Tag Archives: british
Demand for homes in UK falls to three year low, according to estate agents
Uncertainty created by the UK’s decision to leave the European Union has triggered demand for property to fall to the lowest level seen in three years, according to a new report. The number of house sales agreed in May dropped in the run up to the referendum and the majority of estate agents believe that demand will fall further in the short term, according to the latest housing report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA). Estate agents recorded an average of 304 house hunters registered per member branch in May, as uncertainty in the lead up to the referendum stalled buyers. This was down 6% from April, and the lowest recorded since November 2013 when 292 buyers were registered per branch. The data also shows that compared to May 2015 when 383 house hunters were recorded, demand has decreased by 21% year on year. In line with falling demand in May, the supply of houses available to buyers increased marginally from 35 properties available to buy per branch in April to 37 in May. The number of sales agreed in May decreased to an average of eight per branch, a drop from nine in April falling to the same level seen during the seasonal slowdown in January. In May some 41% of agents predicted that house prices will fall and 30% expect demand will also decrease as a result of a the referendum result. Although the number of house hunters registered per branch and sales agreed fell in May, sales to first time buyers increased marginally. Some 27% of the total sales completed last month were to first time buyers, an increase of one percentage point from April. ‘The EU referendum without doubt meant that May was a month of uncertainty for potential house buyers and demand dropped significantly and is currently at the lowest level we have seen in the last three years,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘As a result of the vote for a Brexit, we expect international investors to look a lot harder at the UK as a potential market to buy in and this will have a knock on effect on the house building sector, as investments may be delayed or put off completely,’ he pointed out. ‘Although in the short term, we believe that house prices will remain stable, we cannot be certain about the next quarter as political uncertainty and market unrest could affect the housing market,’ he explained. He also pointed out that the supply of available housing is still extremely low compared to this time last year, which is particularly worrying. ‘As we continue to say, there are simply not a sufficient number of homes available in this country to cater for everyone’s needs and a Brexit could impact the skills required to drive property developments in the UK,’ said Hayward. ‘This means that… Continue reading
Spanish property expert says Brexit will affect demand from British buyers
A weak pound, plus the uncertainty about what comes next following the UK's decision to leave the European Union, will undermine British demand for property in Spain, especially in the short term, it is suggested. This should be a concern as British demand has been growing strongly since 2013 and according to Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight there could now be a reversal in that trend. He believes that this will have a negative impact on the markets where British demand is dominant, namely Alicante and Malaga, and to a lesser extent the Balearics, the Canaries, and Murcia. ‘Thanks to this Brexit vote, there will just be fewer British buyers about,’ he said. One reason is that British demand in Spain is driven by the strength of the pound. When the pound goes up against the euro, British acquisitions inscribed in the property registry rise with a delay of around two quarters. ‘Now we have a weak pound plus the dramatic situation of a Brexit, so falling sales in coming quarters are almost a given,’ Stucklin explained. He pointed out that it won’t be good for British vendors either. ‘They now have a smaller pool in which to find a buyer. Price expectations may have to adjust even further down,’ he added. He also expects fewer British people to move to Spain until the deal for exit is struck and that will take a minimum of two years. ‘British expats in Spain will now be in limbo until the new order is established. That could take years, and in that period I expect to see more British expats leaving than arriving,’ he pointed out. British owners of holiday homes in Spain with no plans to sell won’t be affected much for now. A much bigger worry for them is what will happen to the UK, or whatever is left of it when the dust settles. Figures from the registrar of Notaires confirm that British demand for property in Spain grew strongly last year on the back of a strong pound and attractive Spanish property prices. Buyers from the UK were the biggest group by a wide margin, making up 21% of the foreign market and increased the most by up by 42% last year. Indeed, in some regions like Alicante on the Costa Blanca and Malaga on the Costa del Sol, the British dominate the overseas buyer market. On the other hand for those who want to buy in Spain properties will be cheaper due to the Pound falling making currency exchange more favourable for changing into euros. However, those wishing to move permanently to Spain who are reliant on a British pension will get fewer euros for their money. Continue reading
UK regional cities see prices surge, led by Liverpool and Bristol
Regional cities in the UK, led by Liverpool and Bristol, have seen house prices surge, helped by rising number of investor buyers, the latest cities index shows. The 20 city index from Hometrack shows that overall prices have increased by 4.4% quarter on quarter and 11.2% year on year, taking the average price to £237,500. Liverpool has seen the highest growth in the last quarter and Bristol has the fastest annual growth rate. Prices in Liverpool were up 5.4% quarter on quarter and 6.5% year on year while in Bristol they increased 4.2% quarter on quarter and 14.1% year on year. London has also seen strong year on year growth with an annual rise of 13.8% with quarter on quarter growth of 3.7%. Cambridge and Southampton also recorded large annual rises at 13.4% and 10.3% respectively. Quarter on quarter the prices growth has been led by Edinburgh, Belfast and Aberdeen with a rise of 19%, 16% and 12% respectively while Aberdeen, which has been affected by the fall in oil prices is the only city in the index to have seen prices fall, down 4% quarter on quarter and 9.6% year on year. But there is likely to be some affect from the referendum result that the UK should leave the European Union and the Hometrack index report says that it will impact turnover far more than house prices in near term although it predicts a rapid deceleration of house price growth across all cities in the second half of 2016. ‘The city level impact is hard to gauge but we expect the immediate impact to be felt in London where affordability levels are stretched and the market was already facing headwinds,’ it explained. Overall, the report says that price inflation continued to increase in May, building on a strong first quarter and the surge of investor demand ahead of the stamp duty change for additional homes that came into force in April. Year on year growth is running at 11.2% compared to 6.2% twelve months ago. ‘The immediate and short term impact of the EU referendum result will be widespread uncertainty amongst buyers and sellers across the housing market. This is against a backdrop of already subdued turnover. While sales volumes have recovered from their 2009 lows, sales as a percentage of stock remain low by historic standards at around 5%, or a move every 20 years,’ the index report points out. However, Hometrack does not expect house price falls as the greatest impact will be on market activity. ‘House price falls would require forced sellers, driven by higher mortgage rates and/or rising unemployment. While short term turmoil in financial markets will impact market sentiment, it is too early to say how the vote to leave will impact the real economy,’ the report explains. It adds that tighter lending criteria implemented in recent years will help to mitigate the impact on the more recent entrants to the market and levels of new housing… Continue reading
