Tag Archives: british
Falling asking prices in Spain could encourage British buyers despite Brexit
There are signs that British buyers are still keen on buying property in Spain but those selling are likely to be more successful if they lower their asking price. Agents are reporting continued interest in the Spanish property market from British buyers despite the decision to leave the European Union. This is coming from holiday home buyers and those considering moving to Spain to live. But the latest index suggests that sellers in Spain are having to be realistic about the price their property is likely to achieve outside a few popular areas. Data from the latest asking price index from Idealista shows they fell national by 3.1% in June year on year. Month on month asking prices fell 1.4% to their lowest level since the economic downturn despite rising briefly at the beginning of the year. But there are substantial regional differences. Whist the national average index continues to fall, some areas are already recovering. Idealista point out that prices in some big cities and areas on the coast have risen substantially since bottoming out, led by Barcelona with growth of 19.5%, Madrid up 6.4% and Valencia up 6.1%. There is effectively a two speed recovery in the Spanish market, according to Fernando Encinar, head of research at Idealista. He explained that prices continue to fall in inland locations but rise in popular coastal spots such as the Costa del Sol and cities such as Madrid and Barcelona. On a quarterly basis asking prices rose the most in the second quarter of the year in Malaga with an increase of 1.5%, up by 0.8% in the Costa Blanca and up 0.8% also in Tenerife and the Canary Islands. Real estate agents believe this could attract more foreign buyers. Lucas Fox International said it has seen a rise in enquiries from British based buyers since the vote to leave the European Union. Some disillusioned with the referendum result and considering a move to Spain, in particular to the key cities of Madrid, Barcelona and Valencia, where there are job opportunities and the local economy is rapidly recovering. A report last week claimed that the number of British citizens looking to move abroad had increased by 30% with Spain being the third most sought-after destination after Australia and Canada. Another study by the London School of Economics suggested that around 10% of 18 to 25 year olds who voted to stay in the EU are now considering a move abroad. An example is Sebastian King, a 22 year old living in the South of England working in financial services. He contacted Lucas Fox just a few days after the result. ‘I have been looking to move to Valencia for a year or so now but the Brexit result made me want to get a move on,’ he said. ‘For me Valencia has it all, the climate, it's exciting, full of history and culture as well as having a beach. Overall, I think Spain has lots of… Continue reading
New home sales in Australia fall for second month in a row
Total new home sales in Australia fell for a second consecutive month in May 2016 but experts say it is cyclical downturn and nothing to worry about. Total seasonally adjusted new home sales declined by 4.4% following a 4.7% fall in April 2016. The sale of detached houses fell by 6.7% but apartments were up by 4.9%. The data also shows that detached house sales declined in three of the five mainland states with a fall of 11.5% in New South Wales, a fall of 8.2% in Victoria and a fall of 11% in Queensland. But detached house sales increased by 3.8% in South Australia and by 5.4% in Western Australia. The figures should not cause alarm, according to the Housing Industry Association. ‘There is a cyclical downturn ahead for new residential construction activity, as new home sales signal, but the early pull-back will be mild by historical standards,’ said HIA chief economist Harley Dale. ‘We remain of the view that a decline in new dwelling commencements will gather momentum in 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, following four years of growth which has delivered enormous benefits to the broader Australian economy,’ he explained. ‘This economic benefit delivered by new home construction in recent years is unprecedented. It creates a platform for the Federal government to provide leadership on the key issues of new housing supply, affordability and home ownership, which will in turn benefit Australia’s economic growth and future standard of living,’ he added. Meanwhile the HIA’s regular review of Australia’s $30 billion home renovations market show that the sector is very much in recovery mode with 2015 marking the second consecutive year of growth. This followed a deep slump during the early years of the decade. The Renovations Roundup report projects that renovations activity will increase by 2.5% this year with growth of 1.7% forecast for 2017. The HIA also projects that activity will grow by 2.8% in 2018 followed by a 2% increase in 2019, bringing the total volume of renovations activity to $33.30 billion. According to Shane Garrett, HIA senior economist, the recovery in renovations activity is being supported by the environment of remarkably low interest rates and very strong dwelling price growth in key markets. ‘In this context, many home owners have decided to shelve plans to move house and instead conduct major renovations work on their existing homes. The large pool of available home equity has made this possible,’ he explained. ‘However, the pace is growth is being held back by the weakness of earnings growth in the economy and the fragile condition of consumer sentiment. The importance of home renovations activity is often underestimated and it accounted for about 35% of total residential construction during 2015,’ he said. ‘With new home building set to decline over the coming years, the expansion of the renovations market means that its importance will only increase. The revival in renovations activity will provide a welcome offset to the more challenging situation emerging on the new… Continue reading
UK monthly property price growth slowed to 0.2% in May, activity expected to slow further
Residential property prices in the UK edged upwards by just 0.2% in May in the run up to the historic vote on the future of the country in the European Union, according to the latest index. This meant that annual price growth slowed to 4.7%, taking the average price to £204,368, but activity in the market is expected to slow in the coming months due to a spike in March due to stamp duty changes and now the Brexit vote. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that the annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months. ‘In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market due to the volatility generated by the stamp duty changes which took effect from 01 April,’ he said. ‘Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ he explained. He also pointed out that while cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy to let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion. The number of home mover mortgages, which is where second home purchases with a mortgage would show up, increased sharply in March. ‘House purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy to let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag,’ said Gardner. ‘Nevertheless, healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once stamp duty related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track,’ he added. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will tilt the demand/supply balance in favour of sellers and exert upward pressure on price growth once again in the quarters ahead,’ he added. Gardner also explained that it is difficult to gauge how sentiment from overseas buyers will be impacted by increased economic uncertainty caused by Brexit on the one hand and the sharp decline in Sterling on the other, which, if sustained, reduces the cost of UK property in foreign currency terms. He pointed out that property prices in London have been supported by extremely robust labour market conditions as well as strong investor demand in recent years. Indeed, the price of a typical London property… Continue reading
