Tag Archives: cities
Residential rents flat in Australian capital cities over last 12 months
Residential rents in Australian capital cities were flat in 2015 and growth is now at its lowest level on record according to the latest rental index. Rents increased by 0.2% in January 2016. The only capital cities to see a rise in rents over the month were Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra, elsewhere rents dropped, the CoreLogic rental index shows. Currently the median rent rate is recorded at $443 across the capital cities with a combination of factors affecting the market. ‘Among these is a higher level or rental stock resulting in greater options for renters, a slowdown in population growth, higher than normal investment activity and stagnant wage growth,’ said the firm’s research analyst Cameron Kusher. ‘More rental stock at a time when demand is easing due to slowing population growth, and little wage growth for renters, has resulted in flat rental growth conditions over the past year,’ he explained. ‘For renters there is a lot more accommodation options in the market while simultaneously, landlords are now required to respond to a more competitive environment which, in many cases means keeping rents steady or in some areas reducing rents in order to keep a tenant,’ he added. He also pointed out that CoreLogic has tracked annual rental changes since 1996 and over that time, rental growth conditions have never been weaker. At the same time last year rental rates had increased by 1.7% highlighting that the slowdown in rental conditions has been sharp over the year. A breakdown of the figures shows that rents increased in the last year by 1.4% in Sydney, by 2.1% in Melbourne, by 0.1% in Hobart and by 1.8% in Canberra. They fell by 0.7% in Brisbane, by 0.4% in Adelaide, by 8.6% in Perth and by 13.4% in Darwin. Across every capital city except Canberra the rate of annual rental growth or decline is currently lower than it was a year ago indicating that the weaker rental market conditions are prevalent across most capital cities. Weekly rents across the combined capital city measure increased 0.2% over the month of January however they were unchanged over the past 12 months and currently, combined capital city rental rates are $487per week for houses and $465 per week for units. ‘It is possible that over the coming months, rental rates could begin to fall on an annual basis due to additional new rental supply entering the market,’ added Kusher. Continue reading
Home values in Australian capital cities flat, latest index data shows
Residential property values were flat in capital cities in Australia last month with Sydney, Canberra and Adelaide seeing price falls. The downturn in these cities were offset by values rising across the remaining five capital cities, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data home value index. The Sydney housing market was the main drag on the December results, with dwelling values down 1.2%, while values were down 1.5% in Adelaide and 1.1% in Canberra. The remaining capitals saw a rise in dwelling values, led by a 2.3% rise in Perth values and a 1% rise in Melbourne over the month. After dwelling values had been broadly rising since June 2012, the December quarter results revealed a 1.4% fall in dwelling values across the combined capitals, the largest quarter on quarter fall since December 2011. Six of the eight capital cities recorded a negative result over the December quarter, with weaker conditions in Sydney and Melbourne acting as the greatest drag on capital city performance, according to CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless. The largest quarterly fall was recorded in Sydney, where dwelling values were down 2.3% over the final three months of the year, followed by Melbourne, where dwelling values were 1.9% lower. The only capital cities to show a rise in dwelling values over the December quarter were Brisbane with growth of 1.3% and Adelaide up 0.6%. This was in contrast to the first three quarters of 2015, where capital city dwelling values rose by 9.3%, largely driven by a 14.1% surge in Sydney values and a 13.3% increase in Melbourne. In stark contrast, the final quarter of 2015 showed Sydney as the weakest performer of any capital city, with dwelling values down by 2.3% while Melbourne recorded the second weakest result with a fall of 1.9%. The complete 2015 calendar year results reveal a 7.8% increase in capital city dwelling values which is the lowest rate of capital gain over a calendar year since 2012 when values slipped 0.4% lower over the full year. Highlighting the diversity in the capital city housing markets, dwelling values fell across four of the eight capitals in the 2015 calendar year. The largest of these falls were recorded in Perth, down by 3.7%, and Darwin down by 3.6%. Hobart and Adelaide also showed subtle falls of 0.7% and 0.1%. Despite the recent weakening of housing market conditions in Sydney and Melbourne, the two largest capital city housing markets still recorded much stronger annual gains than all other capital cities, 11.5% in Sydney and 11.2% in Melbourne. Dwelling values in Brisbane and Canberra were up a more sustainable 4.1% over the year. ‘The wealth created from housing in Sydney and Melbourne has been exceptional over the past 12 months. In dollar terms, Sydney home owners have seen approximately $82,000 added to their wealth thanks to the strong capital gains over the year while home owners in Melbourne have seen the value of… Continue reading
UK commercial real estate performance set to be more polarised in 2016
After a strong 2015 experts expect the performance across different parts of the UK’s commercial real estate sectors to be more polarised over the next 12 months. According to the latest analysis from Schroders it has been another good year for UK commercial real estate and unleveraged total returns are likely to be close to 15%. One of the keys to success in 2015 was rental recovery. The report explains that whilst one of the drivers was a continued favourable fall in real estate yields, the key difference to 2014 was a broad based recovery in rental values. While central London offices have led the upswing, several other cities including Brighton, Bristol, Cambridge, Manchester, Leeds and Oxford have also seen a significant increase in office rents. Likewise, industrial rents rose in many locations, boosted by growing demand from on-line retailers and parcel couriers. In contrast however, the retail sector is still adjusting to a world of multi-channel sales, the report adds. While there are pockets of rental growth in London and some tourist destinations, most centres have a significant amount of vacancy and rents were either flat, or fell slightly in 2015. The outlook for 2016 is already categorised by some commentators asking whether we are now at the top of the cycle. Schroders' head of real estate, Duncan Owen, explained that the income from commercial real estate has historically been very stable, but capital values have been cyclical. However, capital values have risen by 25% in less than three years and there is sentiment that cannot continue. ‘This sentiment is understandable, but not necessarily rational. The immediate trigger for previous downturns has been a recession, which has depressed rents and pushed up real estate yields as investors have withdrawn from the market and liquidity has dropped,’ said Owen. ‘In addition, commercial real estate has had a habit of contributing to its own downfall, either through excessive borrowing which inflated prices such as from 2005 to 2007, or because of a boom in development which left an oversupply of space, for example from 1988 to 1990, and falls in rents,’ he added. He believes that none of the usual suspects appear to yet be evident currently. ‘Looking at the economy, the outlook is positive and the consensus is that UK GDP will grow by 2.25 to 2.5% through 2016 to 2017. The main reason for being optimistic is that the UK is finally seeing a recovery in productivity, which should support a steady increase in real disposable incomes and consumer spending. Furthermore, exporters stand to gain from faster growth in the rest of the European Union, which accounts for 45% of total exports,’ Owen pointed out. His analysis also points out that there are few signs of excess borrowing. ‘In general, banks and other lenders have continued to take a disciplined approach to commercial real estate and although total loan originations in 2015 are likely to be around £50 billion, they are still… Continue reading
