Tag Archives: conservatives
Report highlights low number of first time buyers in UK housing market
First time buyer numbers in the UK remain 2.2 million behind where they should be given demographic trends despite significant government investment in home ownership, according to a new report. The report from the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLS) suggests that it means that current policy behind interventions in the housing market is missing the mark but they are likely to remain priorities for any new government that emerges in the post-Brexit political environment. The report finds that government investment in home ownership, including through the 15 different Own Your Own Home schemes currently on offer, is yet to have the desired upward effect on home ownership levels. Schemes including the Help to Buy ISA and the Starter Homes Scheme are designed to boost home ownership. They will also expand a demographic that has traditionally voted for the Conservative party, the report points out. At the 2015 General Election, 46% of outright owners and 39% of mortgaged home owners voted Conservative against 28% of private tenants and only 18% of social tenants, meaning homeowners remain a vital demographic for the Conservatives. This approach of extending support to help first timers get on the property ladder is partly being funded by the Conservatives’ second major intervention in the housing market, managing demand through the introduction of extra tax on buy to let and second home purchases. The report explains that the Exchequer is set to raise around £1.7 billion a year from these new taxes, although spending on home ownership far exceeds these costs and the latest UK Housing Review research from the Centre for Housing Policy estimates Government spending on home ownership in England through grants, guarantees and loans will total £40 billion over 2015 to 2021, equivalent to over £6.6 billion a year. But despite Government efforts to bolster home ownership, first time buyer numbers are still tracking lower than expected. The IMLA report finds that between 2007 and 2015 the number of first time buyers in the UK was some 2.2 million lower than past demographic trends suggested it should have been. The report also points out that so far some 90,000 new home sales have been made under the Help to Buy equity loan, NewBuy and FirstBuy schemes and a further 74,000 mortgages have been completed with the support of the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme but the government has failed to reverse the decline in home ownership. Indeed, between 2010 and 201, the latest year for which data is available, the number of owner occupied homes in the UK fell by 270,000. This decline may now be stalling as the latest English Housing Survey showed no change in owner occupation rates between 2013/2014 and 2014/2015, but there is yet to be any increase in home ownership levels. The IMLA’s analysis of data from the Building Societies Association (BSA) suggests more people worry about accessing a mortgage than affording one. In research conducted in March 2016… Continue reading
Central London prices set for growth of 18% over five years
House prices in central London set to rise 18% in next five years and rents by 19.5% as market moves forward after the UK’s general election, it is claimed. The latest analysis says that unprecedented uncertainty surrounding last month's election saw a stifling of house price growth across London, with the rate of house price growth at less than 4%, compared to the 9.6% increase seen in 2014. The emergence of the capital as a political scapegoat, with potential rent caps and a mansion tax being discussed, contributed to the sense that London households would bear the brunt of any tax changes, it points out. However both issues have now subsided, following the surprise majority win by the Conservatives, according to international real estate consultants Cluttons. Despite this, the damage done to domestic and international buyers' confidence was reflected in a sharp tailing off in demand during the first quarter of 2015, with both vendors withdrawing properties and buyers adopting a wait and see approach. ‘There is no doubt that the results of the general election have helped to re-inject confidence into the market that had receded early on this year,’ said Cluttons' international research and business development manager, Faisal Durrani. ‘The outlook for the London housing market has stabilised, while buyers and vendors have returned to the market following a conspicuous absence of activity. Our outlook for the rest of the year is for increased stability in the market and a return to a more normal state of activity,’ he added. The report also says that despite the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) contributing to a 16% year on year dip in home purchase loans in greater London to March 2015, affordability appears to be improving slightly, with the average loan size dipping to 3.86 times annual income in the first quarter of 2015. Risks still remain on the international front however. ‘International risks such as the threat of another Scottish referendum, a disorderly Greek exit from the European Union and a potential Brexit mean that the market has moved from a situation of having several unknown unknowns to being left with a handful of known unknowns. A Brexit remains the biggest threat as the impact on the economy is the biggest unknown at this stage,’ Durrani explained. Cluttons forecasts modest central London house price growth in 2015 of between 2% and 3%, before accelerating to nearly 5% in 2016 and stabilising at around 4% per annum between 2017 and 2019. Cluttons expect this level of growth to deliver cumulative capital value appreciation of almost 18% over the next five years. The prospects for the prime central London rental market are stable, with average growth of 4% per annum forecast for the next five years. Cluttons explains that affordability and the desire to purchase remain key challenges for the capital's rental market and while supply levels are rising, the strong rate of job creation in London will help in absorption rates. ‘The more subdued growth forecast… Continue reading
Research finds UK first time buyers support Help to Buy schemes
The housing policies from the Conservative Party seem to be most in-tune with the needs of first time buyers in the UK, particularly Help to Buy according to new research. In particular getting empty homes back in to the market has strong support but this was planned by the Liberal Democrats who are no longer in coalition with the Conservatives, says the Halifax Generation Rent report that provides ongoing insight into the attitudes and behaviour of young people towards home ownership. However, while five of the top nine policies were from the Conservative party, the top rated policy was put forward by the Liberal Democrats. The Liberal Democrat policy proposed increasing supply by giving greater powers to local authorities to tackle empty homes in the form of renovation and subsequent return of the property to the rental or sales markets. Increasing the supply of housing was the overall mandate given to the incoming Government by Generation Rent participants. All pledges to build more homes and to either reserve a proportion of these homes or offer them all to first time buyers were welcomed by the majority of respondents. Other popular policies included the Conservative proposals to launch a new Rent to Buy scheme and a new Right to Buy scheme. As a demand side policy the new Right to Buy scheme has received a mixed reception to date, but 54% of the young people surveyed in the Generation Rent Report thought it would be of benefit to getting more people on the housing ladder. ‘Housing was a major issue during the general election campaign and political parties of all hues acknowledged that more needs to be done to help first time buyers. However, this now needs to translate into concrete plans during the next Parliament,’ said Craig McKinlay, mortgages director at the Halifax. He pointed out that by taking the most beneficial cross party policy positions according to 20 to 45 year olds, the Generation Rent report has created the ‘ideal’ policy package. ‘Earlier this year the independent Commission on Housing identified that we need to deliver at least 2 million homes by 2025 to meet demand. Getting empty homes back on the market and tackling the shortfall in housebuilding needs to be a political priority and requires a long-term commitment if it’s to address the shortage of supply,’ he added. In the first two years of the Help to Buy Equity Loan Scheme to 31 March 2015 some 47,018 properties were bought with an equity loan. Taking this into account the report found 53% of 20 to 45 year olds think the current Help to Buy schemes have had a positive impact, compared with 8% who think it has had a negative effect, and 39% who don’t know or are undecided. As such , the Conservative party proposal to extend the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme for new build homes until at least 2020 was popular among first time buyers with 56% expressing… Continue reading
