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UK landlords can choose from record number of buy to let mortgages

Record number of buy to let mortgages are now available in the UK with landlords able to choose from 817 different products, up 16% quarter on quarter, the latest index shows. Lower LTV fixed rate mortgages are now cheaper than equivalent tracker products, even before rates rise, according to the latest Buy to Let Mortgage Costs Index from Mortgages for Business. Mortgage charges have fallen further for lower LTVs while landlords at higher LTVs pay extra fees. However, the cheapest mortgage rates and lowest fees have been reserved for low loan to value ratios. ‘This unprecedented pick up reflects the huge increase in demand as well as the wider importance of the buy to let industry,’ said David Whittaker, managing director at Mortgages for Business. ‘Looking at total lending in 2014 the trend is clear. For a second consecutive year the value of the buy to let market grew by almost a quarter. We anticipate further growth in 2015 but at a slower rate as the market takes an inevitable breather after such a huge sustained spurt,’ he added. The research suggests that fixed rate mortgages are proving to be better value than their respective tracker counterparts, particularly for lower loan to value borrowers. Low LTV mortgages now outperform their tracker equivalents at two, three and five year periods. Likewise, at medium LTVs, the costs for a two year fixed rate is 4.4% compared with 4.7% for the tracker equivalent, while for three year products the costs are the same and only 0.3% higher than the tracker products for five years. Even for fixed rate high LTV mortgages, the current cost of borrowing is only marginally higher than tracker products. To fix for five years at a high LTV is just 0.4% more than the corresponding tracker. Only one in a hundred landlords now opts for a one year initial mortgage term. More widely, the popularity of short term mortgages continues to wane as 52% opted for a two year deal, down from 57% six months ago despite the very attractive two year rates on offer. By contrast longer term mortgages are growing in popularity, with the proportion choosing five year mortgages rising from 15% in the second quarter to 18% in the fourth quarter. ‘It’s astounding that fixed rate mortgages are already better value than their respective tracker counterparts. Again the real advantage is for the ‘safest’ landlords with the lowest LTV loans. But even though tracker products are a little bit cheaper at higher LTVs, in these cases too it soon won’t be enough to compensate for the likely increase in cost of trackers when rates inevitably rise,’ said Whittaker. ‘If customers are paying only a few percentage points above the negligible Bank base rate, then if this jumps it could mean a huge proportional increase in future costs. Capital markets are still reeling from tumbling inflation and a dovish outlook from the Bank of England that no one would have predicted… Continue reading

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US and Chinese set to dominate London commercial property market in 2015

Chinese and US money is set to dominate London’s commercial property market in 2015 after Chinese investors accounted for more inward investment in 2014 than all European buyers collectively. Of the £21 billion spent in the London market, some £14.6 billion or 70% was attributed to foreign buyers. US investors spent £3.4 billion, Chinese £2.2 billion and Qatari investors £1.2 billion, according to a new analysis from international real estate advisor Savills. China Life was one of the biggest new entrants of the year with its deal at 10 Upper Bank Street. Chinese investors were the biggest buyer group from Asia, with developers such as Shanghai Greenland, Ping An Trust and China Overseas Land Investment purchasing properties. The Savills report also shows that these investors are not limited to single transactions, and anticipate more activity. US investors including Blackstone, Kennedy Wilson and Hines have secured some of the larger deals such as Alban Gate, 111 Buckingham Palace Road and 25 Cabot Square, with Northstar entering the UK for the first time purchasing a property in Woking before going on to purchase a 1.1 billion euro portfolio which included four assets in London. Other new entrants, who Savills is acting for, include parties from Taiwan, Turkey, Singapore, Israel and Yemen. ‘Debt is a significant factor in drawing in these international parties, falling swap rates and competition between lenders is making borrowing cheaper,’ said Rasheed Hassan, director of cross border investment at Savills. ‘Aside from that there is genuine confidence in the strength of the occupational market with rents steadily rising. These pull factors are further boosted by push factors such as the returns in the bond markets as compared to property and some economic instability across other geographies,’ he added. According to Eric Zhao, Savills Chinese Capital Markets Specialist, Chinese investors coming into the UK market are mainly developers and insurance companies. ‘The top Chinese developers are being driven by challenges in the domestic market and global branding needs,’ he said. ‘Insurance companies are beginning to diversify their huge capital outside of China after the restriction on overseas investment was lifted by the regulator. We have already seen the top Chinese firms make a statement in London and we are expecting more to follow,’ he added. The report reveals a rise in private investors entering the London markets and points out that appetite from these parties has not been restricted to smaller lot sizes, with the Savills sale of The Gherkin to the Safra family, as the most significant larger private investor transaction as well as others from China, Spain and Hong Kong. ‘Whilst further in-flight of capital will keep turnover levels high, very few of the international institutional type investors have demonstrated a willingness to go to the initial yield levels that have been seen on the UK prime assets,’ said Stephen Down, Savills head of Central London . ‘Whether they will go to these levels depends on further rental growth coming through… Continue reading

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International demand for prime central London property remains strong

While much has been written about the UK 2015 general election causing uncertainty in the central London prime property market, international demand remains strong, it is claimed. Independent property buying agency Black Brick says it has completed on a dozen separate transactions for investment clients in recent weeks, all with budgets below £2 million and in the past month it has also signed new clients from Brazil, Egypt, and Qatar with budgets from £2 million to £4 million. ‘We continue to see interest from a range of buyers, including both investors and owner occupiers. Other developments of note include a significant rise in Russian interest across both the rental and sales markets in recent weeks,’ said Camilla Dell, Black Brick managing partner. ‘The return of the Russians comes despite the collapse of the rouble against the pound. And while the sharp drop in the price of oil clearly has its own implications for net wealth in the Middle East, West Africa and Russia, the strength of the dollar does at least offer some compensation for potential buyers of prime central London property with US dollar assets,’ she explained. She also pointed out that Sterling's 9% drop against the so called 'greenback' and a fall of similar magnitude against the Chinese yuan since the middle of the year is giving buyers in these increasingly significant asset pools a welcome currency discount. ‘We expect Chinese buyers in particular to dominate the high end of the prime property market in central London in 2015. We also expect political concerns to continue to be a driver of overseas demand in 2015 and beyond,’ she added. However, for the domestic market, 2015 is likely to be a year of two very clearly defined halves split by the general election. ‘Should the Conservative party win the May 2015 election, we expect an extremely active London property market and the opportunity to drive a hard bargain with vendors will be significantly reduced if not lost all together. We believe the period between now and the general election may prove an attractive entry point to this property sector over the long term,’ said Dell. She does not expect a Labour victory to have a dramatic impact on London house prices, though some short term weakness in prices is likely. Hot spots for 2015 include Marylebone with its mix of high quality independent retailers and restaurants. Dell said that Marylebone has one of the best high streets in London and is conveniently located with elegant period housing stock and new developments. For investors the firm is tipping Maida Vale as one of the best areas in London to focus on in 2015. Overlooked by buyers in favour of neighbouring St John's Wood, Maida Vale looks extremely good value compared to its more expensive neighbours, according to Dell. She also pointed out that prices are still well below £1,500 per square foot and this is rare for an area with such excellent shops and transport links to central… Continue reading

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