Tag Archives: british
Confidence among UK private sector landlords remains subdued
Confidence remains low among UK landlords as a result of recent government interventions in the buy to let market but buyers are slowly returning to the market, says a new survey. Overall, landlords report improved buying intentions, growth in tenant demand and yields and confidence is stable but remains at subdued levels, according to the research by BDRC Continental on behalf of Paragon Mortgages. Following an increase in the rate of stamp duty payable on buy to let purchases, and with a staged reduction in income tax relief available on rental income due start next year, landlord confidence remained low in the first quarter of 2016. Asked about expected business in the next three months, just 41% of landlords rated their prospects as being either ‘good’ or ‘very good’. This is down from 65% during the same period last year, prior to the government’s clampdown on buy to let. Indicating that falling levels of confidence may have stabilised however, the figure is just 2% down on the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this, the survey also saw landlords’ property purchase intentions edge above selling intentions, reversing the situation seen in the final quarter of 2015 when more landlords were looking to sell property than were looking to buy. Some 19% of landlords indicated that they intend to purchase a property in the coming year, up from 17% in the fourth quarter of 2015 while 16% of landlords indicated that they intend to sell a property, down from 19% in the previous quarter. Driving this trend was an increase in tenant demand, with 39% of landlords reporting demand as increasing either slightly or significantly, up from 34% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this increase, landlords reporting tenant demand as being stable declined from 40% to 36%. The research also shows that yields in the first quarter of2016 also grew slightly on the previous quarter, averaging 5.7%. Despite negativity persisting around business expectations over the short term, rental property as an asset class is still viewed favourably by landlords. Some 38% of landlords polled believe investing in the PRS to be ‘much better’ than other investment options such as stocks and shares. A further 33% believe investing in the PRS to be a ‘little better’ than other investments and just 10% believe an investment in the PRS is worse than other investments. ‘Increased stamp duty, as well as reduced levels of income tax relief for landlords due to come into force next April, have undoubtedly impacted landlord sentiment. Confidence by some measures is down by around a third when compared to the same period last year. That said, this data does suggest that confidence is stabilising,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘In the previous quarter we saw more landlords respond very negatively to the announcements on stamp duty and tax on rental income with more intending to sell rather than buy property, this trend is now reversed and purchase… Continue reading
Brexit vote creating lethargy in prime central London property market
There are signs of lethargy in the prime property market in central London ahead of the vote on the future of the UK in the European Union, according to a new research report. But beyond the distraction of the EU referendum there are signs that demand is strengthening, according to the research from international real estate firm Knight Frank. Overall annual growth in the prime central London property market slowed to 0.1% in May, the lowest since October 2009 and the Brexit effect means demand is subdued even where asking prices have fallen 10% or more. On top of this the number of active buyers to available properties has halved over the last year and Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, described it as a price sensitive market. ‘Demand remains relatively subdued but in a change from recent months, the primary cause in May was the Brexit vote rather than new rates of stamp duty. Indeed, there are overlapping layers of uncertainty affecting supply and demand that are difficult to differentiate but which produce a cumulative impact,’ Bill explained. ‘There has been a discernible Brexit effect on the UK economy as decisions are delayed and the London property market is no exception. Buyers and sellers are postponing decisions because of the prospect of entering unchartered economic and political territory,’ he said. ‘The market has become price-sensitive due to higher levels of stamp duty, but an indication of the Brexit effect is that demand in May has remained subdued even for properties where asking prices have fallen by 10% or more,’ he pointed out. He also pointed out that demand was already more restrained as a result of the impact of two stamp duty increases in the space of 18 months and the ratio of active buyers per available property in prime central London has fallen to 4.8 from 10 over the last year. However, despite the looming referendum, there are signs underlying demand is strengthening, according to Bill as buyers drop asking prices to reflect higher transaction costs. The number of transactions between January and the middle of May was flat this year compared to 2015. Meanwhile, viewings increased 31% between January and April versus last year, suggesting a degree of pent-up demand. Overall, prices have grown 2.4% over the last two years and it has been three and a half years since annual growth was last above 10% in October 2012. A breakdown of the figures show that in the 12 months to May 2016 prices have increased 7.4% in Islington, by 6.3% in the City, by 1.9% in Mayfair, by 1,7% in Kensington, by 1.3% in Tower Bridge and by 0.3% in Riverside. Prices remained unchanged in St John’s Wood and Marylebone but fell by 7.5% in Knightsbridge, by 4.8% in Hyde Park, by 4.6% in South Kensington, by 3.5% in Chelsea, by 1.7% in Kensington, by 1.5% in Notting Hill, and by 0.2% in Belgravia. The report also points out… Continue reading
UK house prices crept up in May but annual growth slowed, says latest index
House prices in the UK edged up 0.2% in May but annual growth slowed to 4.7% to an average of £204,368, according to the latest index to be published. The annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months, according to the date from the Nationwide, one of the leading home lenders in the UK. ‘In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market due to the volatility generated by the stamp duty changes which took effect from 01 April,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist. ‘Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ he pointed out. ‘While cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy to let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion,’ he explained. The report also shows that the number of home mover mortgages, which is where second home purchases with a mortgage would show up, increased sharply in March. Gardner said that house purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. ‘The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy to let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag,’ he added. But he also pointed out that healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once stamp duty related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will tilt the demand/supply balance in favour of sellers and exert upward pressure on price growth once again in the quarters ahead,’ he said. He added that according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), the number of properties on estate agents’ books was already close to all-time lows on data extending back to the late 1970s. According to Matt Andrews, managing director of Bluestone Mortgages, consumer confidence is still rising, so with more people looking to secure lending it is important to see some innovation come into the sector to help more people get onto the housing ladder. ‘In order to help those who currently struggle to gain access to lending, such as people who have experienced a genuine blip on their credit scores, or who only have limited trading histories, we need to offer a more… Continue reading
