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Remortgage numbers in UK up in June, but value down
The number of remortgages taken out in the UK increased in June, but are down slightly in value month on month and year on year, the latest data shows. The value of remortgaging is now lower than the same time last year, the first month in 2016 where the value of remortgage lending has fallen year on year, according to the figures from LMS. It means that the average amount of equity withdrawn in June has fallen by 15% year on year and 13% month on month while total equity withdrawn is 14% lower than the same time last year. Overall there were 32,873 remortgage loans taken out in June, a rise of 6% from May when there were 30,900 loans and 1% higher than June last year, when there were 32,700 However, June was the first month in 2016 where the value of remortgage lending fell year-on-year, according to LMS and suggesting a drop in momentum. Each month of 2016 saw annual increases in the value of remortgage lending but June bucked the trend, falling from £5.3 billion in June 2015 to £5.1 billion, a drop of 3%. The average amount of equity withdrawn per customer from remortgaging is also lower than last year, down 15% in comparison to June last year when it stood at £34,505. The average amount of equity release has also decreased 13% month on month from £33,691 in May to £29,375 in June. Annually, the total amount of equity withdrawn has also fallen, by 7% from £1.04 billion in May to £966 million in June. This is 14% lower than the same time last year, when equity withdrawn from remortgaging hit £1.13 billion. There is some good news for remortgagors in terms of affordability pressures. In May 2016, average household income was £45,672, recovering slightly from a 10% fall between March and April. The rise in household incomes, and because rates remained stable, means annual repayments for remortgages have fallen from £8,694 to £8,390, nearly £300 less. The monthly rise in income has therefore driven the annual repayment as a percentage of income down from 19.3% in April to 18.4% in May. ‘We witnessed a strong start to the year with remortgage lending up year-on-year each month in 2016, when in a safer, surer climate, home owners had rushed to remortgage in a desire to lock into better rates before a possible rate rise. But activity in June has slowed with the value of remortgage lending down as indecision increased in the lead up to, and following, the referendum,’ said Andy Knee, chief executive of LMS. ‘While we’ll only begin to see the referendum result’s real impact from July’s figures onwards, it is very likely the small drop occurred as people took pause amid Brexit uncertainty before making any decisions. As the terms for Brexit are negotiated, there will be… Continue reading
Foreign buyers face new 15% extra property tax in certain parts of Vancouver
A new tax for foreign property buyers is being introduced in British Columbia in Canada in an attempt to cool escalating house prices. The 15% foreign buyer tax will come into effect on 02 August 2016 at a time when prices in the province’s capital city Vancouver are escalating. Indeed, the latest global cities index from international real estate firm Knight Frank shows that prices in the city have increased by 17.3% in the mainstream market and by 26.3% in the prime market in the year to March 2016. Policymakers have been looking at ways to cool price inflation in recent months and the new tax will relate to residential purchases in Metro Vancouver, an area that extends from Bowen Island to Maple Ridge/Langley Township. According to Knight Frank, in real terms the new tax will result in an extra $300,000 in property transfer tax based on a property bought for $2 million by a foreign citizen. This figure will rise to $1.5 million for a $10 million home. The latest government data shows foreign buyers, mainly from China, purchased more than $1 billion worth of property in British Colombia between 10 June 2016 and 14 July 2016 of which around 86% was located in the Lower Mainland. The foreign buyer tax will also apply to corporations that purchase residential real estate and the British Columbia Government has the power to examine the citizenship status of directors and the beneficiaries of corporate profits in deciding whether to add taxes. According to the Finance Minister, the resulting revenue from the new tax will be spent on housing affordability projects. However, Knight Frank points out that some loopholes exist and details as to how it will be policed remain unclear. For example, the tax itself relies on buyers self reporting their nationality and providing a social insurance number, backed up by new auditing procedures and penalties. However, as yet it is unclear whether a resident with citizenship could buy a property by proxy for a family member living abroad. ‘There is no doubt that the new law will cool sales volumes and prices as foreign buyers absorb the additional cost implications. It is worth noting that the planned legislation also allows the BC cabinet to alter the foreign tax rate by between 10% and 20% at a later date and expand it to outside the Lower Mainland,’ the firm explains. ‘The legislature was originally recalled to discuss the merits of a tax on vacant homes, whilst the legislation provides an enabling power for such a measure, it is unclear at this stage whether the Government will go ahead with such a move,’ it adds. Vancouver isn’t the only city where policy makers are trying to stem the flow of speculative capital into their local housing market. Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, Switzerland and Mexico have all taken steps either by imposing additional taxes or stamp duties, introducing a one off fee or restricting where or what type of property… Continue reading
Brexit could create opportunities for UK farm land market
The decision by the UK to leave the European Union has created uncertainty for farm land values but it could also create opportunities, according to new research. In the short term the effect could be muted, according to the initial analysis from real estate firm Savills. It says that a weak Pound creates export opportunities and if this continues into September there will be a significant increase in farm subsidies to British farmers in 2017. It also points out that a weak Pound creates a favourable buying environment for overseas investors and this, along with the potential of reduced supply due to uncertainty may help to support farmland values. However, according to Ian Bailey, head of rural research at Savills, in the event of a significant reduction in farm subsidies, and therefore incomes, the negative effect is likely to be greater on rents than land values. ‘The full impact of Brexit on all of the UK's property markets will be very dependent on the macroeconomic background and the evolution of the story over the next two to three years. We must stress it is early days and there are many unknowns,’ said Bailey. ‘Uncertainty has to be the key factor and this will principally be around those factors that have direct impact on farm incomes. It is likely that farmland market activity in the remainder of this year will be more subdued as potential sellers wait and see,’ he explained. The report is Savills’s first analysis of how the change might affect rural markets in the UK and this is likely to be updated on a regular basis over the following months as hard data, anecdotal news and forecasts evolve. ‘Uncertainty is the key factor and it is very likely that farmland market activity in the second half of this year will be more subdued as potential sellers wait and see. Our research shows just over 100,000 acres were publicly marketed across Great Britain in the first half of 2016, which was on a par with activity for the same period of 2015,’ Bailey said. ‘Historic trends suggest uncertainty creates a lull in market activity and this appears to be the case across England, where supply in the first half of this year, at 68,000 acres, was 10% lower than the same period last year,’ he pointed out. However, in Scotland and Wales the opposite pattern was recorded. ‘Anecdotal evidence suggests that, in Scotland at least, there has been a degree of referendum fatigue which has not hindered activity. In Wales the market is very small and a few farms can make a difference either way,’ Bailey added. Savills also suggests that the uncertainty will principally be around those factors that have direct impact on farm incomes. These will include the UK’s international trade relationships and the level of farm support that will replace the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Currently subsidy represents about 67% of the average UK farm income. However, farming subsidies under the… Continue reading
