Beracha, co-author of the index and assistant professor in the T&S Hollo School of… Continue reading

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