Tag Archives: business
House prices in prime central London market largely flat for last six months
Annual house price growth in prime central London declined marginally to 3.3% in March and this could be due to the forthcoming general election, according to a new analysis report. It was the sector’s lowest rate in more than five years and despite a 0.1% rise in March, prices have remained broadly flat over the last six months as uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election on 07 May intensifies, says the report from real estate firm Knight Frank. ‘Activity is stronger in lower price brackets and where there is a more pressing need to act, though some parts of the market are treading water ahead of the vote and one of the most unpredictable elections in decades has caused some buyers and sellers to postpone decisions until there is clarity around the outcome,’ said Knight Frank associate Tom Bill. ‘As electioneering got underway in March, the polls still indicate a hung parliament is the most likely outcome. However, strong activity in some markets suggests there is a degree of pent-up demand that could be released after May,’ he added. The report says that the top three markets by sales volumes at the start of 2015 have been Knightsbridge, Islington and St John’s Wood. ‘Islington has benefited from the fact property taxes such as stamp duty have affected lower value properties to a lesser degree than higher value areas and annual growth of 7% is the second highest in prime central London after Hyde Park,’ explained Bill. He also pointed out that sales in Knightsbridge have been strong due to a series of high quality new build and newly refurbished properties that are ready for immediate occupation. ‘Buyers in prime central London are increasingly focussed on the quality of the property’s finish and facilities rather than its postcode, though in the case of Knightsbridge both have combined to produce a strong sales market at the start of 2015,’ said Bill. Meanwhile, St John’s Wood is benefiting as more buyers seek better value and more space than markets further south in central London. ‘While the overall picture is subdued, what is happening in these three markets highlights some key trends that could contribute towards driving the market after the general election,’ added Bill. Continue reading
High street lending in UK down 11% compared to a year ago
Gross mortgage borrowing in the UK in January was £9.8 billion, some 11% lower than in the same month last year, according to the latest data from the British Banking Association. Despite slower demand in the second half of 2014, the overall mortgage stock is 1.4% higher than a year ago and approvals overall in January were slightly below December and 21% lower than a year ago. The data also shows that although turning up slightly in January, house purchase approvals were 20% lower than last January and remortgaging and other approvals continued to trend downwards and were 21% and 25% lower than a year ago respectively. According to David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business, while the mortgage market may have slowed since the peaks seen in the first half of 2014, the present lull is no cause for serious concern. ‘The spate of lending regulations introduced throughout last year inevitably put breaks on the mortgage market, arguably that was precisely the objective, and as a result activity clearly tapered off towards the end of last year. Borrowers and lenders alike have been factoring in and adjusting to the new regulatory landscape and rightfully exercising caution to ensure healthy balance sheets,’ he said. ‘However, that brake has coincided with a downhill ride for long term borrowing costs, after an almost entirely unexpected shift in global capital markets. This has ushered in even lower new mortgage rates than previous record lows,’ he explained. ‘Essentially, we’ve moved on a long way since the fourth quarter of 2014 and in recent weeks we’ve been seeing landlords take advantage of some incredible deals, especially at the most competitive 75% LTV range. In particular, prudent borrowers are aiming to lock in such low rates now that a five year fix is just as cheap as many variable rate deals. Activity may be below levels seen last year but this is not a reliable indicator of the year ahead,’ he added. Patrick Bamford, director of Mortgage Insurance Europe for Genworth, believes that mortgage lending on the high street falling by almost a third since January 2014 is a damp start to the year. ‘Aspirational first time buyers and home movers face multiple challenges: high house prices relative to wages, strict mortgage lending criteria and a lack of house building,’ he said. ‘Despite a wave of new high loan to value (LTV) products appearing on the market, first time buyers still face financial pressures from every direction. Unless they have a large deposit, they are left paying a far greater premium for 95% LTV mortgages than before the recession,’ he pointed out. He also pointed out that while Help to Buy has certainly invigorated the product range for first time buyers and provided a much needed boost to high LTV activity, greater lender appetite and competition needs to be encouraged to give buyers better rates. ‘There… Continue reading
Landlords warned not to rely on good capital gains in UK buy to let sector
Landlords’ confidence in capital gains has almost trebled over the last two years, according to the leading landlord association in the UK. It has risen from 18% to 52% over the last two years but the survey by the National Landlords Association (NLA) also shows that 32% of landlords say they might not be able to meet their mortgage repayments if interest rates were to rise in the near future. Despite the survey findings the NLA is talking down capital gains prospects and has warned against relying on capital gains as a primary investment strategy. The warning comes after the Financial Times recently reported the estimated capital growth of private rented housing stock to be of £177 billion over just the last five years. ‘It certainly feels like a great time to be looking at buy to let a means of additional income but you cannot simply rely on the prospect of capital gains as an investment strategy,’ said Carolyn Uphill, NLA chairman. ‘A lot is being made of capital growth but landlords must remember they are in the business of providing homes for people. It’s a risky investment and the prospect of capital gains is only realised if and when the property is sold,’ she explained. ‘With house prices levelling off and inevitable rises to interest rates as the economy improves, anyone considering investing in buy to let should think carefully before taking the plunge. This means planning for the long term and looking to sustainable yields, not hoping for a windfall in capital appreciation,’ she added. The news comes as the NLA launches the second part of its latest campaign; Rent, Risk Resolve, which aims to highlight the potential risks of rising interest rates. To accompany the campaign the NLA has produced a guide on how to prepare for rising interest rates. Continue reading
