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Largest monthly rise for England and Wales house prices for a year

Property prices in England and Wales increased by 4.6% in July year on year, taking the average property value to £183,861, according to the latest data from the Land Registry. Month on month they increased by 1.7% with the East of England seeing the largest monthly rise of 2.8% and the biggest annual price increase with a rise of 8.9%, the data also shows. The North East saw the lowest annual price increase of 0.4% and Wales saw the only monthly price decrease with a fall of 0.3%. But transactions are down. The number of completed house sales in England and Wales decreased by 15% to 65,619 compared with 77,488 in May 2014. From February 2014 to May 2014 there was an average of 70,029 sales per month. In the same months a year later, the figure was 61,283. The Land Registry figures also shows that the number of properties sold in England and Wales for over £1 million decreased by 21% to 878 from 1,113 a year earlier. John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank, pointed out that it is the biggest monthly rise in house prices for a year and he believes it is driven by positive sentiment continuing after the general election and also by the lack of houses on the market for sale. ‘The simple fact that demand exceeds supply will continue to push house prices upwards and as long as that is the case, it’s hard to see prices moderating. The mortgage market remains supportive, and low rates aren’t going anywhere,’ he explained. ‘If economic turbulence from China pushes back a base rate rise until late 2016, as it appears to be doing, we may well see even more people capitalise on low mortgage rates to take their first step on the ladder,’ he added. Adrian Gill, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains estate agents, pointed out that there is still a considerable gulf between the rates of growth in the East, South East and London and other regions, but this hasn’t knocked confidence nationwide. What happens in London is being affected by outside factors, according to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘As the first port of call for international investors and prime property purchases, the housing market in London is more exposed to regulatory and stock market turbulence than the rest of the country,’ he said. ‘We’re still experiencing tremors from the new Stamp Duty banding, and as demand for million pound homes has eased, the harsher taxes at the top end may continue to rock the boat in London for the coming months. But this all needs to be kept in perspective. London is still achieving significantly above average house price growth, and retains its position at the top table,’ he explained. ‘In addition, the Chinese stock market slump may present more of an opportunity than a threat to the London property market as while it’s made property more… Continue reading

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US sales to foreigners down but they are buying higher value real estate

Total property sales in the United States to international home buyers have decreased from last year, but in terms of price the sales dollar volume increased 13%, the latest data from estate agents shows. From April 2014 through March 2015 total international sales were estimated at $104 billion, compared to the previous year's estimate of $92.2 billion, according to the figures from the National Association of Realtors. In 2014 sales transaction to buyers outside of the US dropped 10%, possibly due to the strengthening of the US dollar in relation to international currencies and weakening foreign economies, according to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. ‘However, the amount of money spent has increased; this means international purchasers in the US have become an upscale group of buyers, spending more money on fewer homes,’ he explained. In 2014 five countries accounted for 51% of all purchases by international buyers. These were led by China, followed by Canada, Mexico, India and the United Kingdom, the data also shows. For the first time, buyers from China exceeded all other countries in terms of units purchased and dollar volume, purchasing an estimated $28.6 billion worth of property. Buyers from Canada followed with $11.2 billion in purchases, followed by India with $7.9 billion, Mexico with $4.9 billion and the UK with $3.8 billion. International buyers tend to purchase more expensive properties with the average purchase price being $499,600, compared to the overall US average house price of $255,600. Chinese buyers typically purchased the most expensive properties, at an average price of $831,800. Some 35% of real estate agents reported working with an international client in 2014, up from 28% in 2013 and 46% said international buyers were seeking main homes, 20% wanted buy to let and 26% was for investment rentals. Global buyers also purchased properties for commercial rentals and as residences for children studying in US educational institutions. Indian buyers were the most likely to purchase a primary residence with 79% doing so, while Canadian buyers were most likely to purchase property as a vacation home with 47% doing so. While international buyer clients purchased property across the nation, four states accounted for half of all international sales: Florida, California, Texas and Arizona. Florida remains the top destination for international buyers with 21% of all foreign purchases, followed by California at 16%, Texas at 8% and Arizona 5%. Chinese buyers tended to gravitate towards the West Coast, which provides ample education, business and trade opportunities, while Canadians seeking winter vacation opportunities focused on the Southwest and Florida. The majority of international purchases, some 55%, were all-cash, compared to about 25% of all purchases made by domestic buyers. Mortgage financing tends to be an issue for non-resident international clients because of a lack of a US based credit history or Social Security number, difficulties in documenting mortgage requirements, and financial profiles that can be different from those normally submitted to financial institutions by domestic residents. Continue reading

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Prime central London rental values flat for second month in a row

Rental values in prime central London were flat for the second consecutive month in December as a seasonal year end slowdown and the impact of global economic uncertainty dampened demand. Though monthly growth slowed to zero by the end of the year, the annual increase in rental values was 3.3%, which was the highest rate in three years, the rental index from Knight Frank shows. It points out that annual growth has been climbing steadily since July as the UK economy improved and some buyers switched to the rental market while political uncertainty surrounds the outcome of the general election in May and the prospect of further property taxes remains. ‘However, while the UK’s economic indicators have improved, caution surrounded the world economy in the last quarter of the year, including falling oil prices and the economic outlook in China and the euro zone,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. ‘The result is that companies or individuals are more likely to postpone decision making while they wait for clarity,’ he added. The report points out that other factors affecting the market include the falling price of oil, events in Syria and Hong Kong, the Ebola outbreak and concerns the Federal Reserve in the United States was going to raise interest rates sooner than expected. ‘Despite this uncertain global economic and political backdrop, prime central London residential property remained a sound investment in 2014,’ said Bill. ‘Total returns, which include rental income and capital value growth, outperformed a series of other asset classes in the year to November, proving its resilience as an investment. For example, while commodity prices have fallen markedly, partly due to concerns over the Chinese economy, demand among Chinese tenants and buyers for prime central London property has increased, buoyed by its safe haven appeal,’ he explained. ‘This is underlined by the fact the number of Chinese tenants increased by almost fourfold in 2014 compared to 2013,’ he added. Continue reading

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