Tag Archives: cities
Population growth is adding to hot property markets in Australian cities
A pick-up in population growth in Australia has added fuel to the already hot housing markets of Sydney and Melbourne, where house prices continue to surge, a new report suggests. Population growth is not only the key to Australia’s economic growth and output, but it also plays a central role in housing demand and price growth, according to the analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank. In Sydney population trends have been a lead indicator towards house price growth. Despite easing over the past 12 months, overseas migrants have underpinned Australia’s recent population growth, accounting for approximately 58% of population gains over the past five years. The importance of overseas migration has become more apparent over the past decade as Australia’s immigration policies have been geared to meet the needs of the Australian labour market, with temporary visa programmes, predominately working holiday and temporary 457 visas, accounting for over half of all overseas visas issued in recent years. The report also points out that subsequently, population growth over the past decade has been a reflection of a pick-up in temporary migration as opposed to permanent migration. While recent population statistics published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that population growth nationally has eased from its recent peak in 2009, to average 1.5% over the 12 months to September 2014, the report says that what is more of note is the rate of population growth by city. Indeed, despite remaining high by historical standards, population growth in the dominant resource capital cities of Brisbane and Perth has fallen sharply, particularly Perth were the annual rate fell from 3.6% to 2.5% in just 12 months in the year to June 2014. It also points out that the drop in population growth in Perth is now beginning to filter through to its property market, where over the six months to March 2015, house prices and sales volumes have dropped 2.6% and 2.8% respectively. On the other hand, population growth in Sydney and Melbourne increased over the 12 months to June 2014, supported by stronger economic prospects, underpinned by residential construction. The stronger economic environment within these cities led to an improvement in Net Interstate Migration, particularly to Melbourne and the state of Victoria, as people sought employment opportunities outside of their home state. The pick-up in population growth has been met with solid house price gains in these cities, where over the six months to March 2015, house prices in Sydney and Melbourne are up 8.2% and 2.8% respectively. Nationally, the recent easing of population growth can be partly attributed to the improving New Zealand economy. Australia has enjoyed strong population growth from New Zealand citizens for subclass 444 visa holders over the past five years as weak economic conditions in New Zealand provided the impetus to move to Australia. However over the past 12 months, the New Zealand economy has shown solid signs of improvement, with the unemployment rate now lower than Australia… Continue reading
UK regional cities house price growth outperforms central London, says latest index
House prices in larger regional cities in the UK have outperformed central London for the first time since 2005, the latest property index shows. Although central London recorded year on year house price growth of 3% in the first quarter of 2015 the capital’s most expensive boroughs are being eclipsed by growth in large regional cities, according to the UK Cities House Price Index from residential analysts Hometrack. Some 12 of the UK’s largest regional cities have registered higher price rises year on year than Central London including Glasgow with growth of 7.6%, Manchester 6.8% and Leeds 6.6%. Indeed, Kensington and Chelsea and Hammersmith and Fulham have seen price declines of 3.4% and 5.1% respectively amidst uncertainty due to the threat of mansion tax and affordability pressures in the run up to the general election. Newcastle, Sheffield, Manchester, Leeds and Glasgow registered the strongest pick up in house price growth in the first quarter of 2015 as households gain in confidence over the economic outlook and attracted by record low mortgage rates. Together these cities account for 30% of housing stock covered by the Hometrack index and this pick-up in growth is supporting the headline rate of house price growth which was 0.8% in the first three months of the year. Average house prices across the 20 cities included in the index registered growth of 3.8% in the first quarter compared to 3% over the same period in 2014. While the UK picture is polarised by a North/South reversal in house price growth, the London market is divided by its East/West compass points. The balance of house price growth across the index for London has shifted from high value markets driven by international capital to the lower value markets favoured by owner occupiers. Newham, Barking and Dagenham, Greenwich, and Croydon registered 14.2%, 12.5%, 12.4%, and 12.1% growth respectively in the last quarter compared to the same period 12 months ago. The index report says that these boroughs are sustaining the capital’s growth, despite house prices in the affluent central London areas falling. The report also suggests that areas of London that are still undergoing regeneration or are benefiting from new investment have proved popular with owner occupiers priced out of the boroughs favoured by international buyers and investors. The highest year on year growth rate was recorded in Newham and Barking and Dagenham, where average house prices are £275,000 and £215,000 respectively, and track 33% and 50% below the London average of £417,000. ‘House price growth is holding up better than expected as a result of a lack of new supply of homes for sale and record low mortgage rates attracting buyers into the market,’ said Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack. ‘Growth in London is still running in double digits and high capital growth rates in recent years have pushed down average loan to values in London, creating further capacity for additional borrowing for households that can pass tighter affordability… Continue reading
New UK housing zones widely welcomed
Twenty areas across the UK have been selected as the country’s first Housing Zones amid a pledge to build hundreds of thousands of new homes in the next five years, including more affordable properties. In the annual Budget Statement it was also announced that in London there will be nine new housing generation areas with the aim of building 28,000 new homes on brown field and public sector land. A London Land Commission will be created and tasked with identifying the best places to build and there will be strong incentives to dispose of public land for housing use. The government also announced that it wants communities to have a strong say over how their local area is developed. It confirmed it will support locally led plans for two more Garden Communities at Basingstoke and North Northants. The British Property Federation, an early supporter of housing zones, welcomed the plans. ‘Spending cuts have meant that support for brown field development all but disappeared during the recession. Housing Zones are welcome recognition that we can deliver significant amounts of desperately needed housing on brown field land, but that this will often need both central government support and clarity of purpose at local level,’ said chief executive Melanie Leech. Any building that takes place on brown field sites, rather than in open countryside must be welcome, according to Edward Heaton of Heaton and Partners property search agency who pointed out that around the UK and even in London it is surprising how many potential sites remain unlocked because of planning policy. But he pointed out that extra funding for new homes will not completely solve the housing crisis. Alison Platt, chief executive of Countrywide, one of the largest property services group in the UK, wants the government to go further. ‘Our analysis shows that there is land for 500,000 homes within walking distance of the train stations in the greenbelt around our cities. We ask the government to review the greenbelt with a vision to freeing up appropriate land for development,’ she said. ‘Last week we put forward 10 proposals to make the property market work better. We believe there is not yet enough clarity in the debate to impact policy and see structural shifts in both the residential and commercial property markets. We want to encourage debate around these proposals and any other solutions to our property market troubles, to get to a position where real positive change is possible,’ she added. According to Rick de Blaby, chief executive of London developer United House Developments, said that cutting the red tape strangling London development is key to this announcement. ‘The Chancellor and the Mayor need to ensure that the delivery of public sector land and brownfield sites to developers is backed by an efficient, lean machine to free up this land to avoid the delays currently snarling up the system,’ he explained. Nicholas Leeming, chairman of national estate agents,… Continue reading
