Tag Archives: chinese
Prime central London property rental values fall for first time since Feb 2014
Rental values in prime central London fell in July as stock levels held up while demand from the financial services sector became more subdued against a jittery global economic backdrop. The fall of 0.1% was the first decline since February 2014 and meant annual growth slowed to 2.9%, having peaked at 4.2% in May while prime gross yields were flat at 2.95%, according to prime central London index from Knight Frank. It explains that stock levels have been buoyed to some extent by a restrained sales market, where an increase in stamp duty for properties worth more than about £1.1 million has dampened activity and price growth. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, as annual price growth has slowed to 2%, more property owners have opted to become landlords as they wait for the market to digest a succession of recent tax changes. He explained that this short term supply/demand imbalance means two things. First, tenants are shopping around more and securing deals has become more difficult for landlords, even after initial agreements are in place. Second, landlords have made it more attractive for tenants to remain in place, prompting higher renewal rates. ‘While seasonal demand from students has remained strong, corporate demand has become more muted despite some pockets of stronger performance,’ he said. The report points out that demand in the prime central London lettings market has traditionally been strong from the financial services sector but optimism among bankers fell sharply in the second quarter of 2015, according to a CBI/PWC survey. ‘Continued regulatory uncertainty means banks are scaling back spending plans and nervousness surrounds a possible UK exit from the European Union, the recent Greek crisis and Chinese stock market volatility,’ Bill said. ‘However, there are longer terms grounds for economic confidence, and the UK’s recovery was underlined by strong GDP figures in July. Furthermore, in an attempt to increase the appeal of London, Chancellor George Osborne plans to reduce the bank levy,’ he explained. ‘Meanwhile, Brevan Howard, one of world’s largest hedge funds, is reportedly moving senior traders back from Geneva to London, underlining the city’s dominance as a global financial centre,’ he added. Continue reading
Hong Kong residential property prices reached record high in May
Residential property prices in Hong Kong reached a record high in May, increasing more than 20% compared with the same month last year. The growth in values continues despite the government’s series of property market cooling measures. The transaction volume of new homes reached over 8,700 for the first half of 2015, the data from the Rating and Valuation Department shows. According to an analysis by international real estate firm Knight Frank it is a result of strong housing demand, ample liquidity partly attributable to the previous rally in the Mainland and Hong Kong stock markets and the continual return of wealthy Mainland investors to the city’s residential sector. Amid positive market sentiment, property developers have been actively acquiring residential sites this year, in line with the government’s target to boost housing supply. In early July, a large residential site in So Kwun Wat in Tuen Mun, estimated to require an investment of up to HK$8 billion, was sold for HK$3.82202 billion, representing the second highest ever accommodation value in the area. During the third quarter of this year the Hong Kong government will release three residential sites for sale. It has indicated that additional land may be launched by the end of September, depending on the market situation and progress of preparatory work. ‘The annual private housing supply target of 19,000 flats is considered achievable this year. Despite the rising supply, we expect home prices to continue rising this year, as it will take time for the new sites to be developed into flats,’ the Knight Frank report concludes. Meanwhile in Greater China the Grade-A office market remained active in June, driven by continual expansion demand from Chinese financial institutions, most notably fund and asset management companies. Knight Frank believes that Grade-A office rents in Central will continue rising steadily in the second half of 2015. Last month, with rents in prime retail districts softening, mid-range retailers gained opportunities to enter high profile streets at lower rents. Retail sales are not expected to recover in the near term. Knight Frank says that prime retail rents will continue to come under downward pressure for the remainder of the year. Continue reading
US sees fall in overseas buyers due to stronger dollar, analysis suggests
Fewer overseas buyers are purchasing property in the United States with currency exchange playing its part in the drop off, a new analysis report suggests. In general home sales during the first four months of 2015 have been the best in eight years with year on year growth of 9% helped by a drop in fixed mortgage rates of almost 0.5%. But the National Association of Realtors reports that the number of international buyers dropped to 2% during the first four months of 2015 from 2.5% a year earlier, a 19% decline. About three fourths of real estate agents who work with international clients report that changes in foreign exchange rates have a moderate to very significant effect on foreign buying. Indeed, the US dollar has strengthened against currencies used by many foreigners who buy homes in the country. For example, from the beginning of 2014 o April 2015, the US dollar appreciated 10% relative to the UK pound, 13% relative to the Canadian dollar and 26% relative to the euro. Notable exceptions to these large swings in foreign exchange values were the Chinese yuan and Hong Kong dollar, which have closely tracked the value of the US dollar. A new analysis report from real estate firm CoreLogic points out that a stronger US dollar makes property more expensive for foreign buyers whose currencies have weakened. Consequently, purchases by foreign buyers have dropped, especially for those whose currency was most affected by the foreign exchange swing. Between the first four months of 2014 and the same four months of 2015, the number of homes sold to foreign buyers drastically declined. Foreign purchases were down between one quarter to one third during this period for buyers whose currencies depreciated significantly relative to the US dollar, even though domestic purchases rose. ‘In addition to the shock caused by the stronger US dollar, the markets where foreigners tend to buy have had strong home price appreciation in the last few years. For example, many Canadians, Europeans and South Americans prefer to buy along the Southeast coast of the US for the beaches, cultural amenities, warm winter temperatures and accessibility,’ the report says. Canadians made roughly two thirds of their US home purchases during the first four months of both 2014 and 2015 in Florida. Of these purchases in 2015, nearly a half were located in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Palm Beach area where home prices rose about 8% from April 2014 to April 2015. ‘Couple that with the effect of a stronger US currency, and the average Canadian considering a home purchase in south Florida saw a jump in purchase cost of 20% to 25% in the past year,’ it explains. The report suggests that foreign buying could continue to decline, level off or increase in 2016 depending on the value of the US dollar relative to most foreign currencies, but the uncertainties surrounding how the Eurozone will resolve the debt crisis in Greece has made it… Continue reading
